Similar dynamic to the 1998 midterms, when the Clinton impeachment push turbocharged black turnout in the South, helping Dems win Gov/Sen races in SC, GA, NC, AL – at Washington, DC
My column on the surge of black voters, particularly across the South, featuring my chat w somebody who first worked in Southern politics on a 1966 gov race:
Wm Jefferson Clinton
politico.com/news/magazine/2…
If someone told you in January Speaker Johnson would spend the Saturday before the election in SOUTH CAROLINA … – at Washington, DC
The Lowcountry is ready to vote straight ticket Republican!
It was an incredible morning in Goose Creek with @JennyHoneycutt, Speaker @MikeJohnson, and our phenomenal GOP ticket.
“Fairshake has overwhelmingly helped Republicans. In fact, since that failed vote on Sept. 15, Fairshake has transferred money only to its campaign affiliate that helps the GOP, while delivering no new funds to its linked group backing Democrats …” washingtonsun.com/campaigns/…
Nu Wexler retweeted
South Carolina moves from Lean R to Toss-up in the latest Fox News Power Rankings.
New polling shows GOP Sen. Darline Graham and Democrat Annie Andrews tied at 48%-48%. Trump heads to the state tonight to campaign for Graham in the Upstate, where she underperformed in her primary runoff.
Trump won South Carolina by double digits in 2024. The state is now among six Senate battlegrounds that could decide control of the chamber. foxnews.com/politics/fox-new…
Nu Wexler retweeted
NEW: The tech industry is watching this battleground House race that is testing their political standing and Democrats’ path forward on tech.
“This is the movie trailer for 2028,” OpenAI’s top lobbyist Chris Lehane said.
Read @politico:
politico.com/news/2026/10/29…
Nu Wexler retweeted
tech election war rooms, russian internet meddling... it's 2016 all over again
NEWS: OpenAI is launching an election war room ahead of the midterms, in an attempt to forestall bad actors from using their tools for misinformation, etc: politico.com/news/2026/10/28…
Nu Wexler retweeted
Candidates: Please sir, we need the price of gas to come down or we're going to lose every single race.
The President: Best I can do is whine about "Super Intelligence."
Nu Wexler retweeted
People seem to forget how unprecedented this is
Anthropic has filed an S-1 registration statement with the SEC related to its proposed IPO.
Read more: anthropic.com/news/s1-sec
Legal disclaimer: A registration statement relating to these securities has been filed with the SEC but has not yet become effective. These securities may not be sold, nor may offers to buy be accepted, prior to the time the registration statement becomes effective. This post does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy these securities, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or jurisdiction.
Nu Wexler retweeted
Boston Dynamics employees want to block sale of robot dogs to ICE arstechnica.com/ai/2026/10/b…
Nu Wexler retweeted
After the surprise outcome of the Brazilian election, I was curious if AI forecasting tools predicted the outcomes correctly.
It turns out a top AI tool (FutureSearch) made the same errors as prediction markets more broadly.
This is an example of what @random_walker and I mean by “intrinsic limits” to prediction that have nothing to do with the AI tools in question, but rather depend on the inherent uncertainty in the world.
Of course, a single failed prediction doesn’t mean that AI isn’t good at forecasting; in fact AI tools are already about as good as top forecasters, and I expect human forecasters to make heavy use of AI tools improve their own forecasts.
But the inherent uncertainty in predicting social outcomes like elections means that AI tools’ performance will be limited close to that of top experts using simple automated tools (rather than being apparently unbounded with more compute, such as AI’s performance on chess).
Nu Wexler retweeted
🇧🇷Brazil runoff on @Kalshi, in one chart.
Bolsonaro traded at 80%+ for two days. In the space of about an hour this afternoon, Lula went from 20% to 70% and Bolsonaro collapsed to 31%, on the heaviest volume of the market's life.
The bottom panel tells the story: low volumes all weekend, then everything at once as results came in.
Track live on @TheTerminal
Nu Wexler retweeted
Serbia's Vučić concedes election defeat to student-led protest movement bbc.in/4sst0lV
terrorist-golf.com 💀💀 – at Washington, DC
