Fully Reporting

The 2026 Montana Supreme Court Election by Precinct The race for a seat on the Montana Supreme Court ended with a near 20% win for the independent/Dem-aligned candidate Amy Eddy. While Eddy didn't run as a Dem, her opponent Dan Wilson ran with explicit backing from the state GOP. The race tracked normal partisan coalitions, all shifted about 40% to the left.

2026 Montana Senate by Precinct This was a rare three-way race between Republican Kurt Alme, Independent Seth Bodnar, and Democrat Alani Bankhead. Bankhead refused to drop out, despite the wishes of the Montana Democratic Party, leading to a 10% Alme win. Bodnar did best in most of the traditionally Dem areas, while Bankhead won some native precincts and performed well on college campuses.

Montana's First Congressional District by Precinct Firefighter and union leader @SamForstag managed to beat Republican @aaronflint by just under 4% in this district covering western Montana. He managed his best numbers (for a Dem) around Butte and Bozeman.

Josh Turek vs. Rob Sand by Precinct. Both Iowa Democrats at the top of the ticket won, with Sand doing about 7% better than Turek. This performance was particularly visible in northeast Iowa, Ashley Hinson's home base. Turek actually did better than Sand in the parts of western Iowa around his home of Council Bluffs.

2026 Iowa Senate by Precinct. Democratic state representative Josh Turek won by about 4% over congresswoman Ashley Hinson. He put up strong numbers everywhere, but notably kept Hinson's margins in western Iowa down, especially around his home of Council Bluffs.

While North Carolina and Tennessee got a lot of focus for Republican gerrymanders backfiring or almost backfiring, Democrats in South Carolina also came remarkably close to winning multiple red seats. Joe Wilson of "you lie" fame only won by 1%, and upstate Rs had their closest races in decades. Precinct map below.

2026 Iowa Governor by Precinct. Democratic Auditor Rob Sand won by 11% in this midwestern state that the Trump era has turned solid red. His crossover appeal shows up in virtually every small town and city, particularly in eastern Iowa.

Here is a precinct map comparing Annie Andrews and the Democratic nominee for governor, Jermaine Johnson. As can be seen, Andrews did better almost everywhere, but especially in highly educated areas near cities.

Greenville and Spartanburg also bolted left, as you can see on the map below. For as much as Dem gains with working class/latino/young voters dominated the discourse, Dems also finally broke through in the smaller, highly educated metros that make up a lot of the GOP electorate in the south.

2026 South Carolina Governor by Precinct Despite most of the attention being on the Senate race, Democrats came remarkably close to flipping the governor's mansion in South Carolina as well. Alan Wilson only won by 4.5%. Map below.