Jeff Fogle (@JeffFogle) profile picture

Tweeting statistical notes about major sports betting events. Being a nit on twitter for more than a decade.

Austin, TX
Joined February 2012
Photo by Jeff Fogle (@JeffFogle)Photo by Jeff Fogle (@JeffFogle)Photo by Jeff Fogle (@JeffFogle)Photo by Jeff Fogle (@JeffFogle)Photo by Jeff Fogle (@JeffFogle)Photo by Jeff Fogle (@JeffFogle)Photo by Jeff Fogle (@JeffFogle)Photo by Jeff Fogle (@JeffFogle)Photo by Jeff Fogle (@JeffFogle)Photo by Jeff Fogle (@JeffFogle)
Jeff Fogle retweeted
Cam Schlittler 300/1 W. The longest shot I’ve ever hit. Hat tip to others cashing @RealGadge @chrisfallica @betsandreps
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Does this guy think efficient sports markets didn't exist before he came along?
Kalshi CEO @mansourtarek_ on sports betting vs. prediction markets: "It's always about the structure. You don't really go to a sports book to get information about anything. You do on Kalshi, and the reason is because you know it does enable the use cases of prediction, an aggregation of people's opinions, millions of people, in a way that a sports book doesn't." @B20 @dianebrady
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Our favorite buffet in Vegas is treating veterans and active duty + a guest for FREE tomorrow, 7am–9pm! 🇺🇸 @southpointlv #VeteransDay @FoxyOdds
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Osi Umenyiora says he discovered Tom Brady's pre snap cadence and knew when he was going to snap the ball ahead of Super Bowl XLII, and says it allowed the Giants defensive line to dominate the game with 5 sacks and 20 hurries “But as I was watching the tape, because you have two weeks leading up to the game, I noticed that Tom Brady would come up to the line of scrimmage. And this is real information I’m giving you here, worth millions of dollars. I’m giving it to you right now. And there’s people recording this to pass it on to their players.” “But what I noticed was he would come up to the line of scrimmage and he would say ‘hut,’ which is telling the center to snap him the ball. So what he was doing was he would come up to the line of scrimmage, and before he said that, he was pointing at somebody, maybe somebody on the opposing side. And if he didn’t point at that person, that means they weren’t going to snap the ball. But if he did point at that person, the ball was coming as soon as he said ‘hut.’” “So after I watched this, I studied this for literally a week. I went back, I watched all the games, and he was doing the exact same thing, but nobody had figured it out. So I saw that, and I went and gathered the whole defense, and I was like, ‘Listen, this is what this man is doing.’ If you know when the ball is being snapped as a defensive line, you are at a tremendous advantage over the offensive lineman because they’re relying on you not knowing.” “Because if you don’t know, that means you’re going to be late. But if you do know, you’re going to beat them almost every time. And so as soon as I figured this out, I gathered the whole defensive line. I was like, ‘Listen, this is what Tom Brady’s doing.’” “Now we all started to watch this together, and we saw this was 100%. It wasn’t even like 80. This was 100%. So now we knew going into that game that, as a defensive line, we were going to be able to overwhelm them offensively simply because of that one thing that I had pointed out.” “And we went into the game and we sacked him like five times, hit him like 20 times. They couldn’t understand how we were getting off the ball and getting to him that fast. And it was simply because, for two weeks prior, I just sat there and I had watched what this one person was doing, and that gave us the mental advantage going into the game. We knew we were going to win that game even though nobody else did, because we knew something that they didn’t know, and nobody else knew that we knew.”
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Jeff Fogle retweeted
The internet is undefeated
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Jeff Fogle retweeted
🚨❌📄 #NEW — Larry Klayman, the attorney who was known for representing Patrick Reed in a $750M defamation lawsuit and delivered subpoenas to the homes of Tiger Woods & Rory McIlroy on Christmas Eve, has been disbarred by order of the Supreme Court.
In SCOTUS orders today:
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Jeff Fogle retweeted
The Descent of the Online Sports Gambler Without their most frequent bettors, digital sportsbooks could lose about 60% of their gross revenue. Bloomberg analyzed more than three years of betting deposits to understand who these apps depend on, and the potential risks for their customers. Aaron Gordon and Polly Mosendz report. bloomberg.com/news/videos/20…
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"This will be the bettors' best day of the NFL season." — @SouthPoint sportsbook's Vinny Magliulo (@VinnyByTheBook) Favorites went 12-1 SU and 9-3-1 ATS (depending on how you score Cowboys). Public rides favorite moneyline parlays.
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Jeff Fogle retweeted
This year has completely sullied Kyle Whittingham’s rep. His old team has immensely improved without him and his new team is a complete mess because of the coaching.
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Jeff Fogle retweeted
Very frustrating and disheartening to see how prevalent AI is becoming in racing in areas it is just not needed ie. articles and crap graphics for social media posts. Taking the job of a talented person for the sake of low-quality, soulless content. It’s dire.
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Jeff Fogle retweeted
Big 10 QB 🎠 Starter injured: tOSU, ORE, UCLA, IND, NW, MSU, RUT Starter benched: MICH, WIS Starter just back from surgery: ILL Have rotated starters: WAS, IOWA
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Jeff Fogle retweeted
Football Frenzy With Alex White & Chris Andrews. CFB W10 and NFL W9 xitter.gq/i/broadcasts/2WXEnRlqr…
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Jeff Fogle retweeted
Another week where commentators refuse to explain why the decision is being made to inform viewers and instead remain ignorant. Maybe viewers really enjoy be enraged while watching but considering “analytics” aren’t going anywhere anytime soon, we should probably work to inform the audience.
Al Michaels and Kirk Herbstreit with some more jokey analytics commentary on the Jaguars-Ravens broadcast. 🏈🎙️
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Jeff Fogle retweeted
VSIN Contest Leader @alexwhitee is on a 33-9 run (and 7-0) in the VSIN Invitational The probability that a 54% handicapper can win 33 or more games in a 42 game sample is .025% NO ONE will ever have a run like that in this contest EVER again. @VSiNLive @CircaSports
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Jeff Fogle retweeted
Real talk — what @alexwhitee is doing is historic. 33-9, a 78% clip, against Circa numbers with the best cappers alive in the field. 7-0 on best bets on top of it. Fezzik's math says .025% for a reason. This is the run of a lifetime. Flowers deserved. 💐👑
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Jeff Fogle retweeted
BREAKING NEWS: Gaming officials in Massachusetts Thursday said they will launch a full investigation into alleged proxy betting concerning @BillSimmons and @FanDuel and have the operator appear at an adjudicatory hearing on the matter. Simmons admitted on podcast that he facilitated proxy wagers on his FanDuel ($FLUT) account through an acquaintance in the Commonwealth when he was out of the state. The case involves 22 wagers totaling $21,800 placed over three separate dates in August. @MassGamingComm Senior Enforcement Counsel Zak Mercer said the "IEB will be digging in on all facets of this and making determinations as the facts guide us." Commissioner Eileen O'Brien pushed for the review, citing the illegality of proxy wagering in the Commonwealth. "I'd like this to come in front of us," she said. "One of the huge issues that we've had, especially with youth and college-age people betting, has to do with proxy betting," she said. "And I've been a little disturbed by the lack of full appreciation. I think in general to the fact that it's illegal. To me, this is not singling someone out, but this is the first one we sort of had openly referred to us as a possibility. I think it is a an opportunity to have an operator do a deeper dive as well into proxy betting."
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