Author • Historian • Political Commentator • Host of 'The David Chapman Show' • Baseball Fanatic • DM for Contact • Opinions Are My Own •

Moline, Illinois
Joined March 2015
Histrionic Election Analysts Soon to Face Wednesday Morning: My Final Election Prediction for 2026.
2
5
1
33
9,107
I was at that game!
That means 19.86 million people witnessed a Caleb Williams masterclass on primetime. 🍿
1
6
765
Everyone can see the early voting electorate in Texas. He's betting on Paxton to win. Guarantee it.
Baris: Paxton is in deep shit. (If Paxton loses, as now appears will be the case, the chances of the GOP holding the Senate are zero)
15
6
301
16,618
I have given my Governors prediction, Senate, House, and generic ballot predictions. One last prediction. I expect Republicans to get 45-46.5% of the national vote in the generic ballot.
3
1
45
8,307
Per NBC/Target Smart, this is the Age breakdown of early voting nationwide. The 18-29 age group is still sitting at 6% of the electorate. A lot of polls had that group at 15-18%. Starting to look like polls have the electorate wrong.
23
42
5
313
14,263
No way! 🤣🤣🤣
#BREAKING: Ilhan Omar’s alleged brother-husband posted a photo with her daughter captioned ‘Nieces.’
2
7
1,873
Stop pretending you know what voters want. You got 1% of the vote last time your ran for congress.
Low-propensity voters, whom the GOP relies on to win now, are not motivated by TV ads or mailers. Doors win wars. GOP consultants know this, but they care more about lining their own pockets and those of their vendors than they do about winning.
2
3
47
2,119
Last I checked Boomers are still pretty conservative and this is a midterm election. Young voters dont vote in any meaningful amount. That has always been the flaw in your "burn it down" strategy.
Low-propensity voters, whom the GOP relies on to win now, are not motivated by TV ads or mailers. Doors win wars. GOP consultants know this, but they care more about lining their own pockets and those of their vendors than they do about winning.
4
1
45
2,089
No Rich, you want to "Burn it down". Young voters arent even gonna vote.
Young Voters wanting to🔥 Burn It Down 🔥 I warned all of you. Think twice before assuming in your models all those partisans are your votes. You'll assume wrong. amazon.com/gp/aw/d/B0HJRZ7JG…
13
5
1
132
3,793
F*** Around. Find out.
BREAKING: Former FBI Director James Comey has been charged with violating the Espionage Act for allegedly directing the disclosure of national defense information to a reporter in 2016. The case is assigned to Judge Trevor McFadden in Washington, D.C.
1
1
103
3,235
David D. Chapman retweeted
The latest episode of The David Chapman Show has dropped. Why I voted Republican: My Final Prediction for 2026. youtube.com/live/5JOfZPq-r8A…
2
13
2,887
David D. Chapman retweeted
I will join the It's All Interesting Podcast w/ @cliffordesq again on Tuesday to discuss the election. Last week's episode is available on the It's All Interesting YouTube Channel. Great conversation. Please watch. youtu.be/Lkxd6-Z-FiM?si=EfJ8…
2
1
2,200
My Final Governors Predictions Alaska 🟦 Kress-Tomkins by 2-3pts Texas 🟥 Abbott by 5-7pts Ohio 🟥 Ramaswamy by 1-2pts Georgia 🟥 Jackson by 2-3pts Florida 🟥 Donalds by 7pts Kansas 🟥 Masterson by 7pts Iowa 🟦 Sand by 2-4pts Nevada 🟥 Lombardo by 1-2pts Final 🟥 Republicans 25 🟦 Democrats 25 Democrats net gain of 1
64
17
3
284
68,109
Trade Dearborn for 5-7pts in Detroit could possibly be enough because of the vote density in detriot.
Let’s trade Dearborn for Detroit…
11
1,291
YouGov only has Mohammed by 2pts. Mike Rogers might actually win.
New - Senate poll - Michigan 🔵 Abdul El-Sayed 48% 🔴 Mike Rogers 46% YouGov (B) - LV - 10/19
3
4
69
1,991
It pains me to see this psycho bitch winning. When are we gonna stop running John James for Office in Michigan? Seriously.
New - Governor poll - Michigan 🔵 Jocelyn Benson 53% (+1.3) 🔴 John James 41% (-2.1) Last poll: Benson +9 (3.4 point 🔵 swing) YouGov (B) - LV - 10/19
34
6
3
278
18,647
Like I said. Paxton by 2-3pts.
Basically if rurals vote at the exact same rate on e-day in 2022, we can expect about a Paxton+2.6 result. If FatUglyRats numbers are correct. If they show up at 2018 numbers, Paxton+1.8
12
7
1
240
7,838
File under things that never happened.
Baris: a poll respondent who voted for DJT disapproved of DJT's remarks about Nikki Minaj's ass b/c she found them disrespectful to Melania. The voter also said that such remarks are not funny when grocery prices are so high.
4
2
99
3,104
I will join the It's All Interesting Podcast w/ @cliffordesq again on Tuesday to discuss the election. Last week's episode is available on the It's All Interesting YouTube Channel. Great conversation. Please watch. youtu.be/Lkxd6-Z-FiM?si=EfJ8…
2
1
2,200