Rust belt to Ranch belt. Conservationist, Darwinian, highly replicated. 51% Walter White, 49% Frank Gallagher
Ann Arbor and Loveland
Joined June 2013
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Kirk Maxey, Flyover Guy retweeted
THE 15% BAND
Look at this chart.
59 races. Senate and governor.
States ordered from reddest to bluest in 2024.
The solid lines are 2024.
The dashed lines are 2026.
The shaded bands are what moved.
One formula fits all of it:
Republican 2026 = 0.85 × Trump 2024
Democrat 2026 = Harris 2024 + 0.15 × Trump 2024
For every 1,000 Trump points, 850 stayed Republican. 150 landed on the Democratic side.
The numbers:
Senate: Republicans kept ~85% of Trump’s share
Governor: ~86%
Variation explained: 88%
What makes it strange:
It didn’t matter how red the state was. Wyoming, Ohio, Illinois, Massachusetts: same 15% (p = 0.69). The Democratic gain was sized by Trump’s vote, not Harris’s. The Harris part is zero.
The 0.85 beat both standard election-swing models in every set of races.
Drop any single state and the multiplier stays between 0.846 and 0.853.
Why seats flipped:
At 0.85, any state where Trump got under about 58.5% falls below 50%. Texas, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, South Carolina, North Carolina: all under that line. All flipped.
What this means:
Midterms are messy. This one isn’t. Two sets of races, different candidates, different campaigns, and the same 15% decrease almost everywhere.
A pattern this even demands answers at the ballot level: paper ballot hand counts, poll-book check-ins against votes counted, and voter files showing who actually turned out.
The numbers raise the question.
The ballots can answer it.
Kirk Maxey, Flyover Guy retweeted
You'd think they could have got one of the girls drunk for Steve as a reward for all he's done.
I'd like to see them go toe to toe and watch the Elf man get launched into low earth orbit.
Whose side are you on? 🥊
John Fetterman vs. Abdul El-Sayed is getting ugly.
El-Sayed called Fetterman an “ogre on a pike” for supporting Israel and Iron Dome.
Fetterman fired back, branding him the “Pontiac Platner” with “little man syndrome” and the face of the party’s “pro-Hamas wing.”
Schumer just asked Democrats for unity after the midterms. This feud says good luck with that.
The progressive base is eating its own🤷🏼♀️
Kirk Maxey, Flyover Guy retweeted
A few days ago, Austin Payne, a 15-year-old White boy in Georgia, was hunted, shot, and left to die in an abandoned apartment by four black teen males.
He called his mom after being attacked and shot, telling her he was dying.
She found his body the next morning after searching all night for him.
Charged with his murder: Jansquincey Donaldson, 15; Omari Marion, 15; Adarious Wallace, 16; Detravion Parker, 22.
National media has been completely silent.
If four White teens had done this to a Black kid, it would dominate cable news for days.
Instead, silence.
They covered the Nolan Wells case wall-to-wall for a drowning.
Yet this kid was hunted like an animal and brutally murdered, and because his skin is White, his story will never be told.
I couldn’t imagine being his mother and getting that call.
Rest easy, Austin. 💔
#whitelivesmatter
Kirk Maxey, Flyover Guy retweeted
In case you don’t know, this is impossible. Another Biden “81 million votes.”
The Democrats got 20 milliom new votes.
That’s a 40% increase from out of nowbere.
This is 10 million more than in 2018. When Trump was also on the ballot.
Republicans actually marginally increased turnout from 2022 and 2018.
Republican voters rarely flipped this election, according to NBC News exit polls (~1%).
So these are just new Dem voters “mad about Trump” that are 20% more than his last midterm.
And some Dem candidates apparently outperformed Kamala Harris, including Texas governor-elect Gina Hinojosa.
Hinojosa was actually trailing Abbott in the aggregate polling before the election.
How very odd.
You can't cheat without leaving footprints. The whole issue is: Will the defenders of Election Integrity do a damn thing about it?
In a normal election, obscure down-ballot races get fewer votes than Governor or U.S. Senate because of ballot fatigue. In 2026 across multiple states, that rule flipped. Land Commissioner, Ag Commissioner, and appellate judges in Texas pulled hundreds of thousands more votes than the top of the ticket. Same pattern in Iowa, Oklahoma, Kansas, and others.That is not organic voting behavior. That is a red flag written in numbers.
Kirk Maxey, Flyover Guy retweeted
It looks like GOP voters didn't stay home after all. We all came out to vote. However, democrats manufactured 20 million new voters somehow? Just like when Creepy Joe Biden got 81 million votes. There needs to be an investigation. A real one.
Kirk Maxey, Flyover Guy retweeted
Czarnek pięknie trzęsie klatką zamachowców.
Wymienił CAŁY plan Tuska na zamach stanu w Polsce i zwrócił uwagę, że politycy jego koalicji w Sejmie są PRZERAŻENI.
"Sami boją się, gdzie jest tego koniec, a JEST W WIĘZIENIU!
Koniec oznacza zagarnięcie Sądu Najwyższego, zdjęcie z urzędu Prezydenta i oddanie go TOWARZYSZOWI Czarzastemu, brak demokratycznych wyborów, zagarnięcie NBP i wepchnięcie Polski do strefy euro bez zmiany Konstytucji oraz poddanie całego prawodawstwa polskiego prymatowi prawa europejskiego.
To są ich cele, które chcą osiągnąć przy okazji zamachu na konstytucyjne organy państwa".
Pokrywa się z moją listą, Czarnek dodał jedynie NBP.
Co najlepsze, Czarnek ma podstawy prawne, by straszyć więzieniem.
Wg. art 127 kk każdy, kto podejmuje w porozumieniu z innymi osobami próbę siłowej zmiany konstytucyjnego ustroju Rzeczypospolitej odpowiada za współudział w zamachu stanu.
Politycy koalicji Tuska jak najbardziej wyczerpują ten artykuł.
Wise counsel....
First they will ban Bibles in schools, then they will disarm the lawful citizens. Then they will make laws to discriminate against American citizens.
Then you all become us......the oppressed and the hunted.
If you are truly fortunate some of you might be given a lifeline as a refugee in a different country that seems at the time much better, giving you hope for a better future.
One thing is for sure, never think there are any guarantee it would not end up the same as the country you escaped.
Best thing to do is to prepare for the worst. Do your best with what you have!
South African refugees have seen and experienced oppression, being the hunted in our own country you have build with blood and sweat.
Worst part of all is we thought we were doing the right thing...... at the end it caused our downfall.
Don't be like us.....you will end up being refugees, and consider yourselves fortunate...... 🤔
I don't know how Americans can fix America, we could not fix South Africa. What I do know is that time is not on your and our side.
Reason #6: If you look at the raw, un-fudged climate data, there is no evidence of any significant crisis. Sea level change is decelerating, if anything. Arctic sea ice is unchanged for 2 decades. Nothing much is actually going on.
How do I know the climate “crisis” is a scam?
Here are five reasons:
1️⃣ None of the politicians, celebrities, or “scientists” talking about it have changed their own lifestyles in any way. If they actually stopped using oil and gas products, I’d take them seriously. Actions speak louder than words.
2️⃣ Climate conferences still aren’t held on Zoom using their large meeting extensions. Instead these gremlins keep flying around the world lecturing us about shrinking our carbon footprints while doing nothing to shrink their own.
3️⃣ Wealthy alarmists are still living on or buying oceanfront property. If sea levels were rising at anything close to a catastrophic rate (instead of the gradual increase we actually see), they would be moving inland and banks would stop writing loans for those properties.
4️⃣ The same people never criticize China or India. They always have a ready list of excuses for why the world’s biggest and fastest-growing CO₂ emitters get a free pass to keep burning fossil fuels.
5️⃣ The only “solutions” they ever offer involve more government power. Higher taxes. EV mandates. Restrictions or bans on the energy sources they don’t like.
Kirk Maxey, Flyover Guy retweeted
🚨🇵🇱A coup d'état is underway in Poland, led by Donald Tusk, who is attempting to illegally concentrate all power in his own hands. He has already brought the judiciary under his control, including the Constitutional Tribunal.
Roberta Metsola came to Poland and delivered a speech in the Polish Parliament, with banners held by Poles protesting against Tusk's coup clearly visible in the background. The banners explicitly called Donald Tusk - Ursula von der Leyen's protégé - a DICTATOR.
Your county was ignored by the cheat because they knew California was locked down hook and sinker. In counties where the Dem cheat machine wasn't engaged, the election was more of a tie - Red stayed red by normal margins, blue stayed blue. Blue counties in MA and NY also had this pattern - it wasn't worth the effort to cheat where the outcome is a foregone conclusion.
I live in a rural county in far Northern California. Most of the state forgets about us unless it’s to call us rednecks, make meth jokes, or flood one of our local state parks in the summer.
In this year of the Republican bloodbath and complete national leadership failure, I noticed that, with most of the votes counted, my county remained basically the same. Roughly R+30 depending on the race or ballot measure. A county of conservatives trapped in the most liberal state in America is now more right wing than the gun-toting, “don’t mess with us” cowboy state of Texas.
As much crap as blue state conservatives are given by red staters, it’s nice to have just a small bit of vindication. Even if our votes here are meaningless on a state and federal level.
Unfortunately, many red states are going to learn what the much maligned “red necks” of my county learned long ago. Being conservative in a blue state brings much pain.
I would start spending hard cash on communicating the implausibility narrative on public television - right where the gruesome campaign ads used to be. But you need a talented marketing person - these have to be @spencerpratt kinda ads - the ones people really don't mind watching. Remember the Republican "El-Sayad is dangerous!" BS? They probably dropped $300 million on those which only had the impact of destroying their credibility.
President Trump has a critical window right now on the election fraud.
The Democrats are already signaling they will incite violence and have Antifa standing by if he moves.
Secretary Hegseth increasing National Guard presence in Washington DC is a clear signal that the administration sees the risk and is preparing for it.
Make no mistake: the riots and the “Trump is a dictator who won’t accept the results” narrative are coming no matter what path he chooses. That part is not optional.
DHS has 45 to 60 days to review the ballots and present the evidence. One option is to wait that full period, then act on their recommendations.
The risk is that in those six weeks the “just accept the loss and focus on 2028” narrative hardens. Most large Republican accounts are already doing that…talking about messaging, turnout, and strategy failures…while almost no one in the official apparatus is loudly presenting the fraud evidence.
The people still shouting it from the rooftops are mostly digital soldiers and a few voices like Lara Logan.
The other option is to get out in front of it and go pedal to the metal. Secure the airwaves. Play the evidence of the fraud (2016 through now) nonstop on television and every major social media platform. Force the country to sit with the numbers, the videos, the irregularities, and the pattern for days on end. Interrupt the ability of TikTok and social media to flood the zone with the dictator narrative before it takes root. Then begin the high-level arrests of the public figures who enabled or directed it.
Lay the ground cover fire first, deal with the reaction, and control the information environment while the public sees the evidence with their own eyes.
Either path involves hard decisions and people in his ear pushing different timelines. I trust President Trump will make the call he believes is right. But the clock is running, the narrative is already being set by the other side, and waiting gives them more time to make “accept the results” the default position for Republicans.
The choice is whether to seize the initiative now or let the 45-day process play out and then react. He has the evidence. The question is when and how hard he chooses to use it.
As the reality that the Democrats can cheat blatantly in all 50 states sinks in, the only remaining options become more revolutionary and are no longer about elections. We do not have free and fair elections - only state sponsored circus events breathlessly rationalized by the same media that is groaning under the weight of the political advertising cash they just collected.
So let's ask a few simple questions. If bluest states in America - California, NY, NJ, CT, Rhode Island, Mass, Illinois, Maryland, DC, Oregon, Washington- suddenly ALL turned RED...would it seem realistic? If every county in Oregon went red, would anyone believe it?
If Mass voted red by 1 million votes, would media question it?
If NYC went red would anyone accept it was "poor candidates, bad president, wrong war, high prices?" Really?
What if LA, San Francisco, Palo Alto and Napa all went red?
What if Muslim communities went all red? Dearborn? Detroit? How about inner city Baltimore? Would Democrats believe it wasn't fraud? The media would not question?
White Republicans voting for communists & radical Muslims to punish Trump is like a sudden shift by every black voter in NYC, LA, Detroit, Baltimore & Chicago voting red. You'd believe that?
Sorry, what happened Tuesday night is not possible. Texas? Kansas? Mississippi? Ohio? All of them changed everything 2 years after a Trump landslide because of a war with 20 US deaths? More Americans are shot on a Saturday in Chicago!
Trump secured the border and deported 3 million illegals. Result? Lowest murder & crime rates in 100 years.
High Prices? High gas? Much higher prices under Biden. Higher gas prices under Biden w/out a war or tariffs.
Bad economy? Obama produced worst economy since Great Depression. Businesses closed by millions, half of Vegas boarded up, all-time record Americans on welfare, food stamps & disability. But he won re-election.
In Michigan white Republicans voted for a Muslim Brotherhood radical who wants Sharia Law to protest high prices caused 90% by Biden?
Red rural districts in Texas's voted for an effeminate radical weirdo who believes "God is non-binary?" Gave him more votes in midterm election than Kamala in Presidential year. Really?
Something smells rotten. This is "Twilight Zone." This is not possible. Someone thinks we're all idiots.
President Trump, are you listening? We are being played.
Kirk Maxey, Flyover Guy retweeted
An Oregonian’s warning for Texas.
Texans, we’ve had one-party Democratic control for decades and here’s what it looks like:
• Measure 110 made hard drugs basically legal. Overdoses and camps took over the streets.
• Portland defunded police and stopped prosecuting. Homicides and car thefts shot up after 2020.
• We spend a ton on schools and still rank near the bottom on reading and math. Kids aren’t even showing up for class.
• Strict land-use rules and zoning killed housing supply. Rents and home prices are out of control.
• High income taxes plus a new Corporate Activity Tax made the business climate terrible. People and jobs keep leaving.
• More people are moving out than moving in. They’re done with the costs, crime, and quality of life.
• Forest management got shut down. Now the wildfires are bigger and more destructive.
• Downtown Portland is still half-empty with open air drug use years later.
• Utility bills have jumped. PGE rates up around 50-60% in recent years from renewables mandates, grid costs, and other policies.
• Boys are allowed in girls sports stealing opportunities and sports titles from our daughters.
The list goes on.
Don’t let Democrats take over and destroy Texas too. You will lose your voice, and before you can get it back, they will rig the maps and gerrymander to keep you silent for good. Stop them before it’s too late.
With love,
A conservative Oregonian
It will actually be kinda funny watching LA and New York gut themselves in front of the entire country.
It wasn’t the wildfire that did her in; the Palisades held their nose and voted for her, and the rest of LA doesn’t care about the Palisades. They had their own reasons. South Central hates Karen cuz she abandoned them in favor of criminal migrants. Boyle Heights hates her for the warehouse fire. DTLA hates her for the bums. Hollywood hates her for the restaurant collapse and water main breaks. When Nithya presides over the same intractable issues in LA, they will hate her all the same. LA needed radical change. Not a change in radicals.
Kirk Maxey, Flyover Guy retweeted
Just a reminder:
There is absolutely no known reason for this layer known to any working scientist outside this group.
No one I know knows why "shepherding" is needed here. No one has explained why David Gross (85) and Arthur Jaffe (88) are in almost every scene like this and have been since the 1980s. If asked who the 5 member panel intercepting this result would be, I would have gotten both of those names as my first two guesses.
No one has explained why Ghislaine's father Robert Maxwell took control of this intercepting layer with Scientific Publishing and Permagon Press. No one has explained @pmarca and @bhorowitz's meeting at the Biden whitehouse where they were told that entire areas of theoretical physics were shutdown. Or why Francis Collins and Anthony Fauci were involved in "Swift and Devastating takedown(s)" of their colleauges. No one has explained why we couldn't figure out COVID's origins within a day or two.
There is simply this layer since the Manhattan Project and its secret "Reference Committee" that makes sure that science doesn't proceed the way we are all taught in school.
Simply put, this is as mysterious as it is outrageous.
Who ordered this bizarre interception by Gross and Jaffe? Are we all supposed to pretend this isn't happening in science?
"Oh yeah. This is all totally normal. Please take custody of this result and shepherd us like sheep with PhDs so we don't have any sudden violent advances. By all means, we need the octogenarians who have generously provided us leadership during this long four decade period of mysterious stagnation. Baaaaa."
This does not add up. Unless it does.
And it's mind-boggling.
Statement #2 of Yang-Mills Group, scientific collaboration shepherding AI result on existence of quantum chromodynamics & completions of the Standard Model, including subproblem proving the existence of the Quantum Yang-Mills theory. buff.ly/BwV89Tk
