
practice expert “unique online personality” former TPOT thinker (exiled) professional shitpoaster @SpaceX don't take me seriously
Mars
Joined May 2023
- Tweets84.5K
- Following2.3K
- Followers252K
- Likes487K
we have fable 5.1 at home
Kimi K3.1 Pro launches at 4th on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index scoring 55, making large gains in agentic performance; it will be the leading open-weights model once its weights are published
@Kimi_Moonshot's new reasoning model gains 11 points over Kimi K3 (max, 44). It trails only Claude Opus 5.5 (max with fallback, 58), Claude Sonnet 5.5 (max with fallback, 56), and Muse Wonder Full (max, 56) on the Intelligence Index.
Once the weights for K3.1 Pro are released it will be the highest-scoring open weights model and the gap between the leading open weights and proprietary models on the Intelligence Index will narrow from 12 points to 3.
Key results:
➤ Large gains in agentic performance: Kimi K3.1 Pro scores 3rd on GDPval-AA with 1,846 Elo, up 312 Elo from Kimi K3, behind only Claude Opus 5.5 (1,866 Elo) and Muse Wonder Full (1,857 Elo). Kimi K3.1 Pro also achieves the highest score of any model on Terminal-Bench 4.0. K3.1 Pro scores 67%, up from 13% for Kimi K3 and ahead of Claude Sonnet 5.5 (64%). AutomationBench-AA, which tests agentic SaaS workflows, rises from 58% to 73%.
➤ Gains in other evals are more moderate: Humanity's Last Exam rises from 47% to 52%, CritPt from 23% to 25%, and SciCode from 59% to 61%. AA-Omniscience Index rises from 20 to 30, as the hallucination rate falls from 53% to 44% and accuracy rises from 48% to 51%.
➤ Cost per Task roughly equal to Kimi K3 at $1.98 per Task: K3.1 Pro uses 55K output tokens per Intelligence Index task, 14% more than Kimi K3 at 48K, while its first-party token prices are 33% lower.
Additional model details:
➤ Context window: 1M tokens.
➤ Size: 2.8T total, 104B active parameters
➤ Input modalities: Text and image
➤ Weights and license: Weights currently not published, Moonshot is expected to release the weights soon after launch
➤ Pricing: $2/$10/$0.20 per 1M input/output/cache hit tokens, 33% lower than Kimi K3 on all three rates.
Congratulations to the team at @Kimi_Moonshot on the release!
holy shit
he’s going for the jugular of the propaganda machine
Elon Musk reportedly invests $1 billion in the parent company of CNN and CBS News, gaining an ownership stake in both networks.
THE WEEK IN ACCELERATION
ok, i'm crying
I asked grok bot to make a video of this week's best news for tech and progress
it used claude code, midjourney, grok image-to-video, suno and gave me THIS
it even ordered the news by scale
what the fuck
in order:
tesla's new roadster
warhound, a new startup from palmer luckey and ben lamm: $200M to clone and gene-edit military dogs
a personalised mRNA cancer vaccine for melanoma: 42% lower risk of the cancer coming back or death, phase 3
brain cells: OAI's 1,946 AI agents read a CRISPR atlas of 8 million mouse brain cells in 32 minutes and came back with new leads on neurodegeneration
a protein designed by claude that grips a scorpion toxin: 17 of 211 designs worked in the lab
prime editing for wilson disease, first patient dosed
mercury turning into gold with fusion neutrons
the age group where marriage has collapsed the most is also the one that overlaps with women's peak fertility
in 1960, 59% of americans between the ages of 18 and 29 were married. now it's just 16%
among married women, the monthly chance of conceiving a pregnancy that would result in a live birth was roughly 70% lower at 35 than at its peak around age 20
70% lower.
by 35
the fertility collapse is increasingly looking like a marriage collapse
fertility within marriage has held up far better than overall fertility
the problem is that far fewer people are married when they're young, and those who do marry are doing it much later
you cannot have a baby boom without people forming families
"there are going to be a lot of industries that are really up for grabs in a fundamentally more profound way than has been the case in the past"
Marc Andreessen says the gap between what AI-native startups and incumbents think AI can do is the widest he’s ever seen:
"The AI-native early stage startups have just a completely different view on what they can do with AI than the typical incumbents in almost any industry, almost without exception."
"AI is just racing ahead in capability even week by week... There are going to be a lot of industries that are really up for grabs in a fundamentally more profound way than maybe has been the case in the past."
"The founders are gonna have a level of superpowers coming from the use of these tools and these technologies that they just simply haven't had in the past... Had I had Astra and Netscape in 1994, like, oh my God. Like, Ben, what would you and I have been able to do at Netscape?"
"Those entrepreneurs are gonna color way outside the lines. We already see this. They're not gonna think of themselves as like, 'I'm just a software company,' or, 'I'm just a hardware company,' or even, 'I'm just an AI company.'"
@pmarca @bhorowitz
the fertility collapse is increasingly looking like a marriage collapse
fertility within marriage has held up far better than overall fertility
the problem is that far fewer people are married when they're young, and those who do marry are doing it much later
you cannot have a baby boom without people forming families
if Americans had kept their 2007 age-specific marriage rates, the US fertility rate in 2023 would have been about 12% higher
the model attributes ~75% of the post-2007 fertility decline to the decline in marriage















