Doc Holiday retweeted
I had to make the 'Final Brief Thread' on Musk/SpaceX's coordinated operation with Russia against ICEYE-X36 (the U.S.-licensed, American-operated radar spy satellite ) very technical so every calculation, orbital timestamp, and primary source is fully documented in one place. In plain English: Elon Musk is enabling our enemies while we bail him out.
$SPCX $TSLA
In the exact same week SpaceX throttled military Starshield links in Ukraine and pinned ICEYE-X36 for a Russian space weapon, Pete Hegseth and Pentagon CTO Emil Michael were busy rescuing Musk's balance sheet (and likely setting up nice kickbacks for a down-the-road return for themselves):
1. SpaceX absorbed xAI and burned $19.5B in Q3 against $14.58B in revenue.
2. Publicly traded Tesla dumped $2B-$3B of shareholder cash into private SpaceX/xAI stock to plug the hole.
3. Hegseth and Emil Michael (who cashed out $5M-$25M in xAI stock tax-deferred while keeping 5 personal LLC wrappers open with surviving options/profit interests) wired $8.8B+ in "Contractor-Owned" DoD deals where U.S. taxpayers pay for the satellites, but Musk (~79% voting control) keeps 100% ownership of the assets AND the physical kill-switches.
4. Now Tesla and SpaceX have formed Merger Special Committees to roll those taxpayer-funded assets together to prop up Musk's 207.5M pledged TSLA shares and $5.96B China loan.
Think about how screwed we are in this setup: we pay for the satellites, we fund the bailout, and Musk keeps the kill-switch over our military entering Iran Round Two. When does it end?
FINAL: SpaceX Blocked A U.S. And NATO Satellite to Assist a Russian Intercept After Crippling Ukraine's Air Defenses
New 5-page institutional brief & 60s 3D SGP4 orbital reconstruction with Craig Pirrong, Ph.D. @streetwiseprof | Data & Forensics: RAB @LibertyLynx
Pages 1-3 & 3D animation below; Pages 4-5 in Post 2; full 5-page PDF link in Post 3 🧵👇
As Craig Pirrong's counterfactual framework establishes: The Russian intercept is not the smoking gun. The failure to maneuver is.
1. The Sprinting Satellite Paradox & -96.64% Target Freeze (Page 1): Between Oct 13 and 24, 2026, Russian counterspace weapon COSMOS 2612 (68762) converted a 5-month, ~170 m/s co-planar trailing option into a 0.759 km sub-kilometer hold against U.S.-licensed radar satellite ICEYE-X36 (59103), which guides Ukraine's autonomous deep strikes on Russian oil refineries without SpaceX links, at the exact moment SpaceX throttled Ukrainian military Starshield terminals (-23.0% USF air-defense hits).
In June 2026 (with no Starlink alert), ICEYE-X36 defeated a Russian approach by dropping 0.500 km, generating 71.08 km/day secular drift (3.62 km/h in the sprint frame), exiting Russia's 3.0 km braking box in 49.7 to 60.78 minutes, blowing past Russia's 12 km or under onboard KTZ sensor in 3.31 hours, and causing a 103.7 to 118.5 km miss.
In October, as COSMOS 2612 fired a -2.2184 km (370.8x perched shock / 449.1x fit jump) burn to sprint 14.29x faster (400 km/day / 278 m/min), ICEYE-X36's evasion collapsed by 96.64% (to 16.8154 meters or less, P3 = 3.363%).
* Why? The Alert Itself Was the Weapon: SpaceX maintained a 0.401 km (0.711 km Oct 16) public GP collision alert via STARLINK-35856 (67013) despite holding internal v3/v4 forecasts 4.80x to 5.00x wider (1.925 to 2.003 km) and withholding autonomous Starlink clearance (M_Starlink = 0, W_X36 = 1, W_COSMOS = 0), legally freezing X36 under David Goldman's 2023 FCC Condition 16 (DA 23-797).
* Rational Russian exercise across a 363.7 km blind gap required ex-ante certainty of K = (E1, E2, E3). Across all 5 capability levers, SpaceX is the sole actor (N = 1): Posterior = 99.893% to 99.978% (Tier A floor; 1 in 3,748 to 17,841) and up to 99.999% (Tier B K-set).
2. Four-Way Tracker Blindness & What NRO/USSF Saw Live (Page 2):
* Public Catalogs (18th/19th SDS): Blind for 21.824 hours (363.7 km unobserved closure) on sprint (k6 to k7) and 19.385 hours on brake (k9 to k10, -382.71 km SGP4 delta).
* Russian Ground Radars (SKKP Krona/Okno): Bounded by Earth curvature at 541 km to a 22.8 degree (2,530 km) horizon cone, blind for 8 to 10 hours/day (80% to 94.5% of the orbit) with zero Americas/Pacific coverage.
* The Sole Unblinded Commercial Panopticon: Only SpaceX's Stargaze (31,000 star trackers, 40M+ daily tracks, 17M associated, 850 sightings/day, 7 to 15 min global custody / 99.73% 10-min hit rate) and sub-1-minute Space Safety portal (Appendix A & Section 4(b), with Chinese operators onboarded Oct 6 & 16) had real-time visibility across the blind gap, while NRO & USSF watch floors watched live on the classified High Accuracy Catalog (HAC / Space Fence / Vantor WorldView NEI), realizing 348 Starshield satellites in orbit (245 NRO spy satellites) sit on the same SpaceX bus.
3. Contracted Capacity Is Not Combat Availability & The 6-Way C2 Collapse (Page 3):
* Combat Output = Sensor Availability x Link Availability x Platform Availability x Permission Arriving Before Mission Window Closes (T_permission <= T_mission).
* The Two-Pronged Pincer: SpaceX weaponized FCC Condition 16 to freeze the Sensor Layer in orbit and a Commercial ToS ($500 liability cap) to blind the Transport Layer on the ground.
* 70-90 km/h Civilian Baseline vs. 4 Collapsed Alibis: Civilian Starlink in Ukraine was already capped at 70 to 90 km/h since Feb 2026 (S. Beskrestnov). The Oct 13-24 101 to 161 km/h gate hit DoD-contracted military Starshield links (-23.0% USF hits; Oct 19 Nova Vodolaha strike). Musk cycled through 4 contradicting alibis in 12 days (blaming DoD/POTUS Oct 14 -> ToS offensive loophole Oct 24 -> "sympathy for poor Russian conscripts" Oct 25 -> Russian ASAT/debris fear Oct 26), while resolving the exact same "weapon ToS" objection on U.S. LUCAS suicide drones in Iran via a 5x price hike ($5,000 to $25,000/mo)!
* COCO vs. GOGO ($8.8B+ Sign-Off Chain): Under Contractor-Owned, Contractor-Operated (COCO/OTA) deals signed off by Pete Hegseth, Stephen Feinberg, CTO Emil Michael, Lt. Gen. Philip Garrant, Gen. Michael Guetlein, Col. Ryan Frazier, Clare Hopper & NRO's Dr. Chris Scolese, taxpayers fund the satellites while SpaceX's civilian NOC retains 100% of the physical thruster and velocity kill-switches.
(Continued in Post 2: Pages 4 & 5: Statutory Breach Matrix, CTO Emil Michael's $7M-$35M OGE Clock, the $19.5B SpaceX Bailout Loop, Iran Round Two Magazine Depletion & Subpoena Schedule. Full PDF link in Post 3 👇) $SPCX $TSLA
Doc Holiday retweeted
⚡ Wow... ❗Alarming news has appeared on X (formerly Twitter). If this is true, it is a huge facepalm and a fiasco for Elon Musk 🫢
According to an investigation, the owner of SpaceX blocked a US and NATO satellite to help Russians intercept it following the paralysis of Ukraine's air defense.
US researchers uncovered a reality that Musk carefully conceals and does not want anyone to know about. It turned out that on October 13–14, SpaceX not only restricted Starshield/Starlink during a massive Russian attack involving 39 missiles and hundreds of drones—reducing Ukrainian drone interceptions by 23% and even leaving US personnel in Kyiv without communication 👀
48 hours later (October 15), the owner of SpaceX also blocked a US-licensed orbital radar satellite, ICEYE-X36 (used by the NRO, US Space Force, and NATO), using his satellite so that the Russian military satellite COSMOS 2612 could intercept it (posterior probability of 99.89%–99.98%).
🔥 The Pentagon, the US Space Force, and NATO are simply furious over this betrayal of national interests. From now on, the US military cannot rely on "cooperation" with Musk or feel secure amid such absurd blunders, nor can partners from other countries.
Wonder how this might end? 🤔
Doc Holiday retweeted
You want names? Here you go.
Lev Shlosberg — sentenced to 11 years in August 2026.
Maksim Kruglov — sentenced to 7 years in June 2026.
Alexei Gorinov — imprisoned since 2022.
Sergei Udaltsov — sentenced to 6 years in December 2025.
Four Russian opposition figures. Four surnames.
You asked for names, and I delivered. Now tell me who’s lying, you clown.
Doc Holiday retweeted
There is a very simple path to peace: Russia accepts that Ukraine is a sovereign state, and withdraws its troops to its own territory.
The Coffin Maker of San Miguel
A Fistful of Dollars, retold from the end of the street
I. The Slate
Piripero opens his shop every morning at sunrise. He does this whether or not the night was busy, though lately every night has been busy.
He sweeps the step, sets out a fresh board of pine, and stands for a moment looking at the slate behind the counter. Every mark on it is a body. Every body is three silver dollars for a plain box, five for a lid that closes properly, and eight with brass handles, which widows always buy. He wipes the slate clean on the first of each month and starts over. It's the only part of his work he finds sad.
Piripero isn't from San Miguel. He came up from the far south as a young man with a trunk, a head full of plans, and a family name he preferred not to discuss. His father had been a hard, clever man in the south. He was an engineer with money behind him, and he always claimed a share in a gem mine somewhere across a border. Piripero tells people the share never amounted to much. He tells them very little else about the man, except that his father was cruel, and that he left him behind. Nobody in San Miguel has ever met his father. Piripero prefers it that way. A man with no past can be whatever the town needs him to be: a carpenter, a philanthropist, a mourner.
He ties on his black armband, which he wears every day of the year, and hears the church bell start up. Juan de Dios rings it for each of the dead. Piripero can't remember the last time he heard silence from that tower. He hums along as he works.
II. The Two Houses
From his doorway at the end of the street, Piripero can see both houses that keep him in business.
On the east side are the Rojo brothers. They sell liquor, and they've grown rich selling it to everyone, including their enemies. Old Don Miguel talks endlessly about the days when the Rojo name ran all the way to the river. Esteban does what he's told. Ramón is the one who matters: patient, smiling, and deadly with a rifle. He keeps a young wife named Marisol in the big house. He says she owes him an old debt, and that she was his before she ever married. Her husband and little boy live across the street on the west side, and the boy runs for her door several times a day. Ramón's men throw him back into the dust every time.
Piripero finds it heartbreaking. He says so to anyone who'll listen.
On the west side are the Baxters. They sell guns. John Baxter wears a sheriff's star and talks about law. His wife, Consuelo, runs the business and counts the money. They have cousins all over the territory who'll send a letter or a crate, but never a rider.
Piripero drinks with the Rojos on Mondays and the Baxters on Tuesdays. Both families like him. He listens well, never takes sides, and always seems genuinely saddened by what the other family has done. On his porch he has nailed a board where anyone may post a notice. Most of the notices are his. They grieve for the dead and remark, more in sorrow than in anger, how easily all this could end.
The only person in San Miguel who doesn't like him is old Silvanito at the cantina. Silvanito once watched Piripero's face during a rumour of peace, and he hasn't trusted him since.
III. The Cowboy
The cowboy rides in at noon on a horse too good for the town, wearing a hat meant to be noticed. He came down from the north, where men like him always seem to come from.
Piripero gets to his doorway before anyone else and looks him over the way he looks at everyone: height, shoulders, how long a box he'd need. Then he looks again, more carefully. Nobody rides into San Miguel on a horse like that unless he's come to sell something.
Three Baxter gunmen laugh at the horse. The cowboy walks over to them. As he passes the shop he says, without looking, "Get three coffins ready."
Piripero already has his tape measure out.
The shooting takes about as long as a sneeze. On his way back, the cowboy touches his hat brim. "My mistake. Four coffins."
Piripero closes his eyes and lets one tear run down. When he opens them, he sees the cowboy for what he is. He isn't trouble. He's weather. A man like that doesn't end feuds. He comes and goes like a wind that keeps the fire going. Piripero decides to like him very much.
That evening, the Rojos hire the cowboy. Over dinner they talk about old misunderstandings put behind them and a fresh start between the cowboy's people and the Rojo family. Piripero, washing his hands in the basin, thinks that fresh starts have never cost him a single customer.
IV. The Ridge
A column of soldiers comes up from the south, escorting a wagon of gold. Piripero hears about it the way he hears about everything, over a drink, from someone who shouldn't have told him.
He doesn't warn the soldiers. That isn't his business, he tells himself. His business comes afterward.
The Rojos ride out in borrowed uniforms with the insignia cut away, so that from any distance they're nobody's soldiers. Ramón cuts the column down from the ridge. When the questions start, the Rojos say no Rojo was anywhere near the river. They say it must have been strangers, or local men with grievances.
Piripero sends his apprentices out with the wagon to collect the dead. Officially, the soldiers belong to nobody, so nobody pays for their boxes. He buries them anyway, very decently, and makes sure the whole town sees him do it. A reputation for charity is worth more than a few unpaid boxes. He keeps two of the bodies back in the cold room behind the shop. He isn't sure why. It's just a habit of his to keep anything that might be useful later.
V. The Truce
To keep anyone from looking too closely at the gold, the Rojos invite the Baxters to dinner and propose a truce. It's written out in a fine hand with many clauses, and both families sign it. John Baxter makes a speech about law. Consuelo counts the silverware.
Piripero is at the table too. He's the first to raise his glass to peace, and his voice breaks as he says the word. Several people are moved. On the walk home, he lets himself into the shop, lights a lamp, and stands for a long time looking at the slate.
A truce, he knows, is the most dangerous thing that can happen to a coffin maker.
So the next morning, when the cowboy comes looking for two dead soldiers to prop up in the cemetery as fake witnesses, Piripero has them ready. He doesn't ask what they're for. He wraps them in clean sheets and charges nothing. "Poor souls," he says. "Let them do some good."
By noon both families have heard there are survivors in the cemetery. By one o'clock they're shooting at each other across the headstones. The truce is still lying on the dinner table, ink barely dry.
Piripero watches from the cemetery wall with his hat over his heart. Of all the places in San Miguel for a fight, this one is the most considerate. It saves him the walk.
VI. The Exchange
In the confusion, the Rojos capture the Baxters' son, Antonio, and the Baxters take Marisol from the Rojo house. Both families agree to an exchange at dawn in the middle of the street.
Piripero gets up early for it. He likes an exchange. It's the closest thing San Miguel has to a holiday.
At sunrise Antonio walks home to the west side and Marisol walks back to the east, into Ramón's house. Her little boy breaks loose and runs to her across the street, calling her name. Ramón's men throw him back into the dirt. The Baxters have their son back, so as far as they're concerned, the matter is settled. John Baxter calls it a reasonable compromise.
Piripero dabs his eyes, says how good it is to see families reunited, and walks home. On the way, he notices how tall the boy has grown. In a few more years, he thinks, the boy will be big enough to fight. He makes a note of it.
VII. The Box
The cowboy gets Marisol out at night. Piripero hears it from his bed, in the pattern of the gunfire. In the morning, he learns the family is gone. They fled south with every dollar the cowboy had taken from the Rojos. The town is saying he did it out of kindness. Piripero smiles at that. In his experience, men from the north are always kind when kindness costs their rivals more than it costs them.
The Rojos find out. They take the cowboy into a back room and beat him for a night and a day. Piripero hears that too. By the second evening, word in the cantina is that Ramón means to finish him by morning.
Piripero sits alone in his shop and does the arithmetic.
A dead cowboy means one box, a good one, with brass handles. But it also means a Rojo town. The Baxters would fold within the month, the west side would be quiet, and the bell would stop. San Miguel would go back to eleven a year, and a coffin maker in a peaceful town is just a carpenter. Piripero didn't come all the way up from the south to be a carpenter.
A live cowboy is the hinge the whole war swings on, and a cowboy who owes his life to a coffin maker is worth more than all the brass handles in the territory.
So that night Piripero loads an empty coffin onto his cart and drives it through the Rojo gate. The guards wave him through, because they always do. Nobody ever checks a coffin. When he drives back out, the box is heavier.
He hides the cowboy in an old mine above town and goes up every day with food, water, whiskey, and the news, which he shapes a little as he tells it. The cowboy, half-delirious, calls him the only honest man in San Miguel. Piripero accepts this graciously.
VIII. The Fire
The night Ramón can't find the cowboy, he takes it out on the Baxters. His men pour oil around the walls of the Baxter house and light it. The Baxters stumble into the street coughing, and the Rojo rifles are waiting.
It is the greatest night in the history of Piripero's shop.
He stands at the edge of the firelight with his hat in his hands and tears running down his face. When Consuelo Baxter screams from her burning doorway, he flinches as if he's been hit, and his apprentices have to hold him up. By morning the slate is full and he has to buy another. At the mass grave he's the last mourner to leave. He kneels in the dirt. The priest is so moved that he mentions it in his sermon.
Back at the shop, alone, Piripero does the arithmetic again and allows himself one small glass of the Rojos' brandy.
That afternoon the Rojos catch Silvanito carrying food to the mine. Silvanito doesn't know that Piripero sent him the long way, past the Rojo warehouse. He hangs by his wrists for two days and tells them nothing. When Piripero visits him afterward, he weeps at the sight of the rope burns. Silvanito watches him with tired, clear eyes and says nothing.
IX. The Iron
The cowboy is healing, and he wants to go back down and finish Ramón. Piripero is worried about that. A finished Ramón is the same problem as a finished cowboy, only with the sides swapped.
So Piripero brings him iron. It's a heavy plate from the coffin maker's own workshop, the one he uses to weight the boxes so the wind can't tip them. He helps the cowboy hammer it into a vest, and he works more carefully than he's ever worked on anything. He isn't trying to make the cowboy win. He's trying to make him impossible to kill.
A man who can't be killed, against a man who won't stop shooting. Piripero thinks it may be the finest thing he's ever built.
X. Noon
The cowboy walks into San Miguel at noon while the bell is ringing. Piripero is in his doorway, of course. He wouldn't miss this.
Ramón meets him in the street, smiling, with his rifle. Ramón has always believed the rifle beats the pistol. He fires at the cowboy's heart, and the cowboy falls. Then the cowboy gets up. Ramón fires again, and again the cowboy gets up. He empties the rifle at the cowboy's heart, and every time, the cowboy gets back up and keeps walking.
In Leone's film, this is where Ramón dies in the dust.
But the cowboy has changed hats again since the mine. He stops just out of range, holsters his pistol, and calls across the street that this has gone on long enough. He says there's a table ready in a town across the desert, where nobody's dead are buried, and that both families will come and talk. He'll sit at the head.
Ramón lowers his rifle. The east side still holds everything it took. The big house still has rooms where Marisol was kept. And by the well, Marisol's boy, who came back north alone and is now taller than his father, is taking a rifle from a Baxter cousin.
Piripero lets out his breath, which he hadn't realized he was holding.
His father, he thinks, would have finished it. He would have let one of them die in the street and called it engineering. That was always the old man's mistake. He built things to work. Piripero builds them to last.
XI. The End of the Street
He's the first man into the street. He hugs the cowboy and he hugs Ramón, and his tears are real enough to fool both of them, and sometimes himself.
That night he posts a notice on his board saying that he hopes, with all his heart, the talks bring peace at last. Underneath, in a smaller hand, he suggests the town give the Rojos the land they've taken and sign. He knows the west side will never sign that, and he knows the Rojos won't stop at that land anyway. That's the point. A man who calls for peace on terms nobody will accept gets to sound reasonable without ever risking peace.
Then he sits up late with the lamp burning and does the arithmetic. If the talks fail, the slate fills. If they succeed, he has a few lean years, and he's already thinking about who on the west side might be persuaded to strike the first match.
In the morning, the cowboy rides out toward the far town, and Ramón rides out after him. Piripero waves from his doorway and calls a blessing to each of them. Silvanito watches from the cantina window and spits.
When they're gone, Piripero turns to his apprentices, who are standing idle by the lumber, unsure whether to keep working.
"Keep the saws going," he says. "They're only talking."
Up in the tower, Juan de Dios rings the bell. Piripero hums along, picks up his tape measure, and goes out to meet the day.
Why won’t Vladimir Putin withdraw his troops from internationally recognized Ukrainian territory and allow all those oppressed Russian living in Ukraine to immigrate into Russia, granting them Russian citizenship?
Seems like a much less destructive solution to his manufactured problem.
Doc Holiday retweeted
If Ukraine is so corrupt, then why did Putin bribe Trump's family instead of Zelenskyi?
The trip highlights the remarkable relationship between a son of the US president and a tycoon with a criminal record who has close ties to Vladimir Putin’s personal security service. Intelligence experts say such connections are ripe for manipulation. ft.trib.al/p0LBRYI
Doc Holiday retweeted
I’m demanding an investigation into who throttled mission-critical military communications Ukraine relies on for its survival.
Doc Holiday retweeted
If Russia stops fighting the war ends. If Ukraine stops fighting it loses its country to the bully next door.
Ukraine's fight is existential. Russia's is elective.
Doc Holiday retweeted
Ukraine vs russia is the only black and white good vs evil war since WW2.
It is the litmus test of good and bad people.
those who are pro-russian or "neutral" are on the side of evil and in all your future actions you should know that those are the people who will step over your corpse to gain an advantage.
Keep the pro-Ukrainians close, they will have your back.
Doc Holiday retweeted
This is such bullshit.
Putin invaded Ukraine. If you want peace tell him to pack up and go home...
Musk isn't the only who wants peace. In fact, Ukraine wants it more than anyone, they are entitled to peace and their sovereignty.
Putin can end this conflict today. But Musk isn't talking about that.
Ukraine's strikes recently hit several Russian data centres. Soon after, Musk moved to curb Ukraine's operations. If pro-Musk bot networks run on Russian infrastructure, that timing would be awfully convenient. Has anyone actually looked into this?
Doc Holiday retweeted
I'm a pretty big fan of Elon Musk. But on this, he is dead wrong. A nation and it's people have a right to defend their homes and their Liberty
benzinga.com/news/politics/2…
Doc Holiday retweeted
All these idiots swinging from @elonmusk's nuts are just as pathetic as Musk himself.
The Pentagon has paid SpaceX to provide Starlink services to Ukraine since at least June 2023.
Reuters also reported that Musk personally ordered Starlink coverage disabled during Ukraine's 2022 counteroffensive, disrupting Ukrainian military operations. SpaceX disputes that reporting.
Musk separately admitted refusing to activate Starlink to support a Ukrainian strike against Russia's Black Sea Fleet.
So spare me the bullshit about Musk single-handedly saving Ukraine. He's a government contractor getting paid for services, not some benevolent savior.
Doc Holiday retweeted
SpaceX Blocked A U.S. And NATO Satellite to Assist a Russian Intercept After Crippling Ukraine's Air Defenses
The Math Proves the Reality that Musk doesn't want you to see.
On Oct 13-14, SpaceX restricted Starshield/Starlink during a 39-missile Russian attack, cutting Ukrainian drone intercepts by 23% and stranding U.S. personnel in Kyiv. Forty-eight hours later (Oct 15), SpaceX blocked U.S.-licensed NRO, Space Force, and NATO radar satellite ICEYE-X36 in orbit so Russia's COSMOS 2612 weapon could intercept it (99.89%-99.98% posterior)
Our Model Demonstrates that the Russian intercept of the US/NATO ICEYE X-36 satellite (contemporaneous with the throttling of Starlink) would not have been possible, and almost certainly not been attempted, without SpaceX resources. At a material opportunity cost, Russia sprinted its COSMOS satellite to intercept ICEYE X36. Based on a previous attempt in June during which X36 maneuvered to evade COSMOS, Russia knew that this would be successful only if X36 could not maneuver. On October 15, SpaceX fixed X36 in place by issuing a collision alert for a sub-kilometer approach with its Starlink 35856 when SpaceX's own data shows that the actual distance was 4.8-5.0x as great. SpaceX issued no warning to COSMOS despite the fact that its sprint was far more threatening than the stable X36 orbit. SpaceX did not maneuver its Starlink 35856 satellite to clear the supposed collision risk. How, absent coordination with SpaceX, could Russia have known that SpaceX would take actions that (a) misrepresented the danger posed by X36, and (b) resulted in the fixing of X36 thereby enabling COSMOS's successful intercept? Thus, SpaceX was directly involved in simultaneously compromising Ukraine’s defensive and offensive capabilities. The conjunction of these two events makes innocent explanations untenable.
The Pentagon Capture & Iran Round Two Trap: Pentagon CTO Emil Michael who cashed out $7M–$35M from Musk’s inner-circle SpaceX vehicles (M8/Gigafund 0.1 and M6/Valor M33 II) and KQ Partners / xAI (selling xAIfor $5M–$25M three days before taking over CDAO/OSCand 21 days before SpaceX bought xAI, while keeping M8, M6, M9, M10 & Nomadic open) and Pete Hegseth purged rival Anthropic in two hours, surrendered combat command over US drones used to attack Iran to Starlink’s "Terms of Service," and on October 2 named Musk Co-Director of Project Meridian to design the Pentagon's "Future of Warfighting" just as America enters Iran Round Twowith depleted Patriot/THAAD magazines and Russia feeding U.S. warship/aircraft locations to Tehran.
SpaceX’s actions in Ukraine raise serious questions about its alignment with US security interests and its reliability as a cornerstone of US defense. These questions are particularly troubling given the effectively irreplaceable position SpaceX has been granted by the Hegseth/Emil Michael Pentagon.
$SPCX $TSLA
Our full quantitative analysis below w/ @streetwiseprof
Doc Holiday retweeted
This chart is insane. This shows Russia's casualties over time compared to Russia's territorial gains in Ukraine over the last five years.
No sane or rational person would say continuing the war to try and take more of Ukraine's territory is worth the casualties.
Doc Holiday retweeted
Oh my, another idiot take that just won’t die. The Europeans are not funding Russia’s war. They started from a deep structural dependency on Russian energy and have made tremendous — and fast — progress on decoupling. This isn’t something you just turn off overnight. And they still contribute far more to Ukraine in aid anyway.
In contrast, the US is not even remotely dependent on Russian fossil fuels and yet the Kremlin asset in the White House is easing sanctions anyway while completely shutting off aid.
Contrary to the braindead takes of Trump apologists, the hypocrisy runs squarely through Washington, not Brussels.
In case you were wondering who was funding Russia's war on Ukraine, the EU is the number 1 purchaser of Russia's liquid natural gas and pipeline gas products through September 2026.energyandcleanair.org/august…
Doc Holiday retweeted
This TREASON is beyond words.
Not only did Musk shut down Starlink to Ukraine, he enabled Russia's intercept of a Finnish satellite that was helping Ukraine.
.
SpaceX Blocked A U.S. And NATO Satellite to Assist a Russian Intercept After Crippling Ukraine's Air Defenses
The Math Proves the Reality that Musk doesn't want you to see.
On Oct 13-14, SpaceX restricted Starshield/Starlink during a 39-missile Russian attack, cutting Ukrainian drone intercepts by 23% and stranding U.S. personnel in Kyiv. Forty-eight hours later (Oct 15), SpaceX blocked U.S.-licensed NRO, Space Force, and NATO radar satellite ICEYE-X36 in orbit so Russia's COSMOS 2612 weapon could intercept it (99.89%-99.98% posterior)
Our Model Demonstrates that the Russian intercept of the US/NATO ICEYE X-36 satellite (contemporaneous with the throttling of Starlink) would not have been possible, and almost certainly not been attempted, without SpaceX resources. At a material opportunity cost, Russia sprinted its COSMOS satellite to intercept ICEYE X36. Based on a previous attempt in June during which X36 maneuvered to evade COSMOS, Russia knew that this would be successful only if X36 could not maneuver. On October 15, SpaceX fixed X36 in place by issuing a collision alert for a sub-kilometer approach with its Starlink 35856 when SpaceX's own data shows that the actual distance was 4.8-5.0x as great. SpaceX issued no warning to COSMOS despite the fact that its sprint was far more threatening than the stable X36 orbit. SpaceX did not maneuver its Starlink 35856 satellite to clear the supposed collision risk. How, absent coordination with SpaceX, could Russia have known that SpaceX would take actions that (a) misrepresented the danger posed by X36, and (b) resulted in the fixing of X36 thereby enabling COSMOS's successful intercept? Thus, SpaceX was directly involved in simultaneously compromising Ukraine’s defensive and offensive capabilities. The conjunction of these two events makes innocent explanations untenable.
The Pentagon Capture & Iran Round Two Trap: Pentagon CTO Emil Michael who cashed out $7M–$35M from Musk’s inner-circle SpaceX vehicles (M8/Gigafund 0.1 and M6/Valor M33 II) and KQ Partners / xAI (selling xAIfor $5M–$25M three days before taking over CDAO/OSCand 21 days before SpaceX bought xAI, while keeping M8, M6, M9, M10 & Nomadic open) and Pete Hegseth purged rival Anthropic in two hours, surrendered combat command over US drones used to attack Iran to Starlink’s "Terms of Service," and on October 2 named Musk Co-Director of Project Meridian to design the Pentagon's "Future of Warfighting" just as America enters Iran Round Twowith depleted Patriot/THAAD magazines and Russia feeding U.S. warship/aircraft locations to Tehran.
SpaceX’s actions in Ukraine raise serious questions about its alignment with US security interests and its reliability as a cornerstone of US defense. These questions are particularly troubling given the effectively irreplaceable position SpaceX has been granted by the Hegseth/Emil Michael Pentagon.
$SPCX $TSLA
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