Pinned Tweet
We're founding this platform to give prediction market traders a home, and to translate their insights to the world. Subscribe free here 👇
eventual.news/subscribe
You love to see the OGs coming home. Dabbundo, we have been here for you. We will always be here for you.
Last call for the @GinaHinojosaTX rocketship.
LOTTO play that is getting HOT.
From our OCT 6 episode:
@keendawg: "Abbott is running for his fourth term. I don't think anyone in America wants a fourth term for you unless you're George Washington."
Brian: "Gun to my head, she probably doesn't win. There are going to be Republicans who are disgusted by Paxton, but still vote for Abbott. It's just a question of how many."
Brian: "I think it's probably worth mid 30s, maybe mid 30s."
@keendawg: "I wouldn't want to get into that over 30 cents, but at a 4X multiple, that's a good way to catch a long tail of a good year for Dems."
🔼 33c on @Polymarket 🔽
Scandals change elections when they confirm what people already thought.
Vibes: You might be a scumbag
Scandal: You are a scumbag
@GaetenD has it here
And it's why Vivek is a sinking ship
Axios: Vivek Ramaswamy doubles down on explosive ad featuring rival's mother, despite backlash
Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign for Ohio governor is pouring $4 million into a bombshell ad in which his opponent's estranged mother attacks her daughter — doubling down on the message despite fierce bipartisan backlash.
axios.com/2026/10/21/ramaswa…
National pundits think Democrat Rob Sand has Iowa in the bag.
But local journalist @LauraRBelin disagrees.
“I see a lot of irrational exuberance about Rob Sand. I do not think he has this locked up at all.”
📈 Market odds: 85%
NO FED RATE HIKE in October. It's guaranteed, right?
Not so fast.
@conorsen thinks traders may be getting overconfident about the 90% odds.
"We don't know much about Warsh and he likes to surprise markets, or at least that's what he wants us to believe."
Why are the Fed’s forecasts so bad?
Because the numbers are silly.
@conorsen explains how the Fed interprets dubious economic data to fit its forecasts.
“The present has to converge to their expectations.”
Iowa, blue tsunami & affordability | Conor Sen xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1pKkOXwkW…
2 Weeks to Election Day!
🌊 Blue wave hits. How high will it go?
🏡 @ConorSen joins to talk affordability & housing politics
🌽 Iowa unpacked by @LauraRBelin
xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1pKkOXwkW…
BIG NEWS.
Eventual just launched its first data & analytics tool. And it's FREE for all email subscribers.
Built by @mistermarkdavis, our Midterms Hub simulates 100,000 elections and brings together @Polymarket prices, polling averages, expert ratings, and FEC data.
The goal? Help traders spot discrepancies, find overlooked opportunities, and make smarter trades.
We believe prediction market traders have valuable knowledge and skills to share with the world. This is what happens when we put that expertise to work.
Sign up now for free access: midterms.eventual.news/
Predicted by @JimSwiftDC: Greg Landsman wins easily
House Majority PAC pulling $192,000 of their ~$1.8 million in ad reservations in #OH01, per @AdImpact_Pol
I'm told they're feeling good about Rep. Greg Landsman's reelection prospects. @CookPolitical has the race as Likely D.















