News editor, data journalist. Editor @Votehub. Past @FiveThirtyEight, @CQnow, @rollcall. Philly-based. I've probably told you about my other project @WTL_Philly
Joined January 2016
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Trump’s dominant win record and prolific endorsement slate is nothing new: He’s endorsed more candidates in each cycle since 2018, and at least 94% of his endorsees have won their primaries in every cycle since 2020.
Trump’s endorsement was still a powerful asset in GOP primaries. But some of his picks have left Republicans with general-election headaches. They’ll face a bigger test next week.
Had a great time working with @meredithconroy_ on this! Full analysis: blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/tru…
And, if you want to check out the data yourself, our complete primary project dataset is available here — including endorsements by Trump, progressive groups, and more (plus historical data): github.com/FiftyPlusOne-poll…
96% of Trump’s primary endorsees won their primaries in 2026 — just 11 of 267 lost. But what was behind those numbers? And what did the losers have in common? (Hint: 5 of them were running for governor.) 🧵Full analysis at @50plus1news blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/tru…
Progressives’ big year in primaries, by the numbers: nearly 8 in 10 candidates backed by a major progressive group won their primaries, and more than 25 new progressives are favored to win seats in Congress next month 🧵Full analysis at @50plus1news blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/pro…
Mid-year fundraising snapshot: Progressive-backed nominees in competitive seats lagged trailed their GOP opponents (many of them incumbents) by an average of $690,000. They'll be looking to raise a lot more or attract outside spending down the stretch.
Read the full analysis: blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/pro… and explore our complete Democratic primary endorsements dataset: github.com/FiftyPlusOne-poll…
GOP data coming soon too!
Reunited with FiveThirtyEight friends to talk about our project tracking primary endorsement data. Thanks for having us @geoffreyvs and @DecisionDeskHQ!
You can also find the podcast on YouTube or your favorite podcast app like Apple, Spotify, etc.
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Tia Yang retweeted
DDHQ spoke w/ @50plus1news's Primary Project about which groups have been successful in 2026.
It's can be hard to register how well groups like AIPAC have done — not always clear who they support, though they may oppose someone, like Tom Malinowski in February #NJ11 special.
Latest at @50plus1news: We built a dataset tracking every primary endorsement from Trump, progressive groups, party committees, women’s groups, and pro-Israel groups. Halfway through the season, here's who's winning. 🧵blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/pri…
Pro-Israel groups: Candidates’ stances on Israel were a huge flashpoint in Democratic primaries. Groups like AIPAC and DMFI played offense and defense, spending big money to defend against progressive challengers and weigh in on crowded open races, with mixed results. 7/x
Read the analysis here: blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/pri… We'll be back with full recaps and data on all these groups at the end of the primary season! Stay tuned. 8/8
