Head of Climate & Circular Economy Prog @ieep_eu, Ex-@Oxfam Head of Policy on Climate/Food/Land, Ex-@collegeofeurope #Inequality #Climate #EUGreenDeal own views

Stockholm
Joined November 2010
New paper today estimates the per capita emissions gaps for 1.5C of global income groups in 2030, based on NDCs Richest 1% set for footprints 30x 1.5C-aligned global level Richest 10% - 9x higher Middle 40% - 2x higher Poorest 50% - 2x lower @IEEP_eu @Oxfam @SEIclimate #COP26
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That said - it’s striking just how similar the big picture results are to those we have been talking about in recent years, using cruder methods Richest 10% = c.50% global emissions, poorest 50% = c.10%, richest 1% alone = way more than poorest 50%
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For the critics who still doubt the accuracy of these top down methods , this bottom up paper found an almost identical distribution earlier this year . nature.com/articles/s41893-0…
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In late 2000s campaigners mocked-up newspaper front pages of the future, dominated by stories of climate crisis. Not even 20 years later
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Many congratulations @yl_oswald - such important work, looking forward to seeing what comes next! Anyone interested in the #climate and #inequality nexus 👇
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.@antoine_oger_ & his team make sense of this stuff so that the rest of us don't have to! Brilliant analysis of new @Trade_EU Action Points for Sustainable #Trade 👇
Looking for an assessment of the new @Trade_EU Action Points for #Sustainable #Trade published yesterday? Look no further⬇️ ieep.eu/news/ieep-s-assessme… Overall positive👍but crucial AP5 (negotiating specific sust. FTA provisions) & 11 (civil society monitoring). @IEEP_eu, @elineblot.
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Couple of excellent threads to recommend on yesterday's plenary on ETS/CBAM. From a certain point of view latter issue looks like a game of whack-a-mole: free allocation now "settled", only to be replaced by another contentious feature - export rebates (rejected by Commission)
So after the #Fitfor55 plenaries, what are the🔑dividing lines emerging for trilogues?🧵 1/ #ETS free allowances phase-out: EP wants 2027-32 vs Council set to back EC proposal 2026-35? 2/ #CBAM export rebates: EP wants them for greenest performers vs EC red line vs Council tbc!
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So after the #Fitfor55 plenaries, what are the🔑dividing lines emerging for trilogues?🧵 1/ #ETS free allowances phase-out: EP wants 2027-32 vs Council set to back EC proposal 2026-35? 2/ #CBAM export rebates: EP wants them for greenest performers vs EC red line vs Council tbc!
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5/ Use of #ETS2 revenues: EP wants 100% used for social climate action, incl 25% via SCF vs EC proposal for 25% via SCF + 25% matching funds from govts vs Council tbc!! 6/ End to sales of Internal Combustion Engine cars: EP wants 2035, like EC proposal vs Council tbc!!
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These are the key issues to watch in the June Council meetings 👀 #Fitfor55
As inflation hits 9% can anyone see the wages spiral that began with all those massive pay settlements we didn't enjoy in the summer of 2021, or spot the impact of QE from 2009 onwards? No? That's because this inflation wasn't caused by them. 1/4
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Chinese urban population is still not as rich as is commonly assumed by politicians and others in many other parts of the world
Chinese urban population (orange) ranges in terms of their incomes from the 3rd to the top global decile, with most (210 million) in the 8th. US population (blue) starts (in v small numbers) from the 7th, and the bulk of it (200 million) is in the top global decile. (year 2018)
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Tim Gore @tim_e_gore said: "This compromise still leaves too many companies benefiting from free permits to pollute for too long, but at least it would bring the end to these subsidies in sight. EU industry should build their competitiveness now on winning the race to net zero."
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Today the 3 biggest political groupings in @Europarl_EN agreed compromises on reforming 🇪🇺 Emissions Trading Scheme #ETS to overcome the disagreement last week. Our take and reactions from @tim_e_gore and @pierre_leturcq 👇
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🎙️S&D Vice-President @MChahim addresses the press at 11:30 today on the outcome of EP negotiations on the #ETS reform and #CBAM, following last week's rejection vote in plenary. #Fitfor55 🔴Follow it live on Zoom: socsde.ms/Zii
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EU and UK electricity markets now set to turn away from marginal pricing It will help cut bills and make comms about the benefits of the energy transition a whole lot easier!
Excellent thread on options for cutting energy bills through a market shake up this year. 👇
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Another sign that progressives in the Parliament were right to say no deal is better than a bad deal last week - vital that champions in both institutions resist weak compromises if this is to be a decisive decade of climate action
If this leak is right + plenary vote nxt week goes with a likely S&D/EPP/Renew compromise, we can expect for trilogues: > Council wanting earlier intro of ETS2 in buildings/transport (2027 vs 2029) Vs > Parliament wanting earlier phase-out of ETS1 free allowances (2030? Vs 2035)
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More top analysis from @IEA on #SUVs 👉Previously showed SUVs = 2nd biggest driver of global emissions growth since 2010 👉Now: avoided emissions from every new electric car last year were cancelled out by purchases of SUVs instead of medium cars iea.org/commentaries/global-…
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