CJ retweeted
After a long battle, the AIFS finally caves in, and the 6z run now also shows a proper Stratospheric Warming event with a wind reversal.
It is also late with the reversal compared to the other two main models, but the question now is whether it will hold this trend or pull back. And we will now see if it will also adjust this timing of the reversal, as it better resolves the first push onto the Polar Vortex
CJ retweeted
In a week or two, Western Europe looks to be getting a cold.. a big thanks to @BigJoeBastardi for his tireless efforts in correctly producing these forecasts.
CJ retweeted
icon12z end next week #denniswinterindex
i start 1 nov on my forecast to #winter ideas 8-12 nov (gfs6z)
lets puzzle 😅
CJ retweeted
L'Europe va se refroidir très rapidement la semaine prochaine. La première offensive hivernale se précise entre l'Autriche et les Balkans, jusqu'en Méditerranée. Les #températures baisseront aussi en France sous l'effet du vent d'est 📉
CJ retweeted
📢BAIXADA de la TEMPERATURA
📍Cap de setmana:
🅰️Anticicló nord Europa
⬇️Vent del nord
🔵Massa freda origen continental
🌡️A 1.500m: 8/10ºC
🍂Ambient de plena tardor
📍Setmana vinent:
🟣Glopada freda s’accentuaria
🌡️A 1.500m: 3/5ºC
🥶De complir-se... ambient amb regust d’hivern
CJ retweeted
Everywhere else is warmer than normal ... but Europe is stuck beneath the blocking ridge ... it's a weird pattern because you'd think high pressure = warm for Europe. Nope, not in November.
The air originates from the Arctic but gets there "coming from around the block"
Similar pattern across North America, but we don't have the cold air repository quite like Eurasia.
CJ retweeted
⚠️Chilly weather across Europe roiling the gas markets is related to "wave breaking" along the polar front on the eastward flank of a persistent omega block -- creating little cut-off lows that travel westward. Not cold enough for snowfall, thankfully.
Little "tear drops" of potential vorticity + mid-level cold air descending from the subarctic and survive for many days ... coherent fuzzballs of cut-off circulation.
Pattern is stuck for 10-days due to blocking rebuilt by bomb cyclones / downstream Rossby wave dispersion off Canadian coast.
Meteorology is so much fun b/c it's all connected!
CJ retweeted
Viernes en la CAM:
Nubes medias y altas a poco nuboso. Mínimas en ascenso menos acusado en la Sierra. Máximas sin cambios.
Sábado:
Intervalos de nubes bajas en el sureste disipándose. Temperaturas en descenso ligero que en las mínimas será más acusado en la zona metropolitana.
CJ retweeted
Aquel 29 de octubre, Valencia sufrió lluvias históricas. El diluvio se concentró entre Buñol, Chiva y Turís, donde cayeron más de 700 l/m².
En l’Horta Sud apenas llovió, pero los barrancos llevaron hasta allí una riada devastadora.
