$SPX closed below the 100 DMA for the the 1st time since the downtrend in Q1. Despite the bounce into the close a weekly close below the 100 DMA is enough to confirm that it made an intermediate term top on Oct 6. The 200 DMA that's currently at 7310 may be in play in November.
$SPX closed below the 100 DMA for the the 1st time since the downtrend in Q1. Despite the bounce into the close a weekly close below the 100 DMA is enough to confirm that it made an intermediate term top on Oct 6. The 200 DMA that's currently at 7310 may be in play in November.
$QQQ - The trading range I mentioned yesterday was invalidated today when it broke below 700 and made an intraday low at 683. The 200 DMA is at 680 but given the bounce into the close it may not be hit next week. It's likely to bounce to 700 or even to the 100 DMA(719) next week.
$Gold has broken the October 2025 low at 3886 but the yearly pivot is at 3829, so I think it's likely to make an intermediate term low that is close to that level. It may undercut 3829 but I don't think we'll see a weekly close below it.
$AMZN weekly - At the intraday low($229) it hit the lower Bollinger Band and the 100 week MA, so we may have just seen an intermediate term low. If it makes a lower low in November it will likely be just a marginal lower low in the 225-226 range.
The worst October in history for the Nasdaq 100 index was in 1987(-27%), but other than the cases which OddStats has mentioned, there was another worse October, in 1997(-7.07%).
xitter.gq/OddStats/status/211613…
$INTC is crashing 28% but it will close the week below its 50 week MA, so don't try catching a falling knife. The next downside target is the 100 week MA that is currently at $51.30.
I have good news and bad news for $silver bugs. The good news is that it has reached $50. The bad news is that it's not bottoming at 50. The 81-84 trading day cycle indicates that the earliest it may bottom is November 9. The lowest level it may drop to is the Oct 2025 low(45.55)
A violent reversal that it will take it from $50 to $70. Then another violent reversal will take it from $70 to $28.
xitter.gq/hajiyev_rashad/status/…
CyclesFan retweeted
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$QQQ was down 1.4% today. Last week I posted the possibility it may be forming a similar trading range to the one that preceded the decline into the March low. After AMZN's disappointing earnings it looks like we'll see a decline to the bottom of the range near 700 tomorrow.
$AMZN hit the 200 day MA earlier today. Potential scenarios for post earnings tomorrow:
1. Selloff and retest of the June/July lows at 225-226.
2. The start of a rally to a new ATH, or at least an initial strong bounce that may lead to a retest of the June/July lows in November.
$MSFT - It looks like the daily candle will end up as a bearish engulfing candle. Last week's low was 515.70. If it breaks below 515.70 we will probably see a decline into November that targets the top of gap from August 3 at 475.
$GOOGL has dropped to 280 at the intraday low and probably made a temporary low, but despite wave C exceeding the equality target with wave A, wave C is probably not over yet. I think it's likely to retest the March low at 272 and maybe eve hit the 100 week MA in November.
At the moment Google is down 8% after earnings and is trading around $298. We'll see how it goes tomorrow.
xitter.gq/CyclesFan/status/21144…
$GOOGL is close to breaking the July low and I think it will break it eventually, if not next week then in November. The A=C downside target is $291.
$QQQ - 3rd up day in a row. It's approaching last week's high at 728 where we may see a bearish reversal. If the market likes Google's and Microsoft's earnings we may even see a pop to the 20 day MA which is about 1% above today's close.
Kalshi and Polymarket betting odds are not reliable. They are based on fake suppression polls.
xitter.gq/KalshiPolitics/status/…
$MSFT weekly - The possible scenarios for post earnings(not tomorrow, next few weeks):
1. Breakout to a new ATH that will target the 1st yearly resistance at 578.
2. Sharp selloff to the 20 week MA(currently at 470).
$SPX bounced to the 20 day MA today. The key level to watch is last week's high at 7770. If it breaks out above 7770 we'll probably see a new all time high. Tomorrow there's a Fed meeting and in all 3 Fed meetings under Kevin Warsh so far the market was down.
$QQQ - The intraday high was 715. 715 is where the gap from Thursday is and it acts as resistance. Trading above 715 will take it back to 728. I don't see it trading higher than 728 this week. On the other hand there's the important support at 700. Breaking it will lead to 680.
























