OrderOf retweeted
Former Goldman Sachs oil derivatives trader Simran Singh (@0xturbanurban) on applying options thinking to everyday decisions:
"My first manager, one of the first things he taught me is everything in life is an option."
"Every day, whether we go about our lives doing X, Y, or Z, we're paying some sort of theta."
"Now, the question is, how do you monetize it or how do you optimize for it? That's the gamma."
"The thing that you learn and begin to appreciate more than anything else when you're an options trader is viewing life through this risk-reward framework."
Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader Simran Singh (@0xturbanurban) on the day oil went to -$37.63, why every trading strategy is momentum or mean reversion, & losing $3.12M in a single day.
Simran Singh (Goldman Sachs oil derivatives trader, on the desk when WTI went negative | GSR Head of DeFi Trading | Now CEO & co-founder of @MonacoTrading)
"You can't touch an interest rate curve, but you can smell a barrel of oil."
We cover:
- Pricing oil options at 300-400% vol the day WTI went negative
- How Goldman's oil desk monetizes client flow (80-85% was producers hedging)
- How producer hedges turned a market-risk problem into a credit problem in 2020
- Why market making is really a bet on mean reversion
- The perp funding trade: anyone can do it, very few can do it in size (15% carry even on the CME)
- "My size your price, or your size my price"
- Who's printing money right now: OTC hedging in power, compute & AI
- Why there's no venue to trade electricity, and how Monaco wants to fix that
Highlights:
00:00 Intro
00:58 The day oil went negative: April 2020
06:07 How Goldman oil traders monetize client flow
18:30 Every strategy is momentum or mean reversion
22:53 Goldman to GSR
28:26 The perp funding trade
34:48 Sell-side to buy-side
42:27 The AI complex & agentic trading
48:21 The Monaco Exchange thesis
53:13 Decentralizing futures listings
OrderOf retweeted
Y'all see the delicious irony in the 'wantam one finger salute? There was a time it was raised to show allegiance to KANU, a symbol of loyalty to a party determined to resist multiparty democracy. Today, the same finger is raised in defiance of the authority of KANU's 'children'
History has a ka-wicked sense of humour. The gesture once used to advertise obedience has become an expression of rebellion. Ebu imagine the discomfort of those who discover that even their symbols have defected to the opposition.
OrderOf retweeted
There is a private Muslim prayer room inside the Vatican Apostolic library. It was set aside for Islamic scholars who visit the library to study.
Is there any prayer room for Christian’s in Saudi? 😊
Replying to @Ade_of_God
When Vatican in Rome allows mosque, we will start talking till then, nothing new
OrderOf retweeted
The power of pussy is underappreciated.
Reminder that England left Catholicism solely because Henry VIII wanted to shaboink Anne Boleyn.
Hundreds of years of religious wars, the rise of the British Empire and the Industrial Revolution followed.
All due to one clam.
OrderOf retweeted
1993 (post 92 elections economic mess) broke a lot of people, especially head of households / breadwinner / black tax Generals. The ripple effect on marriages and families is something I wish we documented. Many never recovered. And the protagonists got a country as a gift 🙃
He bought 50 acres of pure bush in Kisaju for Sh2.3 million.
No water. No electricity. Just wilderness.
People laughed.
Today that same land has hosted a sitting President.
His name is Fred Obachi Machoka.
In 1993 he took a Sh1.6m loan. Interest ballooned it to Sh7.5m. He was forced to sell 30 acres just to survive. Dark days.
His wife Sophie kept planting trees. She knew every single one by name.
In 2015 their son Victor quit a six-figure job in Nairobi to rescue the land. Their first event had no electricity, they lit the place with car headlights.
People still stayed.
In 2016 Fred injected Sh4m and officially launched Fred’s Ranch & Resort.
What was once barren bush is now manicured lawns, high-grade cattle, an orchard, horse stables and a place where the powerful come to relax.
Most people think farming is buy land on Monday, cows on Tuesday, millionaire by Friday.
No.
It’s vision + stubbornness + a partner who believes + the courage to sell half the land but never the dream.
You might be in your Kisaju season right now.
The land looks empty.
The loan is heavy.
People are laughing.
Don’t quit yet.
OrderOf retweeted
If you didn’t have Jensen having an affair with a Chinese spy in your DCF model I’m sorry but you’re not gonna make it.
OrderOf retweeted
Is Huang Xiaole (黄小乐) aka Alice Huang a 燕子 working for the CCP?
On a June night in 2024, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang held court with several of his company’s major Asian customers at a bar in Taipei. Next to him was Huang Xiaole (黄小乐) aka Alice Huang, an executive of Megaspeed, a shady Singapore-based data center company.
Nvidia’s compliance team has looked into Megaspeed and determined it’s “wholly owned and operated by a company based and headquartered outside China, with no China shareholder.”
Megaspeed was created in 2023 when 🇨🇳 7Road, a gaming company with ties to 🇨🇳 state-backed investors, split off its overseas operation in Singapore and renamed it Megaspeed, which in early 2024 set up Speedmatrix, a subsidiary in Malaysia that quickly snapped up ~$2B worth of Nvidia’s most advanced chips. Most of those chips came from Aivres, the US subsidiary of 🇨🇳 Inspur, a major tech company added to the 🇺🇸 Entity List in 2023 for supporting 🇨🇳 military 👉🏻 Nvidia is barred from selling its technology to Inspur without a special license. But since Aivres is based in California and records sales as a US company, it can buy Nvidia chips freely.
Megaspeed has funneled those chips to data centers in Malaysia and Indonesia that appear to remotely serve customers in China. That is not necessarily illegal, but it can be found unlawful if it is done on behalf of a 🇨🇳 company. US officials have also been scrutinizing whether Megaspeed diverted some of those chips on to China, in violation of US law.
Megaspeed is also facing scrutiny from Singaporean police.
Megaspeed listed Alice Huang as its managing director for its first 8 months, and its current director James Tan is from Singapore but is based in Shanghai.
It’s not clear when Jensen Huang and Alice Huang, who are not related, first met. She was mingling with a crowd of tech executives just after midnight at the Taipei bar in early June 2024 when she offered to ask Jensen Huang to join them.
“I bet you guys I can get Jensen here,” she said, and shortly afterwards Jensen Huang arrived in his trademark black leather jacket and drank a whiskey shot with the group.
Jensen Huang and Alice Huang were photographed together again in May, exiting a restaurant in Taipei with an Nvidia aide after a business dinner with other AI suppliers.
Alice Huang spent much of her career in China, including working as a TV reporter for 🇨🇳 state media and as a private banker. Huang left Megaspeed in recent months. It’s unclear when and why she left and what she’s doing now.
Both she and 🇨🇳 7Road, the Chinese company that Megaspeed split off from, have close ties to a web of wealthy investors and tech companies with data center projects in China.
The owners of 7Road include 🇨🇳 central government and several local governments. Before joining Megaspeed, Ms. Huang was executive director for a Shanghai-based fund that had invested in 7Road and had ties to state-backed firms.
Reporters looking into Megaspeed’s opaque operation have tracked business listings that led to a Malaysian data center and shopping mall, a near-empty office in Singapore and a dilapidated storefront outside Kuala Lumpur.
It’s not clear where Megaspeed’s billions of dollars came from. But a few weeks after the gathering in Taipei last year, Megaspeed began receiving a steady supply of multimillion dollar shipments of some of Nvidia’s most advanced chips.
Over the next 3 months, Megaspeed bought a billion $ of Nvidia technology. Within the next 9 months, it secured roughly a billion $ more. The bulk of those advanced Nvidia chips were purchased from 🇨🇳 Inspur’s US subsidiary Aivres. The shipments went to Megaspeed’s Malaysian subsidiary Speedmatrix.
The registered address for Speedmatrix on the shipping records led to a dilapidated storefront outside Kuala Lumpur, where the sign out front advertised a construction company. No one was inside when a reporter visited the address in late Sep. Employees at the law firm next door said they rarely saw people in the office.
1/2
nytimes.com/2025/10/09/techn…
OrderOf retweeted
Kenya is reportedly moving to cancel the Japanese-funded Likoni Bridge project despite years of preparation, completed designs and an already concluded procurement process.
The shift could mean losing a Sh6 billion grant and cheap Japanese financing in favour of a potentially more expensive Chinese deal.
OrderOf retweeted
Please have hobbies in your 30s, so you don’t become overly focused on relationships, other people’s availability, or what’s missing in your life.
Run, dance, read, travel, try new things, make friends, and fall in love with your own life. There’s so much more to experience.
OrderOf retweeted
Imagine discovering that people actually live and work beyond the resorts. Zanzibar is an island, not a five star hotel. Please travel with some common sense next time.
OrderOf retweeted
Got an interview coming up? This complete prep guide has everything you need to walk in confident and ready. 🎉
Share it with your network so others can benefit too! ❤️ – at Turku, Finland
OrderOf retweeted
Even locally, I've seen business risk advisory firms do detailed research before purchases and mergers that go into shocking detail about top management's and owners' personal life eg side chicks,hidden kids, personal debt, family fights, "your type", your childhood etc
OrderOf retweeted
china could "honeypot" me with a free house in a walkable neighborhood. i'd give up every US pant-making secret
OrderOf retweeted
If you are looking for non-dilutive grants, seed funding, fellowships, and travel opportunities to scale your project across Nigeria, Kenya, South Africa, Ghana, Rwanda, the UK, the US, and Europe.
I spent hours this weekend finding organizations that are actively funding NGOs, startups, small businesses and students then compiled over 210+ verified opportunities into one comprehensive sheet.
Application links, funding amounts (from $1k to over $100k), and categories have all been added, so all you have to do is review the sheet and apply.
docs.google.com/spreadsheets…










































