grok is this true
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I do not understand the *level* of anti-Schumer energy right now to be honest. Maybe it's because I don't think he's going to run for re-election in 2028 (and would lose if he did so it's moot), but the next 2 years are not nearly as high-stakes policy wise as the first 2 years of a potential Dem trifecta after 2028. *That* is where major policy gains, screw ups, etc... are to be had.
Senate Democrats can't do anything in the next 2 years without Trump's signature or Thune's support (veto override). Democrats will not be governing alone. Chuck Schumer is a decades long creature of the Senate who seems like a perfectly fine caretaker for the next 2 years, and also just won a giant number of seats.
Slotkin, Van Hollen, etc... appear to just be posturing for 2028 and such of course. They want the optics of challenging him without actually trying to succeed, given the fact no one is formally jumping in. They may get token opposition soon, but this is all theatre atm.
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The two main paths before the GOP for 2028:
1) Try to win back some of the educated high-prop voters Trump repelled from the GOP coalition over the years, who will 100% vote in 2028.
2) Attempt to energize low prop voters with a populist campaign, sans Trump's celebrity.
Trump spent his political career building a coalition that was especially vulnerable to shifts in turnout and the economy. It relied heavily on noncollege whites, Hispanics, and young voters, groups with relatively low turnout and considerable sensitivity to rising prices. Young and Hispanic voters also have a history of swinging between parties. Given those dynamics, we shouldn't be so surprised that his coalition unraveled so quickly and dramatically when conditions turned against the GOP.
The GOP generally held up okay with the older and more college-educated parts of Trump's coalition in 2026, but he had already lost so much support among those voters that the results were still disastrous compared with Romney 2012.
Nick Pappas 🌻 retweeted
I've gotten a lot of questions about how I prepare for nights like this. I spend at least a few hours each week studying and refreshing my knowledge of U.S. geography, cities, demographics, and voting patterns. Here's me naming 2,000 cities in under an hour.
6 minutes and 21 seconds of me breaking down the tsunami as it unfolded on The Nerd Show with the fantastic @CHueyBurns and @SalvantoCBS.
A lot of progressives pushing for some kind of coup against Jeffries haven't yet internalized that the median member of the Democratic caucus is further right than before last week, even if the median member of the House overall is further left.
With a few possible exceptions like Will Lawrence and Brian Poindexter, progressive wins this cycle primarily came in blue districts already held by Dems. The bulk of House pickups in purple to red districts did not come from progressives or especially DSA-types. The median House Democrat is now *more moderate* than before, and progressives in the House caucus like AOC and Ro Khanna know that. Jeffries is a representative leader of this caucus.
The next 2 years will be filled with people in NYC, San Francisco, and elsewhere getting mad at people like Bobby Pulido for not representing the interests of online progressives who live outside their districts.
Anytime people say I’m bad with money, remember…there are people betting on Ro Khanna to be Speaker of the House.
(Not financial advice)
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Nick Pappas 🌻 retweeted
I asked Jeffries if getting less than unanimous Dem support on the Jan. 3 speaker ballot would be significant to him:
“We're going to have a caucus of 260 members or beyond, and I'm looking forward to earning every single vote possible and getting to the 218 threshold.”
Nick Pappas 🌻 retweeted
John Cornyn says at an ABA luncheon in DC that he met with James Talarico this morning and also Friday in Texas.
“I consider it my responsibility to help him in this transition”
Nick Pappas 🌻 retweeted
Seeing some misinterpretations of Bush’s ’06 Rumsfeld firing.
It wasn’t a pivot: it was him doubling down on Iraq, with the troop surge that Rumsfeld opposed.
Most second-term presidents stay the course after midterm losses. Their parties pay the price. wakeuptopolitics.com/p/what-…
Nick Pappas 🌻 retweeted
President Trump says his administration’s deportation policy was “too tough.” cbsn.ws/4k5CJfU
Nick Pappas 🌻 retweeted
BREAKING: Jensen Huang admits affair as Nvidia launches independent investigation into CEO axios.com/2026/11/08/nvidia-…
Nick Pappas 🌻 retweeted
NEWS — Wisconsin Gov.-elect David Crowley says he will sign a bill redrawing the state’s congressional maps if the incoming Democratic-controlled legislature sends it to his desk, per @WISN12News.
Nick Pappas 🌻 retweeted
A Democrat won a house district in Provo, which used to give Rs 80 percent of the vote in my lifetime.
Republicans are barely winning the House vote in Utah.
People aren’t acknowledging Senator Based Mike Lee is up for reelection in 2028, and he could actually lose.
JUST CALLED: In a remarkable upset, Democrats have flipped UT HD-62 in Provo.
Democrat David Chappell had just a 2% chance of winning in our forecast, but he flipped one of the country's youngest state legislative districts anyway.
projects.statenavigate.com/2…
Nick Pappas 🌻 retweeted
Hakeem Jeffries is the younger Democrat that Pelosi passed the torch to in 2022. They'd immediately tell the next guy to pass the torch too.
Nick Pappas 🌻 retweeted
VoteHub will publish a fuller retrospective on this stuff with voter file and precinct data in early 2027.
For now, even in North Carolina, where Republican early-vote turnout was appallingly weak, I’d be surprised if the electorate was much more Democratic than Harris+10.
