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I write the rules for stock screeners down before I trade them. Every pick gets a date. Every result gets compared to SPY. The ones that fail get cut.
This is The Mongoose Den. The record starts October 28, 2026.
Education only, not advice.
Honest question for traders:
When a trade loses, do you check whether you broke your rules, or just look at the loss?
Only the first one teaches you anything. What rule do you wish you had written down sooner?
The Mongoose Den retweeted
One of the bigger regrets investors will have over the next decade will be failing to maintain meaningful exposure to the AI ecosystem because they confused a temporary repricing of risk with a deterioration in what is being built for long-term.
Certain pockets of the market became frothy. Semis, memory, GPU cloud, and select AI infra...Certain names were pricing in extraordinary growth with very little room for execution risk. Much of the recent selloff reflects a necessary recalibration, not just of valuations and growth expectations, but of who can actually execute commercially, finance their growth, and generate attractive returns on invested capital.
This is healthy for the industry. But don't lose sight of what's happening underneath the volatility. There's an ENORMOUS amount of power infrastructure, equipment, land, financing, and construction that needs to come together over the next several years. The market is becoming more discerning about who can capture it economically.
If a company controls genuinely deliverable power, strategically located land, has a credible path to energization, a disciplined balance sheet, access to competitively priced capital, and the ability to convert those assets into long-duration contracted cash flows, those attributes should become increasingly valuable. Pay close attention to the credibility of development timelines, fully loaded capital requirements, contractual commitments, counterparty credit quality, financing structures, and how much of the economics accrue to shareholders after dilution and debt service.
What the market is saying right now is that it'll be less forgiving of pipeline and far more rewarding of execution. Not every one will be a winner, some business models can be uneconomic, projects can have poor capital structures that break under pressure, project delays can seriously derail the business
I call it growing pains of an enormous infrastructure investment cycle. The challenge is identifying who owns the scarce assets, who can actually monetize them, and who can survive long enough to capture the economics.
My favorite names in this space are:
$IREN $NUAI $CIFR $GLXY $BGDE $DRK $HIVE
A skip rule beats a prediction.
Before you chase an entry, check how far price is from the next Fibonacci level in your direction. Little room to run? Pass.
You will skip some winners. You will also skip entries with very little room to work.
Four screeners. Four ways of hunting.
Weinstein stages: trends
Singles and doubles: steady movers
Pre parabolic: small caps that may be setting up
Cash secured puts: getting paid to wait
Each one is tracked on its own record, so each one is judged on its own.
The same stock can be a great buy or a terrible one. The difference is its stage.
Stage 1: basing
Stage 2: uptrend
Stage 3: topping
Stage 4: decline
A Weinstein stage screener sorts the whole market for you every week.
Most trading strategies look great for one reason: the rules were written after the results were known.
Write the rules first. Then let the market grade you. That is the whole idea behind the Den.
The Mongoose Den retweeted
Galaxy $GLXY with an incredible comeback from just a few days ago
All you needed to understand was that another backtest of the monthly ichimoku was NOT bearish as the predominant structure is one of the cleanest ascending triangles you can find and it's at the verge of a massive breakout. Price has even found its way to get back within the support of mini pennant above $17
Don't care how bearish sentiment has become on AI infra stocks like $GLXY. We have to appreciate the broader structure preceding the current price action.
Despite the recent selling pressure, this isn't bearish. It's undergoing its 6th test of the monthly Ichimoku cloud. Also looking at a 4 year ascending triangle, with rising support dating back to 2022 converging against a horizontal resistance level that has capped price for ~5 yrs.
This entire formation has developed following the massive move in 2020, with the stock spending years consolidating, establishing higher lows. And isn't it interesting that just as price approaches the apex of this multiyear structure, pessimism across digital assets and AI infrastructure has become so pervasive?
The narratives for the recent weakness have been CoreWeave's deteriorating credit spreads and Galaxy's significant commercial exposure to them through their Helios campus.
But let's consider what's been built. At Helios, they've already delivered 133 MW of critical IT capacity to CoreWeave. Across 3 contracted phases, Galaxy has secured 526 MW of critical IT capacity under 15-yr lease arrangements, with ~$1B in anticipated annual leasing revenue once fully delivered.
This is all happening alongside an established digital assets business spanning institutional trading, lending, asset management, staking, and financial infrastructure. I've always like the biz because its a dual-exposure to two significant secular opportunities
- the institutionalization of digital assets
- infrastructure required to support AI compute
But, back to the chart.
Multiyear consolidations eventually resolve into powerful periods of price expansion, sometimes over considerably shorter timeframes than the accumulation that preceded them.
If Galaxy ultimately clears this resistance near the $30s, the technical implications could be substantial as evidence by the Fib extensions. They're an illustration of the potential magnitude of a breakout from a structure that has taken years to develop. I'm a shareholder and buyer here




