Monica Lucas🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦

Democrat Congressman-Elect Richard Ojeda’s father passed way this morning from Parkinson’s, just Hours after he got to tell him that he Won his election. RIP Sir. Your son will make you proud.

WOW! FLORIDA! I'm hearing on the ground here in Florida that Democrats will likely outperform expectations here tonight. This is what 2 Republicans on the ground told me just now. They are frantic: Don't pay attention to the raw Republican-versus-Democratic turnout numbers. It's the Republican crossover vote and the No Party Affiliation voters who matter. Look at these numbers from a recent Florida poll: 🔵 REPUBLICANS CROSSING OVER TO DEMOCRATS: • 13% support Democrat David Jolly for governor. • 12% support Democrat Angie Nixon for Senate. 🔴 DEMOCRATS CROSSING OVER TO REPUBLICANS: • Just 3% support Republican Byron Donalds for governor. • Just 4% support Republican Ashley Moody for Senate. That's roughly THREE TO FOUR TIMES as much Republican crossover support, measured as a percentage of each party's registered voters. Now look at the voters who could make an enormous difference: No Party Affiliation (NPA) voters. In the 2024 presidential election, Florida's self-identified independent voters broke approximately: 🔴 Trump: 53% 🔵 Harris: 45% An 8-point Republican advantage. But in the latest RedBox Research polling for 2026, registered NPA voters are breaking: GOVERNOR: 🔵 David Jolly: 55% 🔴 Byron Donalds: 30% U.S. SENATE: 🔵 Angie Nixon: 54% 🔴 Ashley Moody: 29% That's a 25-point Democratic advantage among NPA voters in BOTH races in this poll, or a 33% swing! When you see Republicans leading Democrats in raw turnout, you're seeing how many people registered with each party have voted. You are NOT seeing whom they voted for. A registered Republican voting for David Jolly still shows up as a Republican in the turnout numbers. An NPA voter supporting Angie Nixon doesn't show up as a Democratic voter in those same numbers. And a Democratic candidate can outperform their party's registration numbers without a corresponding increase in registered Democratic turnout.