#DaBears Writer, Analyst & Creator Where Advanced Analytics Meets 312 Sports
Chicago, IL
Joined September 2025
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Kyler Gordon’s first career INT came against the Patriots.
Drake Maye ranks 2nd in the NFL in interceptions thrown.
👀
With T.J. Edwards out, it’s worth noting how impressive Noah Sewell was against Atlanta.
• 6 Total Tackles
• 3 Run Stops
• 1 Tackle for Loss
• 82.2 PFF Grade
And he made several plays that don’t even show up on the stat sheet.
Chicago has serious depth at linebacker.
Christian Gonzalez is a top 10 CB in the NFL, but there’s a big drop off behind him in New England’s secondary.
In catches allowed, the Patriots’ CB2 position ranks 29th out of 32 teams (@statyxio).
With Carlton Davis dealing with an injury, Chicago’s WR room should have a mismatch all night.
Bears Facts retweeted
Burden gives Caleb a real touchdown threat Thursday. He leads Chicago’s wideouts with 43 targets and 361 yards through Week 6.
His nine red-zone targets are more than Odunze and Raymond combined. That connection could be a big part of another multi-TD night for Caleb.
A nugget for Thursday night’s Bears-Patriots matchup:
Caleb Williams’ passing TD line is set at 1.5. He’s hit 80% over in the last 10 games.
The Patriots’ pass defense ranks 21st in both pass success rate and CPOE allowed.
Caleb Williams ranks 1st in the NFL in CPOE.
Data via @statyxio
A nugget for Thursday night’s Bears-Patriots matchup:
Caleb Williams’ passing TD line is set at 1.5. He’s hit 80% over in the last 10 games.
The Patriots’ pass defense ranks 21st in both pass success rate and CPOE allowed.
Caleb Williams ranks 1st in the NFL in CPOE.
Data via @statyxio
The Bears should kick the tires on Quenton Nelson if the Colts have a fire sale.
Joe Thuney was traded for a 4th round pick.
Imagine:
LT: Joe Thuney
LG: Quenton Nelson
RG: Jonah Jackson
RT: Darnell Wright
Nelson is still only 30 and could eventually replace Thuney. This also gives Ozzy Trapilo more time to develop.
Don’t forget. The Bears also drafted the best Center in all of college football last year!
Wrote my first article. Really excited to start sharing more of my thoughts and love for the game in a different way.
Hope you guys enjoy reading it as much as I enjoyed writing it!
Caleb Williams’ NFL Rankings, per (@statyx):
• Completion %: 72.5% (1st)
• CPOE: +9.8% (1st)
• Clean Pocket Comp %: 84.7% (1st)
• Comp % No Blitz: 87.5% (1st)
• EPA/Dropback: +0.332 (4th)
• Success Rate: 51.4% (3rd)
• INT Rate: 1.1% (7th)
• Sack Rate: 9.0% (5th)
• Comp % Under Pressure: 50.0% (7th)
@CALEBcsw is HIM.
People will tell you Matthew Golden is better than Luther Burden because he has more yards and catches.
Golden leads the NFL in drops despite being top 5 in targets.
Luther Burden vs. AtL ran 18 routes and had 8 targets.
More opportunities don’t automatically mean you’re the better player. That’s why advanced analytics matter.
Luther Burden ran just 18 routes.
He got targeted on EIGHT of them. 👀
Three Week 6 WR performances that get more interesting beneath the box score 👇
✦ Luther Burden III — CHI
44.4% targets per route. Eight catches, 95 yards and 5.28 yards per route, with 49 yards coming after the catch. Limited routes, huge involvement whenever he went out.
✦ Jaylin Noel — HOU
Four targets produced 107 yards and +9.34 receiving EPA. Every target became a first down or TD. His 18.2% target rate wasn’t huge what he did with those opportunities was: 4.86 yards per route.
✦ Carnell Tate — TEN
64.9% of TEN’s air yards and a target on 31.8% of his routes. Four of seven targets produced first downs. His 70 yards came with 3.18 yards per route and +5.80 receiving EPA.
Burden demanded the ball. Noel made a handful of chances count. Tate carried most of TEN’s downfield opportunity.
Three very different reasons to pay attention.
📊 Statyx Data Lab / Route IQ
Massive 4th down. Horrendous call.
@NFLOfficiating has some serious explaining to do.
Calls like this are ruining the game.
Caleb for MVP is happening, isn’t it?
Caleb Williams missed three games, came back from a hamstring injury and immediately put himself in the CHI record book 🥶
📈 30/36 Passing
📈 305 yards
✅ 1 TD, 0 INT
💎 111.2 passer rating
That 83.3% completion rate is the highest by a CHI QB on 30+ attempts since at least 1950 🤯
What I like is the efficiency alongside the accuracy. He averaged 8.5 yards per attempt while completing five out of every six throws. CHI got 95 receiving yards from Burden and another 65 from Loveland.
The offense finished three drives with rushing TDs, so the single passing touchdown undersells his afternoon.
CHI wins 31–23. QB1 returns, clears 300 and sets a franchise benchmark.
Three games away. Six incompletions back. Hell of a return 🐻
Jonah Jackson:
• 212 pass-blocking snaps
• 0 sacks allowed
Joe Thuney:
• 212 pass-blocking snaps
• 0 sacks allowed
Darnell Wright:
• PFF’s No. 2 ranked tackle out of 72
Not a single Bear. At some point, you have to wonder what exactly they’re grading.
I’m seeing a lot of “you can’t analyze Caleb Williams’ stats off 7 quarters.”
That’s exactly why advanced analytics matter…..because you actually can.
It’s not just who has more yards, TDs, or better numbers on a stat sheet.
It’s about what a player did with the opportunities they had, whether that’s 7 quarters or 7 games.
You have to look at their role, how they perform against different coverages, what defenses are throwing at them, and how effective they are in those situations.
Helping you understand what the numbers actually mean is what @statyxio does.
I’ve barely scratched the surface of everything it has to offer but I’m excited to keep breaking down the game from both a 10,000 foot view and under a microscope.
Caleb Williams’ first game back after tearing the same hamstring?
He broke the Cotton Bowl record.
37/52 passing. 472 yards. 5 TDs.
The Falcons aren’t ready.
2024 NFL QB Draft Class: Advanced Stat Comparison
Caleb Williams vs. Jayden Daniels vs. Drake Maye vs. Bo Nix
Bears Facts retweeted
Bears fans must be happy seeing Kalif Raymond ranking better than GB's WR1/WR2 😅
Kalif Raymond ranks 2nd in the NFL in Catch Percentage and 5th in Separation (@statyxio)
Throw it his way, and he’s coming down with it.
He’s producing like a top 10 WR in the NFL right now.