Fellow at @FPRI. Rocket propulsion and radiological security (usually not at the same time). Opinions my own. Faves/RTs ≠ endorsements

Monterey, CA
Joined August 2015
Unless they launched two missiles and one failed, it looks like North Korea is borrowing from the Russian toolbox for their cruise missile's submarine launch method. One problem with launching a cruise missile from underwater is preventing water from getting in the jet engine.
昨日ミサイル総局が、日本海で2種類の潜水艦発射戦略巡航ミサイルの試験発射。金正恩は不参加。水中戦闘システムの動員態勢チェック、戦略的任務遂行能力の熟練が目的で、戦争抑止手段の高い信頼性・能力を見せることに寄与。(朝鮮中央通信) #北朝鮮 #ミサイル
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When designing the SS-N-21 Sampson in the 1970s, the Soviets decided to place the submarine-launched missile inside of a sealed tube. The missile is launched out of the submarine in this tube. When it breaches the surface, the missile launches out of the tube.
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This method is also used on submarine-launched versions of the Kalibr. You can see that the tube does not have cut-outs for the wings to fold out of, and that the nose is set up to split so the missile can come out the front.
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This is a reminder that friends don't let friends read Annie Jacobsen books. She is a crank. For almost any book she has written, someone else has done it better. Even her good work, such that it exists, is tainted by the bad.
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Maybe her biological war book is good, I don't know. I do know, however, that her nuclear war book has a number of glaring problems. ... Oh, and she wrote a book that suggests Stalin hired Josef Mengele to create a race of midget baby pilots.
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Indeed, given Iranian efforts to reconstitute their missile force during the ceasefire, this seems like a limited effort on their part.
10 missiles against an air base target - a target type that Iran has in the past only been able to do limited damage do in terms of operations - is a warning shot. Iran could do much more at this point if they wanted to.
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This is, I think, very much a mock-up. And a conceptual mock-up, at that. This is not the actual missile they plan to build - this is the idea of the missile they want to build. There are many things that don't match up with an actual missile.
🔴Milli Savunma Bakanlığı: “YILDIRIMHAN füze sisteminde kullanılan Asimetrik Dimetilhidrazin (UDMH) ve azot tetra oksit türevi sıvı yakıtlar ARGE merkezimiz tarafından yerli imkânlarla üretilmektedir. Söz konusu yakıt teknolojisi; uzun süre depolanabilme, düşük sıcaklıklarda çalışabilme ve yüksek enerji üretme özellikleri sayesinde füze sistemlerine yüksek hareket kabiliyeti kazandırmaktadır. 3 ton harp başlığı taşıma kapasitesine sahip, YILDIRIMHAN Füze sistemine yönelik laboratuvar test süreçleri başarıyla tamamlanmış olup saha testlerine ilişkin çalışmalar planlanan takvim doğrultusunda sürdürülmektedir. Bakanlığımız, millî teknoloji hamlesi kapsamında savunma sanayiimizin gelişimini desteklemeye, yerli ve millî sistemler geliştirmeye ve Türkiye’nin stratejik caydırıcılık kapasitesini artırmaya kararlılıkla devam edecektir.”
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The problem is... where are the manifolds for propellant to enter/exit the cooling channels? I can see manifolds on the thrust chamber in the foreground here, but not on the others. I realize a lower manifold isn't strictly required, but I don't see ports for an upper manifold.
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I could say more, but apparently we just bombed Iran again, so I probably have more important work to do.
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Some of those detonations in this video spread debris that looks consistent with burning solid propellant (i.e. from a missile). I haven't been able to geolocate this video yet, so I don't know what base this strike hit.
Reports of massive airstrikes on an Iranian missile base in the city of Isfahan tonight.
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I don't think this video shows either of the Isfahan missile bases on fire. I won't give a precise geolocation for the safety of the videographer.
'#اصفهان سمت صفه و هوانیروز' ویدیوی دریافتی، سه‌شنبه ۱۱ فروردین #Iran
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It's entirely possible that more targets were struck in Isfahan tonight, but neither of the sites shown in this particular video are known missile bases.
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I might be slightly off on the geolocations - but only slightly. It is possible the bases themselves were struck rather than the munitions storage.
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