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Bitcoin does not only need price discovery.
It needs psychological digestion.
Every order of magnitude first sounds absurd:
$1
$10
$100
$1,000
$10,000
$100,000
$1,000,000
The first touch is not acceptance.
The real pattern is:
ridicule
first break
rejection
retrace
reclaim
normalisation
next target becomes imaginable
This is why $100,000 matters so much.
Not because Bitcoin touched it.
But because the market still has to make it boring.
My framework for Bitcoin valuation has three layers:
1. Valuation horizon
Gold is the clearest reference. Not a guarantee, not a law, but a mental anchor. It allows the market to imagine what a non-sovereign scarce monetary asset could be worth.
2. Credibility layer
Security, mining, liquidity, custody, regulation, decentralisation, ETFs, institutional access. These are the gravity layer. They decide whether the valuation horizon is believable.
3. Psychological catalyst
Markets do not update linearly. They update in jumps.
At $1,000, $10,000 sounded insane.
At $10,000, $100,000 became thinkable.
At $100,000, $1,000,000 enters the conversation.
Bitcoin is deeply reflexive.
Higher price can create legitimacy.
Legitimacy attracts capital.
Capital improves liquidity.
Liquidity attracts institutions.
Institutions reinforce credibility.
But it works both ways in bear markets.
So the question is not simply:
“Can Bitcoin reach $1 million?”
The better question is:
“What has to happen before $1 million stops sounding ridiculous?”
My answer:
Gold must remain the reference.
Fundamentals must keep improving.
And $100,000 must become boring.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
"Bitcoin will never break its all-time high again."
— Jason Calacanis
Jason, I'll bet you $1,000,000 that you're wrong.
Here are the terms:
Bitcoin must exceed $126,210.50 (its October 2025 ATH) before October 28, 2036.
If Bitcoin does, I win $1 million.
If it doesn't, you win $1 million.
We each put $1 million into independent escrow, with a mutually agreed custodian and objective price oracle.
The bet ends immediately if Bitcoin breaks the record. Otherwise, it settles on October 28, 2036.
No excuses. No moving the goalposts.
You said NEVER.
I'm giving you just 10 years.
Do we have a bet?
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Spending $10k on a sweater apparently doesn’t make you an expert on quantum and Bitcoin.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Chamath says Bitcoin goes to zero once AI cracks its cryptography - SHA-256 included.
Respectfully, that conflates AI, quantum computing, and two very different cryptographic problems.
SHA-256 isn’t the main quantum vulnerability.
Grover’s algorithm offers a square-root speedup for finding a matching input. That still leaves an enormous computational task, before accounting for the hardware overhead.
The more direct threat is to Bitcoin’s signatures: ECDSA and Schnorr. A sufficiently powerful quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm could recover a private key from an exposed public key. That’s the attack those resource estimates describe.
AI can help optimize circuits and search for new attacks. But “AI gets smarter” is not evidence that SHA-256 is broken. You still have to demonstrate an attack.
A practical break of SHA-256 would also have consequences far beyond Bitcoin. That wouldn’t make Bitcoin’s problem any smaller.
The questions that matter are concrete:
Which coins have exposed public keys?
How do we migrate to quantum-resistant signatures?
What happens to coins that never move?
How much warning do we get?
I expect manhy years of warning. That’s a judgment, not a guarantee - and a reason to prepare now.
“Bitcoin goes to zero” skips the engineering, the migration, and every decision in between.
Precision matters folks.
Check out ---> QuantumRekt.com for more info
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
The famous Umayyad Mosque in Damascus was originally a Cathedral.
Many people forget that the Middle East was majority Christian for centuries, and that the most prominent examples of 'islamic architecture' were built on top of existing work.
Syria was overwhelmingly Christian, until it was colonised.
Christian erasure in the Middle East is one of the greatest tragedies in all human history.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Here’s a table of publicly owned companies founded by Jews vs Muslims in the United States, and the total number of employees each has globally. (Finding United States employment numbers was far too difficult.)
This doesn't include private companies. Let me know if I have missed any.
Enjoy!
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
OCTOBER 7, 2023: SHE KNEW SHE WAS GOING TO DIE.
Libi Cohen-Meguri, a 22-year-old infantry officer, went to the Nova music festival.
She was shot while fleeing the party. At 8:11 a.m., she called her parents and said:
“I’ve been shot in the stomach, I’ve been shot in the arm, I’m losing blood. I’m going to die.”
Calmly, quietly, she understood; these were the last minutes of her life.
She asked her parents to call Tomer, her twin brother, and Maya, her little sister, and said:
“I’m going to die. I just want you to listen to me.
I love you, Yariv. You’re the best father I could have asked for.
Mom, stop screaming. Just listen to me. You are the best mother we could have ever had. Don’t forget to be a good mother to Tomer and Maya after I die.
Tomer, how lucky we were to live this life together. I love you.
My Maya, never forget—you are the treasure of my life.”
When she finished speaking, her parents told her to get out of the car, lie down on the road, and pretend to be dead.
With her last bit of strength, she got out of the car and laid down on the road.
“Mom, they’re coming to shoot me again,” Libi said after lying down.
While her mother listened on the phone, shouts in Arabic could be heard, and then a barrage of gunfire.
It didn’t stop.
It kept going, until the call was disconnected.
And that’s how Libi died—with demonic beasts from the pit of hell standing over her and emptying a full magazine into her body.
Libi died with LOVE on her lips: love for life, love for her family, and love for her people.
Her memory will forever be a blessing.
NEVER FORGET.
NEVER FORGIVE.
NEVER AGAIN IS NOW.
Israel is hunting down every single Palestinian and Hamas terrorist who participated in the October 7th Massacre—to kill them all.
They’re living on “borrowed time,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said.
Sooner or later, every one of these monsters will be found and eliminated.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Hello haters.
Another Jewish Nobel laureate.
French chemist Henri B. Kagan has just won the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry.
Jews account for roughly 22% of individual Nobel laureates, while Jews make up only about 0.2% of the world’s population.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Literally 10 days after October 7th, you were already debating what a 'proportionate response' is with the anti Semite Bassem Youssef.
BTW, the interview happened before Israel had even entered Gaza, which didn’t happen until October 27.
Lies. Lies and more lies.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Jason, you’ve watched Bitcoin grow since 2011. It’s now a $1.6 trillion success and the world’s most valuable digital asset. Digital Capital is the killer app. Preserving wealth across generations is a bigger ambition than entertaining a dinner party. The orange tie stays.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Hiking Rates Now Is A Massive Policy Mistake
@TressisSV
youtu.be/8_pay5rZyuw?si=bbzx…
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
We think our money is ours. Until someone says no.
Bitcoin changes one fundamental thing: you don't need permission to transact.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
ANCHORWATCH CEO ROB HAMILTON IS SPENDING THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS OF HIS OWN MONEY TO AUDIT EVERY SINGLE #BITCOIN CODEBASE
HE'S FOUND OVER 4,900 BUGS AND OVER 85 CRITICAL ISSUES
WHILE OTHERS ARE PANICKING, HE IS MARSHALING A CODER ARMY TO COMBAT ADVANCED AI THREATS
THIS STARTUP EXECUTIVE IS DOING EVERYTHING HE CAN TO SECURE MILLIONS WORTH OF BTC
WHAT AN ABSOLUTE LEGEND 🔥
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Thierry Henry on Argentina :
"Argentina are still unbeaten, yet every win comes with the same tired excuse: 'It's rigged.' Nobody wants to give them credit because that would mean accepting what has become obvious. Since Cristiano Ronaldo couldn't win the World Cup, some fans have turned every Argentina victory into a conspiracy instead of appreciating the football. That's not analysis, it's denial."
"Lionel Messi doesn't need anyone's validation anymore. If your first reaction to every Argentina win is 'rigged,' maybe it's because you've run out of football arguments. For me, the GOAT debate is over. It's Messi."
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
La carrera de Cristiano Ronaldo pasará a la historia como el mayor producto de mercadotecnia del fútbol moderno. A base de una maquinaria publicitaria implacable, lograron inflar a un gran rematador para vender la mentira de que estaba a la altura de los verdaderos genios del juego. Su obsesión por las estadísticas personales y su constante victimismo desenmascararon un mito artificial, demostrando que con suficiente propaganda se puede fabricar una narrativa para camuflar las carencias futbolísticas de un jugador que siempre dependió del sistema para brillar.
If BTC history repeats itself, it will take around 1000 days from the first touch of a psychological level (eg 1000, 10’000) to have a clean takeover of the $100k level to move towards the $1m milestone. That means we will surpass $100k by 9/27. In the meantime, drink tea and buy more sats.
- @dotkrueger