Author • Historian • Political Commentator • Host of 'The David Chapman Show' • Baseball Fanatic • DM for Contact • Opinions Are My Own •

Moline, Illinois
Joined March 2015
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I was at that game!
That means 19.86 million people witnessed a Caleb Williams masterclass on primetime. 🍿
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Replying to @AF_Insight
Like I mentioned. His thesis is crap. The young voters he claims are apart of Trump's 2024 coalition and Republicans abandoned these voters were never Republicans just anti-harris. How many young voters voted Trump and Democrat down ticket? His thesis is a poorly educated assumption
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Replying to @AF_Insight
Young voters are democrats. Thats the biggest flaw of his premise about "trump's coalition" Young voters like Mamdani and any of them that voters Trump 2024 did so not because they loved MAGA but because RFK jr dropped out and Harris was not an option.
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Everyone can see the early voting electorate in Texas. He's betting on Paxton to win. Guarantee it.
Baris: Paxton is in deep shit. (If Paxton loses, as now appears will be the case, the chances of the GOP holding the Senate are zero)
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Replying to @RedEaglePatriot
I have dems only netting 1 Governorship and 1 senate seat. And 8-20 house seats. Right now in early voting, 55% of the electorate is 65+ Only 6% are 18-29
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Replying to @kicksave24
In 2018, Republicans got 44.8%
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I have given my Governors prediction, Senate, House, and generic ballot predictions. One last prediction. I expect Republicans to get 45-46.5% of the national vote in the generic ballot.
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Per NBC/Target Smart, this is the Age breakdown of early voting nationwide. The 18-29 age group is still sitting at 6% of the electorate. A lot of polls had that group at 15-18%. Starting to look like polls have the electorate wrong.
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I think his book sucks. It's already being resold on ebay and other used book outlets. His book is top 40 in "revolutionary history" kinda like my book was no. 1 in "baseball history books" A very niche subcategory. Its like having a no. 1 hit on the holiday charts.
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Him and Richie keep claiming politicians and donors send them texts about me. Seriously. The ego on these doorknobs
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Replying to @Peoples_Pundit
Did you know it private group chats people refer to you as an aging lesbian and an arrogant psycho path? And my favorite. Your hair dye is worse than Fat Elvis.
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Replying to @DavidGiglioCA
I think you're jealous. You and @Peoples_Pundit are always saying how people talk shit about me in private. If that's true, it's sad people are wasting their time with a normal MidWesterner like me. Its says they are jealous
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Replying to @Loftii
I don't think so. I think the Republicans put a bad candidate up in Iowa. He lives in Kansas and has said does not intend to move to Iowa if election.
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Replying to @MarkDou24947387
You had me thinking until you said James will win in MI.
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No way! 🤣🤣🤣
#BREAKING: Ilhan Omar’s alleged brother-husband posted a photo with her daughter captioned ‘Nieces.’
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Stop pretending you know what voters want. You got 1% of the vote last time your ran for congress.
Low-propensity voters, whom the GOP relies on to win now, are not motivated by TV ads or mailers. Doors win wars. GOP consultants know this, but they care more about lining their own pockets and those of their vendors than they do about winning.
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Last I checked Boomers are still pretty conservative and this is a midterm election. Young voters dont vote in any meaningful amount. That has always been the flaw in your "burn it down" strategy.
Low-propensity voters, whom the GOP relies on to win now, are not motivated by TV ads or mailers. Doors win wars. GOP consultants know this, but they care more about lining their own pockets and those of their vendors than they do about winning.
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No Rich, you want to "Burn it down". Young voters arent even gonna vote.
Young Voters wanting to🔥 Burn It Down 🔥 I warned all of you. Think twice before assuming in your models all those partisans are your votes. You'll assume wrong. amazon.com/gp/aw/d/B0HJRZ7JG…
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Replying to @Loftii
Would have to be a pretty big polling error.
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