I love these alerts in @liquidtrading
So I'm in the right place
And I'm doing everything right
Open interest on @tradexyz rose 7.8% this week
Hyperliquid, Aster and Lighter all fell
Perp DEX OI, ~Oct 31 → Nov 7:
▫️ @tradexyz ~$3.98B → $4.29B, +7.8%
▫️ @HyperliquidX perps ~$7.71B → $7.42B, -3.8%
▫️ @Aster_DEX ~$1.39B → $1.37B, -1.6%
▫️ @Lighter_xyz ~$524M → $511M, -2.5%
▫️ @GMX_IO Solana ~$186M → $170M, -8.9%
tradeXYZ is the first HIP-3 deployment on Hyperliquid, so it's a market built on HL rather than a rival chain
One thing to keep in mind: OI measures outstanding positions in dollars, not deposits. Price moves can change that dollar value without matching inflows or outflows, so these venue totals alone don't show where capital rotated
Worth watching next week: does it hold when prices bounce?
almost 1K AURA on @bulktrade 🫠
Next week, I'll try to reach 2K. Especially with the new busket features and a bunch of new trading tickers
Keep trading🤍
Prediction market OI fell this week, and Polymarket US lost almost half of it
Open interest, ~Oct 31 → Nov 7:
▫️ Polymarket US ~$461M → $240M, -48%
▫️ @Kalshi ~$2.03B → $1.81B, -11%
▫️ @Polymarket International ~$367M → $326M, -11%
It lines up with the US midterms. Settled contracts stop counting as OI, so a drop like this can happen without users withdrawing anything. From this data alone, though, you can't tell how much came from election markets settling
What I'm watching now: how fast new markets rebuild OI without an election to bet on. Kalshi is still +27% on the month
same panic. different gold.
gold futures +2.1% vs previous close
$BTC −6.4% over 24h
US chip stocks got crushed. Asia followed with Nikkei and Kospi down 6%.
BTC traded like risk. Gold caught the safety bid.
and the institutional dip buyers?
US spot BTC ETFs had $430M in net outflows yesterday.
“digital gold” is still a thesis
not a hedge you can count on
CT said a Dem sweep = dump for crypto
I pulled the tape after the call
Election night low · Nov 4 03:00 UTC
▫️ $BTC printed $75.7k
~12 hours later
▫️ back through $80k
Right now · Nov 5 06:00 UTC
▫️ $BTC $80.4k (+6% off that low)
▫️ $ETH $2421
▫️ WTI $87.6 (−9% from the Nov 3 close)
Oil was the one that moved on the politics
Peace talk knocked the war premium out of crude
BTC just shook out the election shorts and reclaimed
If you sold the Dem headline you sold the low
Prediction markets traded $23.4B in 30 days. Up 21% while crypto bled.
▫️ @Kalshi $16.4B, +20%, 70% of all volume
▫️ @Polymarket $5.8B, +23%
▫️ @predictdotfun $408M, +34%
▫️ @HyperliquidX outcomes $80M, x2.1
▫️ @xomarket $73M, x3
Only @opinionlabsxyz shrank, -19%
Same 30 days, spot DEX volume fell 26%. People stopped betting on coins and started betting on events
Maybe you're afraid that Rocky has disappeared somewhere👀
.. but he was just using @SeismicSys privacy to gain strength and appear on Halloween
A truly long-awaited meeting🤍
#ROCKYHalloween
Midterms are today, so I checked what $BTC did after the last three
Election day → 1 year later:
▫️ 2014: $330 → $408
▫️ 2018: $6.4k → $9.3k
▫️ 2022: $18.6k → $35.6k
3 of 3 higher a year later
If 2026 rhymes, $77k today ends up around $118k by next November
But every time it dropped first: $171, $3.2k, $15.8k lows, all within 2.5 months
Same path now would mean ~$56k in January
3 midterms is a horoscope, not a backtest
Still saving this chart👀
$9.2B of stablecoins left crypto in 30 days
‼️Biggest 30-day drain since the Terra crash in 2022
▫️ USDT -$4.6B
▫️ USDC -$2.6B
▫️ USD1 -$549M, -12%
▫️ USDe -$366M, -7.5%
▫️ BlackRock BUIDL -$238M, -11%
Only a few grew: Falcon USDf +16%, Open USD +34%
Total supply $297.8B, lowest since October 2025. Less dry powder on the sidelines. When this line turns up, the bounce has fuel
Week ahead for crypto. Midterms first, jobs report last 🗓️
▫️ Mon: @BitwayOfficial unlock ($112M), US ISM manufacturing
▫️ Tue: US midterms, JOLTS, @binance full proof of reserves due, @EFDevcon opens in Mumbai, @blocks earnings after the close
▫️ Wed: midterm results, euro area inflation, @circle earnings, ADP + ISM services
▫️ Thu: Bank of England decision
▫️ Fri: @Zcash NU7 upgrade (est.), $2.1B BTC options expiry on @DeribitOfficial, US jobs report
▫️ Sun: $AVAX unlock
Friday is the one to watch. After the last 10 jobs reports BTC was lower a day later 6 times, and Sep and Oct both ended about 2% down.
$CRCL moved 16.8% on average around its last 4 reports.
Size down the night before, not five minutes before the print.
$10,000 split into the 2021 top 10 coins
$1,000 each on nov 7, 2021, 3 days before the top
no stables, no selling, just holding
today it's worth $4,700
▫️ $BTC: $1,235 (+23%)
▫️ $BNB: $1,090 (+9%)
▫️ $XRP: $1,026 (+3%)
▫️ $ETH: $495 (-51%)
▫️ $SOL: $378 (-62%)
▫️ $DOGE: $283 (-72%)
▫️ $ADA: $94 (-91%)
▫️ $SHIB: $82 (-92%)
▫️ $DOT: $18 (-98%)
▫️ $LUNC (old luna): less than 1 cent
5 years of holding and only 3 of 10 are green
the best one made +23%
the bag never got back to $10k
closest was oct 6, 2025: $9,994, six bucks short
bottom was dec 30, 2022: $1,825
which coin from your 2021 bag are you still holding?
22 stocks report earnings this week, all tradable on @TxFlow_L1
12 of the 20 with history moved 10%+ around a typical report. The loudest (avg move, last 4 reports):
▫️ $AAOI 19%
▫️ $SMCI 19%
▫️ $TEAM 18%
▫️ $CRCL 17%
▫️ $HUT 16%
The calmest:
▫️ $VST 1%
▫️ $MCD 2%
▫️ $ARM 3%
▫️ $AAPL 3%
At 10x, one average $SMCI report is already a liquidation. Size by the stock, not by the hype
Which one are you playing?
November is called $BTC best month. That's mostly one year.
▫️ Average November since 2013: +41%
▫️ Remove 2013 (+450%) and it's +7%
▫️ Median November: +8.8%
▫️ Last 7 Novembers: 4 red, 3 green
▫️ After a red October: 2014 +11%, 2018 -37%, 2025 -18%
October 2026 just closed -7.3%
Seasonality is a vibe, not a plan
+76 AURA on @bulktrade in this week
My goal was to achieve a thousand AURA, but "thanks" to Comrade Kim for hacking binance🫠
keep trade
ITS AURA DAYYY 🔥
→ Challenger Series ranks have updated
→ Ranks Gold and above have League Cash to claim
→ Referral rewards for the week have been PAID
Now lets see your rank 👀
app.bulk.trade/challenger
Halloween comp on @TxFlow_L1, in plain words 🎃
▫️ Prize pool starts at $2,000 in fee credits once combined volume hits $20M, and grows up to $20,000
▫️ Top 50 traders by volume split it
▫️ Only perp taker volume counts, maker orders don't
▫️ Positions held under 1 minute don't count
▫️ Every friend who makes a first perp trade adds 0.1× to your volume, up to 2×
▫️ Self-referrals don't count
Also new: $PREDICT is live pre-market, before its token even launches, up to 5x
Are you joining, or waiting for the next one?👀
Get a 5% discount on commissions on TxFlow using my promo code - TXTOMJKE
app.txflow.com/r/TXTOMJKE





















