Elections, Policy, Law, and Maps. https://xitter.gq/t.co/jPBRSAICr4
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The 2026 Montana Supreme Court Election by Precinct
The race for a seat on the Montana Supreme Court ended with a near 20% win for the independent/Dem-aligned candidate Amy Eddy. While Eddy didn't run as a Dem, her opponent Dan Wilson ran with explicit backing from the state GOP. The race tracked normal partisan coalitions, all shifted about 40% to the left.
2026 Montana Senate by Precinct
This was a rare three-way race between Republican Kurt Alme, Independent Seth Bodnar, and Democrat Alani Bankhead. Bankhead refused to drop out, despite the wishes of the Montana Democratic Party, leading to a 10% Alme win. Bodnar did best in most of the traditionally Dem areas, while Bankhead won some native precincts and performed well on college campuses.
Montana's First Congressional District by Precinct
Firefighter and union leader @SamForstag managed to beat Republican @aaronflint by just under 4% in this district covering western Montana. He managed his best numbers (for a Dem) around Butte and Bozeman.
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Suburban Harford County, MD (east of Baltimore) has been slowly trending towards Dems in the Trump era. Dan Schwartz (D), who unsuccessfully ran against Rep. Andy Harris in MD-1, appears to have won it by just 8 votes.
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The 2026 Arizona election was forecasted to be fairly contentious, but it marked a large 13% win for incumbent Katie Hobbs, the best Democratic performance since 2006. She performed well most everywhere, particularly strong among Natives, Hispanics, and in the suburbs.
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Virginia voted on 3 state constitutional amendments last week, all of which passed. They dealt with abortion rights, gay marriage, & making it easier for felons to vote.
This map shows which ballot position got the most votes in each precinct (6 possibilities from 3 questions).
Josh Turek vs. Rob Sand by Precinct.
Both Iowa Democrats at the top of the ticket won, with Sand doing about 7% better than Turek. This performance was particularly visible in northeast Iowa, Ashley Hinson's home base. Turek actually did better than Sand in the parts of western Iowa around his home of Council Bluffs.
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In Louisiana, Rep. Julia Letlow (R) was elected to the Senate by less than 2 points as Republicans won the two-party House popular vote 55%-45%.
Jamie Davis (D) ran behind Rep. Troy Carter (D) in LA-2, but otherwise was way ahead of the combined House Dem vote.
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2026 Iowa Senate by Precinct.
Democratic state representative Josh Turek won by about 4% over congresswoman Ashley Hinson. He put up strong numbers everywhere, but notably kept Hinson's margins in western Iowa down, especially around his home of Council Bluffs.
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While North Carolina and Tennessee got a lot of focus for Republican gerrymanders backfiring or almost backfiring, Democrats in South Carolina also came remarkably close to winning multiple red seats. Joe Wilson of "you lie" fame only won by 1%, and upstate Rs had their closest races in decades.
Precinct map below.
While North Carolina and Tennessee got a lot of focus for Republican gerrymanders backfiring or almost backfiring, Democrats in South Carolina also came remarkably close to winning multiple red seats. Joe Wilson of "you lie" fame only won by 1%, and upstate Rs had their closest races in decades.
Precinct map below.