
head down and do the work. past: @whitehouse @joebiden @skdknick and lots of dem groups along the way
Washington, DC
Joined February 2010
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Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
I used to enjoy air travel. The DCA disaster in January 2025 started changing that for me, and everything the MAGA folks are doing to futz around with air traffic control just makes it worse. Air travel is safe in spite of our government these days, not because of it.
Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
Democrats carried independent voters by double digits in every Senate seat they flipped.
Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
Interesting tidbits:
-This survey includes Zohran even though he can't run
-Kamala and Buttigieg overperform with women while Ossoff, AOC and Kelly overperform with men
-Ossoff is 2nd with Blacks and 3rd with Hispanics
-Ossoff and AOC lead with liberals
xitter.gq/PollTracker2024/status…
YouGov/Economist poll | 11/9-11/11 RV
2028 Democratic presidential primary
🟦Kamala Harris 18%
🟦Jon Ossoff 15%
🟦Gavin Newsom 14%
🟦AOC 13%
🟦Pete Buttigieg 11%
🟦Mark Kelly 4%
🟦Josh Shapiro 4%
🟦Andy Beshear 3%
🟦JB Pritzker 3%
🟦Bernie Sanders 3%
🟦Cory Booker 2%
🟦James Talarico 1%
Link to poll: d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.ne…
Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
Victory has a thousand fathers and defeat one... But to extent money matters, Dems hard-money dominance w/ LUR helped blunt super PAC attacks.
Gonna be tough in 2028. Nuke Dem Scam PACs that raise/spend inefficiently; make it easier for all Dem candidates to raise hard money.
Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
The takeaway is that the political consulting industry got over-invested in negative TV, not over-invested in TV. In Senate races, positive TV, or contrast, candidate-to-camera, is what drives success. This has been true for a long while & it’s why crappy fundraisers are dead wood.
I asked @AndrewMamo5 about why tens of millions of ad dollars didn't dent Talarico in Texas, and how campaigns should think about TV ads as linear television viewership continues to decline
Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
Anywhere @jamestalarico went, there was a staffer trailing him with an iPhone. Posting platform native content ensured we were constantly hitting the For You Page. This made all the difference for the @teamtalaricohq accounts.
Don’t get me wrong — iPhone content is not a replacement for the footage captured by videographers. But in order to compete online, it is critical to be creating high-impact, low-lift vertical videos that can be posted rapidly!
Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
The House Republican caucus will shift rightward as more moderate members in swing districts lost or retired; the House Democratic caucus will shift to the center as more moderates won in swing districts; this is the normal pattern
data4democracy.substack.com/…
Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
I do think this week provided support for the hypothesis that Trump benefited from Democrats nominating three pretty weak presidential candidates in a row. There's a lot of talent in the party that hasn't translated to the top of the ticket lately.
Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
One lesson of the last few days of commentary is that, in some key ways, politicians are just much smarter than posters.
One eg: Left of center twitter is so factionalized that many commentators are better at seeing how independent voters can be pastiches of different ideologies than they are at seeing that Democratic politicians can also be pastiches. So when Talarico talks about inequality like Bernie, about housing like abundance, and about energy/gender/immigration like someone deliberately moderating previous statements to win the Dallas suburbs, each faction claims total victory by isolating one part of his message to say “see, he’s with MY team, not YOUR team, you LOSE.”
In the end it’s maybe kind of harmless. Factions gonna faction, etc. But, the politicians clearly understand something many of the posters don’t: factions are like ingredients, and smart political campaigns combine ingredients to fit the local political consumer.
Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
A little over a year ago I wrote a piece about how Joe Biden shifted "left." Re-upping it today because it has some relevant lessons for newly-elected govs and members of Congress, especially as they start staffing up.
My top pieces of advice (applies to Congress too):
Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
Putting it out there: 9 new senators, 50+ new House members, and ~20 presidential campaigns will all be staffing up over the next year. If you're young and want to work in Democratic politics, there won't be a much better time to jump in.
Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
Some Democratic operatives believe that the through-line of their wins was simply CHANGE— and that the next presidential nominee should represent a new direction more than any policy, identity or ideology.
New w/ @hollyotterbein
Dems did so well, every faction of the party (and every potential candidate) came away w/ an electability argument.
Both things are true:
the left-wing/DSA won more races than ever
the bulk of the wave was more moderate Dems
axios.com/2026/11/05/democra…
i love mess
Following the midterms blue wave, right-wing influencers and media firebrands are searching for answers — and scapegoats. Some are even turning on one another. washingtonpost.com/business/…
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Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
In races called, 17 senators are being replaced, already the biggest turnover in the chamber since 1980. The departing senators average age is 70, their replacements 55. The number of senators under 50 nearly doubles, from 8 to 15.
Jordan Finkelstein retweeted
Before last night, there had only been three Black governors ever elected. Now, five Black governors will serve at the same time washingtonpost.com/politics/…
Monumental.
2028 will be the first prez election in 20 years where Republicans control neither House of Congress -- ie, no real oversight powers.
This has mattered before. No Benghazi committee in 2014, no Hillary email server. In 2020, Senate Rs used oversight powers to advance the Hunter laptop story. In 2024, House Rs used the impeachment inquiry to grind down Biden.
Of course, Trump runs Main Justice for the next two years, and it's been ready and willing to probe Democrats. But the days of James Comer reading an NYT story and launching an investigation are over, in two months.
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