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Amateur psephologist. Politics, sport, current affairs, climate change and anti-NIMBY.

Mordor
Joined December 2014
Photo by The Australian's pie chart creator (@Elfvandel20)Photo by The Australian's pie chart creator (@Elfvandel20)Photo by The Australian's pie chart creator (@Elfvandel20)Photo by The Australian's pie chart creator (@Elfvandel20)Photo by The Australian's pie chart creator (@Elfvandel20)Photo by The Australian's pie chart creator (@Elfvandel20)Photo by The Australian's pie chart creator (@Elfvandel20)Photo by The Australian's pie chart creator (@Elfvandel20)Photo by The Australian's pie chart creator (@Elfvandel20)Photo by The Australian's pie chart creator (@Elfvandel20)
The Australian's pie chart creator retweeted
The plan is death and despair on an industrial scale so the land can be cleansed and colonised. The plan has not changed.
For last 24 hours I’ve seen footage of horrific scenes from Gaza, just absolute human misery. Yet..it’s not there on any news outlet’s home pages, not discussed on our witless political shows. We’re just going to ignore it? Is that the plan?
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The Australian's pie chart creator retweeted
#Socceroos boss Tony Popovic has revealed that Alex Robertson was called up for the November window but pulled out for personal reasons. Focus shifted after the Asian Cup's postponement to looking at players. The coach says Robertson was the only player called up who declined.
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Chuck Grassley wants to be the longest serving senator in US history (51 years). He won't want to retire unless he absolutely has to.
New: Grassley, 93, won't be stepping down early after Democrat Rob Sand won the governorship in Iowa. Spox dismissing speculation that he might resign to allow Kim Reynolds, the outgoing Republican, to appoint his successor before leaving office: "Senator Grassley is not resigning. He remains committed to delivering for the people of Iowa, who overwhelmingly elected him to a six-year term in 2022." washingtonexaminer.com/news/…
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Ummmmmmmmmmmmmm
🚨 NEW: Victoria (state) voting election 🟦 L/NP: 33% (+3) 🟧 ONP: 21% (+1) 🟥 ALP: 18% (-7) 🟩 GRN: 17% (+3) ⬛️ OTH: 11% (-) Two-party-preferred 🟦 L/NP: 56% (+4) 🟥 ALP: 44% (-4) DemosAU/PremierNational | 30 Oct-5 Nov | n=1562 | +/- 10-20 Sep
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The Australian's pie chart creator retweeted
Report from Qantara, where Israeli forces are continuing demolitions of civilian homes and infrastructure. On Wednesday a man documenting the destruction was murdered by an Israeli drone strike.
Israeli forces have begun demolishing the town of Qantara, Lebanon. 48 villages have been razed to the ground by the Israeli army, who are still occupying more than 60 towns and villages in Lebanon. This destruction is funded by the US and EU. This is Zionism.
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The Australian's pie chart creator retweeted
📋 Our squad for the November Window is locked in! 🔒 🗞️ Details: bit.ly/SOC-NOV26-Squad
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Imagine telling somebody in 2015 that Democrats would have a senator from Texas, South Carolina, Kansas and Mississippi but not Florida.
Scott Colom's lead jumps to its largest yet: 2493, or 0.25%.
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The Australian's pie chart creator retweeted
NEW poll: A supermajority of Jewish Americans believe Israeli & AIPAC actions increase antisemitism. 80% say Israel’s actions in Gaza & the West Bank increase antisemitism in the US. 66% say AIPAC’s campaign spending against candidates critical of Israel increases antisemitism.
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The Australian's pie chart creator retweeted
Alaska update: Just 3 precincts still haven't reported Election Day votes. The vast majority of what remains are mail, provisional, and "late early" ballots (in-person votes cast Oct. 30-Nov. 2). These won't start being reported until Nov. 10.
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The Australian's pie chart creator retweeted
Football is not only the most played team sport in Australia... it's also the FASTEST GROWING 🙌 ⚽️ 🇦🇺 Nearly 100,000 participants added in 2025-26, while almost every other sport declined.
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The Oracle of Nevada.
So it is possible after tonight (if TBT holds on in CD2) that NV will have an entirely Dem congressional delegation and an entirely Dem roster of constitutional offices. And an Assembly Dem supermajority and a state Senate one vote short of a Dem supermajority. That is BLUE.
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So it turns out Talarico won Texas by 12% points. Texas Republicans cannot afford to lose Dallas, Houston, Austin and San Antonio by LA or Bay Area margins and hope to win. They got crushed in suburban counties like Fort Worth, Tarrant, Hays and Wilco as well.
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The Australian's pie chart creator retweeted
Looks like the polls underestimated Democrats in 14 of 15 key Senate races, with an average polling error of 4.4 points. Polls were the most accurate in Michigan, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio. The biggest polling misses were in North Carolina, Georgia, and Texas.
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The Australian's pie chart creator retweeted
Incredible wipeout in NV. I don't see how Lombardo can recover from this 53K lead Ford has in remaining votes. Rs may only have single digits in their Assembly caucus.
NUMBERS FOR NEVADA: Ford up 7 Rest of statewide Dems up BIG All three Dems safe in their congressional seats TBT slightly up! silverstateelection.nv.gov/
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Fact check: ✔️
Gimme three months and his golf buddies in Florida wouldn’t even vote for him. I’ll smoke him by 7. Bet on it.
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Elon Musk just blew half a billion dollars and has sweet fa to show for it.
There is a very good chance Republicans are going to lose every single statewide office in Texas. Senate is gone and Governor is next. But Republicans are also on track to lose Lt. Governor, Attorney General, Land Commissioner, four Supreme Court seats, Comptroller of Public Accounts, Agriculture Commissioner and Railroad Commissioner.
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A penny for John Bell Edwards' thoughts.
this might be the most batshit result today Louisiana really might end up being of the tightest Senate races
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The Australian's pie chart creator retweeted
Democrats have not only flipped the North Carolina State Assembly, they appear very likely to win an absolutely commanding 70-49-1 supermajority. Of course, because nothing can just be good, they look to fall a seat or two short in the state senate barring incredible provisionals
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80,832
The Australian's pie chart creator retweeted
We're continuing to count the bodies at Texas Monthly: Democrats seem almost certain to take control of the Texas House, while Texas Senate control is in the air. Every statewide office and judicial race appears to have gone D. texasmonthly.com/news-politi…
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The Australian's pie chart creator retweeted
I am jaw-dropped. Democrats are leading in enough seats at the moment to flip the Texas state Senate.
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