Professor at the University of Utah; opinions are my own. Written some books about marriage & divorce. NAGA winner. Pot-bellied pig owner. No Substack.

El Cerrito, CA & SLC, UT
Joined October 2014
Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Spot anything misleading about this chart?
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Truly devastating news for family formation in America. Median mortgage payments doubled since just 2020 (!) from ☑️ $1040 in 2020 ☑️ $2056 in 2025 This matters because we know the cost of SFHs is a powerful predictor of marriage and childbearing.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
“Recent college graduates are now more likely to be unemployed than the workforce as a whole, a reversal of the usual pattern, and roughly 4 in 10 are working in jobs that don’t require their degrees,” by @ariel_kalil in the @chicagotribune: chicagotribune.com/2026/09/2…
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Over time, fewer married people reported one lifetime partner, while more reported between two and 10 partners. Higher levels of promiscuity remain relatively uncommon. High promiscuity is more common for men than for women, but it has been increasing for women and decreasing for men. Chart via @NickWolfinger
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Support for same-sex marriage really hits an inflection point for most religious groups when comparing weekly attenders vs everyone else. For evangelicals, support goes from 49% to 21% when comparing monthly attenders to weekly attenders. It drops 13 pts for mainline. 14 points for Black Protestants. For Catholics, it's down 16 points. Orthodox Christianity is a 33 points decline. But it's the largest among Jews - 37 pts.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Do the “universities are hotbeds of Marxist indoctrination” people have a favored explanation for why all of these alleged vipers dens of anti-capitalism primarily produce graduates that staff the Fortune 500?
When a large majority of graduates have a better opinion of socialism than capitalism, I think whether their professors identified as Marxist is missing the point. It's obviously leftist economics and history they were taught. Is that strictly "Marxism"? Choose your Scotsman.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
$22,567 per day. That’s what Perry County, TN will pay Larry Bushart for every day it kept him in jail over a Trump meme. He lost 37 days of his life and his job, and missed his anniversary and the birth of his grandchild. All for speech the First Amendment protects. Proud that @TheFIREorg helped Larry fight back and win, and even prouder that the First Amendment still has teeth.
Last year, the police jailed Larry Bushart for 37 days on a $2M bond for posting a meme after Charlie Kirk’s murder. With our help, Larry sued Perry County, TN, and its sheriff for violating his rights in retaliation for his protected speech. He has received a $835K settlement.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
It would be terrible. A huge proportion of women would not be able to find mates, they would end up bitter & then take out their bitterness on the world. Anything outside a 50/50 ratio is a recipe for trouble. xitter.cf/lost_nomad__/status/20…
Of course, I don’t approve of this negativity toward men. It’s repulsive But the effect of having a gender skew toward female might be positive. Is there a reason to believe we wouldn’t all be happier with, say, 55% women and 45% men?
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
"Although we tend to worry more about girls’ disadvantages in math and science, boys’ disadvantage in reading is much larger and more consistent."
"For reading and science as personal strengths, they found larger sex differences in more gender equal nations - an example of a common phenomenon known as the gender-equality paradox, and a decisive refutation of the social-constructionist view." stevestewartwilliams.com/p/t…
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
I did not realize that Egypt, India, and Malaysia were hard into "late-stage feminism." Birth rates are declining everywhere.
You cannot have widespread late-stage feminism AND high birth rates. It's not complicated. Economic conversations are tertiary at best.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Budget modelers going to be the last ones still paying federal income tax
Thank you so much to the Clark County Sheriff’s office for taking me out for a ride along. It’s an honor to get a chance to see what you’re up against firsthand. In DC, I’m working to provide tax relief on the first $100,000 of federal income tax for law enforcement. We need to think creatively about how to support law enforcement and first responder health and wellness. Read the full story: tinyurl.com/4ncmssvj
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Interpersonal trust may be the most necessary ingredient for a functioning democracy. Younger generations seem to lack it. 41% of the Silent Generation said that others can generally be trusted. It's 30% of Boomers and Gen X. 23% of Millennials. 13% of Gen Z.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
This is the (first derivative of) the San Francisco vote in 2024. Pavlou's map is similarly the first derivative of the Virginia vote. See the problem?
This was the Virginia map in 2024 So obviously blatantly unfair to gerrymander this into a 10-1 map in favour of Democrats PS I oppose Republican gerrymanders too It’s a terrible practice, you should just have an independent commission draw the maps
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
This is an utterly insane graph. The NIH annually awards about $40 billion in healthcare and research funding. I, personally, have been paid my salary by NIH grants. The Trump admin is devastating that ecosystem, which our scientists rely on for stability and basic success.
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America is in a manufacturing boom? Someone forgot to tell the data.
America Is in the Middle of a Stealth Manufacturing Boom, as shown in this visual from the WSJ. More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Large (N=67k) research by Aavik et al finds average men’s sexual desire is substantially higher ;and more stable) than women’s throughout most of the adult life span—peak average ♀ sex drive (age 20-30) is lower than ♂ (<60) average levels: buff.ly/EEgkmNL
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
This is a version of the same graphic for BlueSky. I think the average quality of account is higher — a lot of reliable news outlets — but the follower account is much smaller and the ideology almost entirely homogenous
These are the Twitter/X accounts with the most engagement so far in 2026. I suppose I had some intuition for how bad it was, but jeez, this is what you get when the ecosystem is broken.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
These are the Twitter/X accounts with the most engagement so far in 2026. I suppose I had some intuition for how bad it was, but jeez, this is what you get when the ecosystem is broken.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
I used to think that South Korea had the world's harshest marriage market, but in truth it's probably Northern Nigeria. If almost half of married women are in polygamous unions, this implies that many poor young men will struggle to afford the bride price.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Striking chart from @PillarCatholic using data from all Catholic dioceses in the U.S. While there is a recent uptick of conversions, they are down ~50% since 2000.
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