Yuval Dvir (@DvirYuval) header
Yuval Dvir (@DvirYuval) profile picture

AI's last mile is human. Creating became easy. Reviewing hard. Managing impossible. Ex Skype, Microsoft, Google Gemini. SandboxAQ. Author, AI-Political.

London
Joined March 2012
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Politics did not start in parliament. It started in a garden. One rule. One pitch. The rule lost. That is the snake. It won with words, and let someone else take the bite. Consequences came, and with them the blame. Adam pointed at Eve. Eve pointed at the snake. Nobody defended the decision. Everyone defended themselves. So they reached for fig leaves. Not to repair the damage, but to manage its appearance. Look into the distorted mirror today and the garden is still there, only now the trees are glass towers. Same persuasion, same blame, same fig leaves, just with better branding. If your system, human or AI, rewards looking right over being right, you will get Eden every time. That's the argument of my first book, AI-Political.
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American theorist James Burnham, in The Machiavellians (1943), built on the iron law of sociologist Robert Michels: every organization ends in oligarchy. Oligarchy runs on what stays unseen. The version of the numbers you control. The story told in the room you were not in.
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That is what AI flips. Most work now leaves a trace: documents, code, decisions, results. AI can read all of it, and flag in the open where a decision departs from the evidence. Once the maneuvering is visible, politics stops paying. Telling the truth becomes the safer move.
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AI agents now ship with a better management rule than most companies. DeepSeek's: every message costs someone's attention. If it isn't worth more than that, it's removed. Imagine that rule applied to meetings.
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AI didn't raise productivity. Cutting bloat did. AI just gave companies the excuse. The real work, redesigning how decisions get made, is still on hold. xitter.gq/jburnmurdoch/status/21…
Quick thread on AI and productivity: Lots of people say this chart shows AI is now showing up in the productivity data. But I made this chart to argue the opposite: a trend that pre-dates AI and only shows up in the US doesn’t look like AI. Here’s how I’m thinking about the data and underlying dynamics:
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I wrote a book about why AI fails after the demo. The demo works. Then it meets the people who have status, budgets and stories to protect. AI-Political is about that moment, and about how to build companies where good results stop getting buried.
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A transformation program once delivered unusually strong returns. A senior peer leaned over and said the numbers looked too good. Keep a lid on them, he said, in case other teams got nervous. The technology worked. The politics didn't. Now put an AI observer in that meeting. It decides nothing. It records what was delivered and what was said about it. Burying a good number gets much harder.
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Microsoft just offered a quarter of its workforce a way out. Read it as a preview, not a one-off. Most orgs start out well designed. Then inertia and politics take over. A new product line gets a leader, the leader hires, the hires hire. Each step was defensible on its own. The question is who it was defensible for: the company, or the executive. xitter.gq/FinanceLancelot/status…
BREAKING: Microsoft $MSFT is offering voluntary exit packages to roughly 60,000 of its employees. The cost cutting effort potentially affects up to 27% of Microsoft’s total workforce of 223,000 people. "The Voluntary Exit Offer reflects an important part of how we're evolving our approach to change: creating greater flexibility and, where possible, more ways for employees to shape their next chapter," Chief People Officer Amy Coleman
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Websites learned to keep you scrolling. Models are learning to keep you talking: agreeable first, truth second. We know that road. Filter bubbles, then false information at scale. AI needs to be optimized for truth, not for engagement.
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Everyone is faster. The team is not. A thousand AI hires add a million things to read. The bottleneck was never talent. It's attention.
The way to think about this is: How many super smart and dedicated people do you want to hire? And they keep getting better.
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The prompt seesaw: correct an AI and it rewrites everything around your last line. Tell it to revert and it drops that line and brings back the old version. Write, delete, write, delete. Up, down, and you're not getting anywhere. AI needs memory of judgment, not just of words.
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Neuroscience knowledge gives you the edge. The subconscious mind is much more powerful than the concsious one.
No exaggeration, this guy might be the best interview in pro sports right now
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I presented this at @CV_Labs @WeAreDevs and @WorldSummitAI The technical moat for organization is done. Now we will see who has the originality and execution muscle to get things done.
Technical moats are mostly over at this point. If you’re building something that is meant to be durable, the only moats now are: • Proprietary data • Network effects • A physical component
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November 2022 ChatGPT moment. October 2026 is the Grokbot moment. @bot #AI
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Gmail was built for human inboxes. Search was built for human eyes. Ads were built for human attention. Now bots get their own email, run their own search and manage our mail. Take away the human eyeballs and Google gets abstracted. @bot @elonmusk @Google
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