Michael Bento retweeted
BREAKING: US and Israel are readying to launch heavy joint combat operations against Iran right after the midterm elections, with Trump leaning toward a large strike on Iranian nuclear and infrastructure targets immediately after November 3, per the WSJ.
It comes as Netanyahu said minutes ago during his speech "We will remove the Iranian threat forever in cooperation with President Trump."
Looks like Israel is headed for a hung parliament. I know that I said that Bibi winning presented the greatest risk of escalation in the war with Iran, but this is probably more so as Bibi is going to be desperate to please the ultra right wing parties.
In other words, if you use oil to heat your house this winter, god help you.
I wouldn't call it FOMO with the pathetic volume today. Price is just getting pushed around by dealers.
Once again the 0dte gamma was the telltale sign. What on the chart looked bleak this morning turned out to be a trap and gamma gave us a good dark pool level to dark pool level move up. Though I can't help but be a little concerned that we are running up into FOMC tomorrow.
Starting the day off right with another rejection of the 50dma. The one bright spot is there is a lot of gamma action in the 767-768 area for 0dte.
The KOSPI sure does love gaps. And yet, it still couldn’t make it far enough to invalidate the bear flag.
Michael Bento retweeted
No long write-up today because across other assets everything is pretty much the same as the Friday write-up and look to be in a holding pattern until FOMC on Wednesday.
$SPY has once again rejected the 50DMA, not good. We also closed just a whisker below the 765.40 dark pool level. We did however re-establish the massive dark pool level at 762.27 as support this morning, but we need to see it remain above for a few more days to have any confidence we established a floor there.
Looking at the hourly it would appear that we are set up to roll back over tomorrow morning, and given how the gamma profile has put walls at 755, 750, and 745 with 755 being the largest, and the call wall at 765 is all 0dte, it is likely the 755 put wall acts as a magnet at least until FOMC which could act as a stick save or a force multiplier. I don't see us breaking down the 762.27 level tomorrow, but if the Fed is hawkish even without a hike then we could be looking at a decisive breakdown by Thursday meaning we are in the early innings of a correction right now.
Bottom line, we cannot know for sure what the direction will be here until we are through FOMC and Wednesday's earnings.
No long write-up today because across other assets everything is pretty much the same as the Friday write-up and look to be in a holding pattern until FOMC on Wednesday.
$SPY has once again rejected the 50DMA, not good. We also closed just a whisker below the 765.40 dark pool level. We did however re-establish the massive dark pool level at 762.27 as support this morning, but we need to see it remain above for a few more days to have any confidence we established a floor there.
Looking at the hourly it would appear that we are set up to roll back over tomorrow morning, and given how the gamma profile has put walls at 755, 750, and 745 with 755 being the largest, and the call wall at 765 is all 0dte, it is likely the 755 put wall acts as a magnet at least until FOMC which could act as a stick save or a force multiplier. I don't see us breaking down the 762.27 level tomorrow, but if the Fed is hawkish even without a hike then we could be looking at a decisive breakdown by Thursday meaning we are in the early innings of a correction right now.
Bottom line, we cannot know for sure what the direction will be here until we are through FOMC and Wednesday's earnings.
Get ready, he’s about to do something really desperate that will undoubtedly affect oil.
🚨🇮🇱🇮🇷 Netanyahu is facing a demand for a CRIMINAL investigation, over allegations he tried to drag Israel into war with Iran before the election.
He's literally being accused of TREASON....
Israeli opposition lawmaker Liberman says he formally asked the AG to investigate Bibi, accusing him of pressuring security chiefs over the past month to take actions that could trigger a dangerous miscalculation with Iran.
Liberman alleges the PM was willing to risk IDF soldiers and a wider war because he feared losing the election.
Could he end up in PRISON if he loses tomorrow?!?
Source: @AvigdorLiberman / Writer: Samuel


























