Just a guy who loves memes, chess & radiating positivity || @monad
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Joined June 2024
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Till Today No one Has accurately speculated what Monad will do Next.
I expect the trend to continue on 28th October.
[monad airdrop estimates: updates]
disclaimer: this is pure speculation. the author has no insider information, and all assumptions are based solely on imagination.
this is a follow-up to my previous post about @monad airdrop estimates, with new information like the strength parameter and other factors.
this is a maximum delusional overview. we'll assume a total airdrop of 6% with an assumed fdv of $10b.
community:
number of people:
5,500
estimated airdrop:
3% (3b mon)
who i consider part of the community: those eligible via discord, email, and via telegram.
average strength by main parameters:
mail: 0.5–5.2 (tier 0–5)
fa: 0.1–5.5 (tier 0–5)
nads: 5.2–5.5 (tier 4–5)
rh: 5.6–5.7 (tier 5)
og: 5.7–5.8 (tier 5)
mon: 5.8–5.9 (tier 5)
mon2: 5.8–6.0 (tier 5)
these are average strength. your may be higher or lower. part of the nads received tiers below 5.
based on these numbers, i believe community last is the most common tier among the 5,500 people, as combining roles and emails adds up significantly. let’s assume up to 2,500 people fall into community last.
even the difference between 5.0 and 5.5 strength is substantial.
the community last tier is based on my assumptions for each strength level. the rest are evenly distributed due to the lack of precise strength data.
estimated allocations:
participation award: 1,000–2,658 mon
top 99%: 3,004–9,024 mon
mid, but we like you: 10,197–30,633 mon
permanent underclass: 34,615–103,987 mon
you're cooked: 117,505–352,992 mon
community last: 423,590–7,347,827 mon
external:
number of people:
225,000
estimated airdrop:
3% (3b mon)
estimated allocations:
participation award: 1,000–2,190 mon
top 99%: 2,416–5,839 mon
mid, but we like you: 6,440–15,563 mon
permanent underclass: 17,166–41,482 mon
you're cooked: 45,755–110,566 mon
community last: 121,955–242,230 mon
the distribution here partly depends on nft holders, echo, legion, monad card holders, etc. so most people fall into mid but we like you, permanent underclass, and you're cooked.
counts:
i wanted to provide a more detailed analysis of how strength is calculated, but we haven’t gathered enough data. what i’ve collected is included in the screenshot for your reference.
do you think these estimates could be close to reality❔
would you be satisfied if the airdrop was distributed as i’ve calculated❔
Monad Really Understands the Attention game.
They’ve mastered the art of staying on everyone’s TL despite not necessarily pleasing Everyone.
Starting From distributing Cards in Tiers to “Supposed CT KOLs” and generating unimaginable levels of mindshare in the weeks that followed.
Making sure people have something to talk about seems to be the modus operandi for Monad.
I’ve been observing how the team is trying to execute the airdrop distribution and tiering the Community Cards(even if this hasn’t been very popular with said community) seems to keep everyone talking.
All this is still in line with the “Attention Game” Monad seems to be playing.
The Community Cards may not be as important as they appear to be on first glance as different individuals with varying levels of contribution and standing in the community possess thesame Cards and logically I expect monad to have some form of filtering or in-house system to reward such individuals fairly.
All these is leading to a crescendo for the 28th of October.
“How you do anything is how you do everything”and in keeping with the “Attention Game” I expect the ride up until TGE to be some form of Game where everything is not always as it seems.
Everything on Monad is earned not Given.
And at the very right moment true believers will be rewarded accordingly.
Monad is truly for everyone.
Monad didn’t announce a mainnet Date so technically there’s no delay.
But there are quite a few advantages to mainnet being “delayed”
>You get to have a high performant blockchain in peak working condition.
>You have a more mature Ecosystem of Dapps,protocols, and NFT projects.
>Builders don’t have to ship half-baked products just to catch mainnet hype.
>You have Extra time to position yourself(Secure WLs,Roles, and Cabal Spots if that’s your thing).
>Time to secure Choglist.
>More time for lore to deepen & memes to evolve.
>Time to Rank up your Testnet Transactions.
>More time for gooning.
All in One Chain.
New Monad Contributor playbook:
-Gmonad With Mirror selfies
-Post random giveaways
-Farm engagement on Whitepaper and tokenomics
-Ragebait Full-Access + Testnet users
-Speculate Mainnet Date
-Repeat until mainnet.
Hey Monad Family.
My bro Aminex just had his account suspended by X.
Unfortunately this is something that always happens on this platform repeatedly.
Aminex is an active member of the monad community. And recognized by many.
Please show him your support so he can get back to something resembling previous levels.
His new handle is @XAmine01
Thank you @monad Community.
Gmonad fam, my previous account was suspended - tbh I don’t even know why. It’s demoralizing, but we gotta keep pushing.
I had over 2k+ followers that took years to build.
But I’m glad I still have the Monad community, because the majority are Monad community members.
Please kindly follow my new account @XAmine01 I’ll do same.
Thank you always for your support.
