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Joined December 2024
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Can’t pin this as a highlight without having quoted it, so here’s a second chance for you to learn more about why we founded Arkansas Quant:
/ Inform fanbases with the complete picture, not just what the headlines sell
/ Minimize "eye-test" bias
/ Bring game theory to college athletics. Kiffin and Cignetti are two who actively apply game theory.
Meet the guys behind @ArkansasQuant and learn how they turned a hobby into helping the Hogs: bestofarkansassports.com/ark… #WPS
Dabo hired Chad Morris, and is still standing by his personal bias against portal after all these years of it hurting him. Very similar malpractice as Randy Lawson, Ted Dickey, and Fryar’s approach to football at the University of Arkansas. Weaponized job security via the golden handcuffs the universities received when they signed these moral grandstanders to absurd contract lengths.
Rush Offense vs. Rush Defenses Faced
- 4+ Top 25 Rush Defenses Faced: Kentucky, Miss State, Ole Miss (4)
- Three Top 25 Rush Defenses Faced:, Michigan, Northwestern, Michigan, Texas, USC, A&M
Rush Offenses who have faced 1 or less Top 25 Rush Defense
/ Notre Dame: 0 (2 top 50)
/ Louisville: 0 (1 top 50)
/ Texas Tech: 1
/ Cincinnati: 0
/ UCLA: 1
/ Kansas State: 0
/ Miami (FL): 1
…..
Missouri Rush Offense SoS
/ Opponent Allowed Rush EPA/Play: FCS, 48, 108, 43, 21, 23, 86
/ Opponent Allowed Rush YPG: FCS, 99, 56, 46, 40, 48, 94
Top 25 Rush Offense (Rush EPA/play) alongside Rush Defenses Faced and Remaining…
Top 25 Rush Defenses Faced
/ Miss State & Kentucky: 5
/ Ole Miss: 4
/ BYU, Tennessee, Auburn, Kansas: 3
/ Utah: 2
/ Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Liberty, Air Force: 0
Arkansas Quant retweeted
Arizona defeats Iowa State 39-3 and improves to 6-1
Best start in a season for the Wildcats since 2014🔥
QB EPA/Dropback vs. Pass Defenses Faced (thru wk8)
Pass defense slate faced ➔ remaining:
• USC (QB #2): #1 faced ➔ #14 left (battle-tested)
• Ohio St (QB #10): #90 faced ➔ #4 left (cliff)
• Indiana (QB #3): #5 faced ➔ #75 left (survived)
• Wake Forest (QB #14): #131 faced ➔ #99 left (cupcake)
• Washington: Slate #86 faced ➔ #3 remaining
• Missouri: Slate #84 faced ➔ #9 remaining
• Minnesota: Slate #80 faced ➔ #1 remaining
Tested vs. paper tigers thru Wk 8 🧵👇
We charted all P4 + ND passing attacks by EPA/dropback against the strength of pass defenses faced—and where their schedules go from here:
🎯 TESTED & ELITE (Legitimate Heisman/Playoff Contenders)
• USC: QB Play ranks #2 in EPA despite facing the nation's #1 toughest pass defense schedule (survived 3 Top 25 pass defenses)
• Indiana: QB Play ranks #3 against the #5 slate faced (4 Top 25 pass defenses seen)
• LSU: QB Play ranks #4 against the #4 slate faced (3 Top 25, 6 Top 50 pass defenses faced)
• Alabama: QB Play ranks #11 against the #13 slate faced
🧁 STRONG NUMBERS, SOFT SLATES (Paper Tigers?)
• Wake Forest: QB Play ranks #14, but slate faced is #131 out of 138 (zero Top 50 pass defenses faced)
• Arizona: QB Play ranks #24 against the #124 slate faced (0 Top 25 pass defenses)
• Ohio State: QB Play ranks #10, but has faced the #90 slate (only two Top 50 pass defenses seen)
🧱 SOFT START ➔ BRICK WALL (About to be Tested)
• Ohio State: Slate faced #90 ➔ remaining spikes to #4 (faces FOUR Top 25 pass defenses)
• Washington: Slate faced #86 ➔ remaining spikes to #3 (faces FOUR Top 25 pass defenses)
• Minnesota: Slate faced #80 ➔ faces the #1 hardest remaining pass defense slate (ALL 5 remaining opponents are Top 25 pass defenses)
• Missouri: Slate faced #84 ➔ remaining jumps to #9 (3 Top 25 pass defenses left)
📉 STRUGGLING AGAINST GAUNTLETS
• Texas A&M: QB Play ranks #120 against the #18 slate faced
• Maryland: QB Play ranks #121 against the #24 slate faced
• Michigan State: QB Play ranks #97 against the #2 slate faced
Full remaining schedule rankings and SOS quadrants in the reply below 👇
#CFB #CollegeFootball #Heisman
2026 Passing Offenses: Pass Defenses Faced vs. Remaining (thru Wk 8)
November will completely expose unproven passing games and reward QBs who already took their lumps:
🚨 THE MEATGRINDER (Toughest Remaining Pass Defenses)
• Minnesota (QB #99): #1 slate remaining — ALL FIVE remaining opponents rank in the Top 25 (#20, #2, #7, #12, #1)
• Rutgers (QB #65): #2 slate remaining (faces 4 Top 25 pass defenses: #6, #1, #14, #7)
• Washington (QB #53): #3 slate remaining (faces 4 Top 25 pass defenses: #14, #7, #20, #9)
• Ohio State (QB #10): #4 slate remaining (faces 4 Top 25 pass defenses: #9, #12, #14, #6)
• Oregon (QB #77): #5 slate remaining (faces 3 Top 25 pass defenses: #12, #11, #6)
• Michigan (QB #84): #6 slate remaining (faces 3 Top 25 pass defenses: #9, #2, #11)
📉 THE REALITY CHECKS (Soft Starts ➔ Brutal Finishes)
• Ohio State: Slate #90 faced ➔ #4 remaining
• Washington: Slate #86 faced ➔ #3 remaining
• Missouri: Slate #84 faced ➔ #9 remaining
• Minnesota: Slate #80 faced ➔ #1 remaining
🏝️ SURVIVED THE STORM (Smooth Sailing Ahead)
• Cal: Slate #3 faced ➔ drops to #113 remaining (0 Top 25 pass defenses left)
• Indiana: Slate #5 faced ➔ drops to #75 remaining (only 1 Top 25 left)
• Virginia Tech: Slate #21 faced ➔ drops to #102 remaining
• Georgia: Slate #25 faced ➔ drops to #83 remaining (0 Top 25 left)
Bookmark this chart to track which quarterbacks hold up through November.
#CFB #CollegeFootball #BigTen #SEC
Offense Rank vs. Strength of Defenses Faced (thru wk8)
/ Miss State has faced FIVE Top 25 defenses alone.
/ Miami, Notre Dame, and Wake Forest have faced two COMBINED.
/ Three Top 25 Defenses Remaining: Arizona, Arkansas, LSU, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Northwestern, South Carolina, Syracuse, Tennessee, Texas, Texas A&M, USC.
/ Indiana, Georgia, and Alabama Offenses faced the toughest part of their Defense Schedule.
/ Missouri Offense has faced one top 40 Defense.
Offense Rank vs. Strength of Defenses Faced & Remaining (thru Wk 8) 🧵👇
We charted all P4 + ND offenses by EPA/play against the strength of defenses faced—and where their schedules go from here:
🛡️ SURVIVING THE GAUNTLET (Tested & Elite)
• LSU: Offense EPA #5 despite facing the #9 defensive slate in FBS (4 Top 25 defenses faced).
• Ole Miss: Offense EPA #6 against the #6 slate faced (3 Top 25 defenses, 5 Top 50).
• Alabama: Offense EPA #7 against the #7 slate faced (3 Top 25 defenses, 5 Top 50)
• USC: Offense EPA #8 against the #8 slate faced (2 Top 25 defenses, 5 Top 50)
• Georgia: Offense EPA #3 while facing the #21 slate (2 Top 25 defenses)
🧁 ELITE NUMBERS, SOFT SLATES (Paper Tigers?)
• Miami: Ranks #1 in the nation in Offense EPA, but has faced the #72 defensive schedule (only ONE Top 25 defense seen)
• Notre Dame: Offense EPA #4 against the #49 slate (only 1 Top 25 defense)
• Wake Forest: Offense EPA #20 against the #121 slate (0 Top 25 defenses)
• Arizona: Offense EPA #30 against the #113 slate (0 Top 25 defenses)
🧱 BRUTAL SLATES, BATTLE-TESTED
• Miss State: Offense EPA #15 despite facing the nation's #1 toughest schedule of defenses (5 Top 25 defenses faced).
• Kentucky: Offense EPA #25 against the #2 slate (4 Top 25 defenses)
• Oklahoma: Offense EPA #68 against the #4 slate (4 Top 25 defenses)
Full breakdown of the toughest and easiest remaining schedules in the reply below 👇
#CFB #CollegeFootball
2026 Offenses: Defenses Faced vs. Defenses Remaining (thru Wk 8)
The second half of the season is set to completely flip the script on several offensive units:
🚨 THE MEATGRINDER (Brutal Remaining Defenses)
• Minnesota (Off #116): Faces the #1 hardest remaining slate (3 Top 25 defenses; ALL 5 remaining rank in Top 50).
• Arkansas (Off #64): Faces the #2 hardest remaining slate (3 Top 25 defenses; ALL 5 remaining rank in Top 50)
• Michigan (Off #70): Slate faced was #12 ➔ remaining jumps to #4 (faces 3 Top 25 defenses)
• Texas (Off #46): Slate faced was #11 ➔ remaining sits at #8 (faces 3 Top 25 defenses)
• LSU (#5) & USC (#8): No breathers after top-10 front halves—both face 3 more Top 25 defenses down the stretch (#12 and #11 remaining slates)
🏖️ SURVIVED THE STORM (Smooth Sailing Ahead)
• Indiana (Off #11): Faced the #24 slate ➔ drops all the way to #75 remaining (only 1 Top 25 defense left)
• Georgia (Off #3): Faced the #21 slate ➔ drops to #47 remaining
• Alabama (Off #7): Faced the #7 slate ➔ drops to #51 remaining
• Wake Forest (Off #20): Slate faced was #121 ➔ remaining stays soft at #91
Bookmark this chart to track which offenses hold their ranking through November.
Defense Rank vs. Str. of Off. Faced, 2026 thru week 8
/ UCLA Defense #1 - faced two Top 50 Offenses
/ Alabama Defense #5 - faced FOUR Top 25 Offenses
/ Three Top 25 Offenses Remaining: Auburn, Cincinnati, Georgia, Georgia Tech, Iowa, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt
/ Five Top 50 Offenses Remaining: Arkansas and Iowa
Alabama Defense has faced FIVE Top 30 Offenses while Michigan, Baylor, Utah, and UCLA Defenses have faced a combined three Top 30 Offenses.
Breakdown below. #CFB #Defense #APTop25 #RollTide
Arkansas Quant retweeted
It’s been 50 years since we had this few teams undefeated at this point in the season.
It’s awesome.
Everyone has a chance now.
And if you’re a traditional power managed by idiots you’re not safe.
Arkansas Quant retweeted
Most penalized SEC head coaches in the last 20 years.
We are the most penalized SEC team over a 20 year period.
The first chart just shows annual penalty rankings (so many years at 1).
But the second is pretty wild. Florida has accumulated 270 penalties above the FBS average, more than double second place.
That’s only about one extra penalty per game, but sustained over 20 years, it really adds up.
Includes all current SEC teams, even before they joined.
Arkansas Quant retweeted
@RazorbackMBB outscored Gonzaga by 12 with Cooper Bowser on the floor today. They were -8 when he was on the bench.
Full game stats including on/off splits, lineups, shift charts, and more advanced stats now live on basketballquant.com at the link below ⬇️
2026 G6 & FCS QBs w/ 2027 Eligibility
/ Efficiency vs. Pass D Faced
/ FCS QBs in replies
One grade for every level…
/ Broc Lowry #1 G6, #10 of 167 nationally
/ Kaden Anderson #1 FCS, grades with G6's top 10
/ Braden Atkinson #3 in G6 efficiency on 249 dropbacks
Opponent-adjusted EPA per dropback, CFBD play-by-play thru Wk 8
#CFB #FCS #FireUpChips #EatEmUpCats #GoBeavs
FCS board.
/ Efficiency and pass D faced vs FCS opponents only
/ Kaden Anderson #1 in efficiency, #32 of 167 overall
/ Gavin Rutherford top 10 in efficiency AND pass D faced
/ Austyn Modrzewski #2 in efficiency, #67 of 74 in pass D faced
#LetsGoPeay #AxeEm #GoYotes
