🌬Emory like Memory

🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Former Israeli military intelligence analyst: Another war with Iran could be far worse than the last. I spoke with Danny Citrinowicz, who spent years analyzing Iran for Israeli military intelligence, as Washington moves more aircraft into the Middle East while JD Vance reportedly tries to arrange talks with Tehran. Danny thinks we're approaching another major confrontation. And he sees almost no chance that another bombing campaign will force Iran to surrender. What concerned me most was how he expects Iran to respond. If the U.S. and Israel expand their attacks to civilian infrastructure, Danny believes Tehran could retaliate against Gulf power facilities, data centers, undersea cables and even American warships. He also raised the possibility of limited Iranian incursions into Bahrain or Kuwait, alongside renewed attacks by the Houthis, Iraqi militias and Hezbollah. These are scenarios he's warning about, not confirmed Iranian plans. But here's where the conversation got particularly interesting. Danny believes Netanyahu has strong political reasons to want another war. He argues that a new conflict could help Netanyahu preserve his position in Israel, even if it damages the country's longer-term security. And Danny, despite his Israeli military background, thinks another war would be a serious mistake. We also discussed the possibility of US ground operations inside Iran and fears of tactical nuclear weapons. He considers both unlikely to deliver the outcome Washington wants. Trump may be able to start another war with Iran, but he cannot decide how Iran responds. Or when that war ends. @citrinowicz