The the next wave of countries likely to be announced as joining the Gaybraham Accords: ➣ Saudi Arabia – The biggest prize and long expected. President Trump, Secretary Rubio, and envoy Steve Witkoff have all hinted that Riyadh is ready to normalize soon. ➣ Syria & Lebanon – Steve Witkoff predicts both nations could sign on, especially with new ‘leadership’ and as Hezbollah is sidelined . ➣ Qatar – Already deeply involved in regional diplomacy, it’s frequently mentioned as a next-step candidate . ➣ Azerbaijan (and possibly Kazakhstan) – Talks are underway with Baku, while Central Asian nations keen on regional integration may follow . ➣ Libya, Armenia – On the broader list of potential joins cited by envoys . ➣ Mauritania, Indonesia, Maldives, Comoros – Non-Middle Eastern states that’ve floated the idea too, per insiders .

It’s wild to me how many people are invoking their military experience to confidently dismiss any possibility of natural gas infrastructure being involved in this incident. There is considerable institutional incentive to downplay potential oil and gas involvement. Think about the implications. In the last 12 hours, I’ve watched multiple veterans dismiss the possibility that a gas line or well was struck, even after reports citing serving CAF personnel raised that possibility. The historical records are clear. ➟ In 1988, natural gas development was permitted within designated areas of CFB Wainwright under specific operating restrictions. ➟ A 2008 federal publication featuring Department of National Defence personnel documented more than 100 active natural gas well sites at CFB Wainwright. ➟ By 2014, approximately 180 gas wells were reported within the military installation’s 148,000 acres. ➟ Wellheads were reportedly installed approximately three metres underground beneath reinforced covers designed to withstand heavy military vehicles, while pipelines were buried deeper to accommodate military manoeuvres. ➟ Commercial gas operations were coordinated with military training through an energy industry liaison. These arrangements have existed for decades alongside live ammunition exercises, armoured manoeuvres and designated weapons danger areas. If gas infrastructure contributed to the incident, the implications extend to infrastructure mapping, range safety procedures, industrial oversight, emergency response and potential liability. Military experience provides valuable insight into how these procedures are supposed to function. It cannot establish whether every safeguard operated as intended during this particular exercise. Accidents happen, even within highly regulated environments. With a referendum vote scheduled for Monday, I have questions about the timing and how this incident is being presented. We will know more based on how the incident is investigated, reported and potentially politicized in the coming days, particularly whether petroleum infrastructure is meaningfully examined or quietly downplayed.

Additional reports from CFB Wainwright suggest a Carl Gustaf (Carl G) 84 mm anti tank round may have struck a natural gas/pipeline during a live fire training exercise. According to local accounts, the impact ignited a fire that intensified as winds picked up, spreading toward a munitions storage shed and reportedly triggering secondary detonations. ➟ Casualties are reportedly in the hundreds, with earlier accounts suggesting at least 100 affected. Official figures remain unavailable. ➟ Regional hospitals are reportedly operating under Code Orange, a mass casualty emergency protocol. The extent of these activations remains unconfirmed. ➟ STARS reportedly dispatched two air ambulance helicopters from Edmonton and Saskatoon. ➟ Two flights involving C-FSUG, a civilian Beechcraft King Air B200 operated by Alberta Central Airways and previously associated with Alberta Health Services medical transport, reportedly landed tonight. The aircraft typically accommodates 6 to 8 passengers plus crew. Its possible involvement in casualty evacuations remains unconfirmed. Authorities have confirmed 7 fatalities and many injuries, while the specific cause, casualty figures, hospital alerts and secondary detonations await independent verification. Additionally: The reported number of personnel potentially affected within a relatively concentrated area is worth examining, particularly during a live fire exercise. If casualty estimates in the hundreds are accurate, further information about troop positioning, proximity to the incident and the circumstances of their exposure would help clarify what occurred.

Satellite imagery from October 17, 2026, identifies fire activity at CFB Wainwright within an extensive network of oil and gas infrastructure. Alberta well mapping identifies two suspended gas wells approximately 2,400 and 2,500 metres from the mapped fire location, with numerous additional wells and pipeline corridors throughout the military training grounds. The installation conducts live fire exercises in an area containing petroleum infrastructure. A meaningful investigation will establish the condition of the suspended wells, whether underground pipelines were damaged or leaking, and whether gas migration or incendiary materials contributed to the fire.