Tesla FSD Supervised is not fully compliant with the new UN R171 Series 02 (DCAS) rules that take effect late January 2027.
Software changes are required. Hereโs exactly what needs to change:
๐จ๐ณ On Wednesday night's Q3 call, Tesla said they are actively working with regulators in China and has published both its FSD safety report and its unsupervised robotaxi safety report.
They pointed to how many crashes happen because drivers aren't alert, and said: "Any regulator who looks at the data would find it very hard to refute."
I think regulators in Europe and the UK should be looking at that same data.
Tesla's Robotaxi data: 3.1M miles with no supervisor in the car, 6 cities, 22 Jan to 18 Oct.
0 Robotaxi airbag deployments
0 pedestrians or cyclists hit.
30 of 32 crashes were property damage only.
558K miles in the last week alone
Verdict: mostly low-speed bumps so far.
Sources:
Tesla page (miles, cities, airbags, pedestrians/cyclists, after dark, rain, weekly miles): tesla.com/robotaxi/safety
Tesla's crash list (32 crashes, severity, speeds): digitalassets.tesla.com/teslโฆ
Tesla's term is "safety monitor".
Ever wonder how Tesla Autopilot got approved via restrictive @UNECE regulations?
Hint: They used a loophole - Not many people know about this:
Guess which country objected?
It got approved anyway!
Same story for FSD next year?
In case you missed it.. I asked the ๐ฌ๐ง UK VCA for everything it has on Tesla FSD approval: RDW correspondence, approval materials, and applications.
โ Access denied โ
Here's why that matters for a UK launch ๐ฌ๐ง๐
โAccess Deniedโ
New FOI Response from the UK ๐ฌ๐ง Concerning Tesla's FSD (Supervised) approval process.
I asked for:
Correspondence and meetings with RDW
RDW approval material held by VCA
Use of RDW as a Technical Service
Recognition or reliance analysis
Applications and live files / pre-application requests
Any request VCA has made to RDW
Some data is held, but I get the traditional ACCESS DENIED blocker, and apparently the DFT would be at a MAJOR disadvantage if they answer my questions.
๐ค Where can you ride a Tesla Robotaxi today?
๐บ๐ธ Austin, Dallas, Houston, Miami, Orlando, Tampa
Austin now runs from 6 a.m. to midnight.
๐บ๐ธ California: Requires a safety driver. No driverless or CPUC robotaxi permit yet.
๐ฌ๐ง UK: ๐
๐ช๐บ EU: not even supervised FSD EU-wide yet.
Which country gets Tesla Robotaxi after the US?
๐ช๐ธ Spain Update: Waymo has a DGT robotaxi test permit, and plans fully autonomous rides in Madrid in 2027
Tesla has a DGT test permit too, for 30 SAE level 2 cars with 275,471 km logged at the last report.
Spanish owners still can't get FSD (Supervised) TAD though because Spain won't adopt the RDW type approval.
ยกHola, Region of Madrid! ๐ช๐ธ Weโre thrilled to announce that weโre coming to Spain, beginning with Madrid. This will be our first region in Spain and second in the European Union. We plan to launch fully autonomous ride-hailing in Madrid in 2027.
Sign up for future updates: waymo.com/waymo-in-spain
ยกHola, Comunidad de Madrid! ๐ช๐ธ Nos emociona anunciar que llegamos a Espaรฑa, empezando por Madrid. Esta serรก nuestra primera regiรณn en Espaรฑa y la segunda en la Uniรณn Europea. Planeamos lanzar nuestro servicio de ride-hailing totalmente autรณnomo en la Comunidad en 2027.
Sources:
Waymo Spain: waymo.com/waymo-in-spain
DGT test permits (Waymo FVA-03/2026, Tesla FVA-03/2025): dgt.es/muevete-con-seguridadโฆ
EU status: notanfsdtracker.com/map
๐ช๐บ The EU maths for Tesla FSD (TAD):
To pass EU-wide, it needs 15 of 27 countries AND 65% of the EU population.
The 9 that approved it cover only ~14% of EU citizens.
Add ๐ฉ๐ช Germany, ๐ซ๐ท France and ๐ฎ๐น Italy, and it's still only about 61%, from 12 countries.
Add ๐ช๐ธ Spain, and it clears 65%, but still needs 2 more countries.
Who's the real swing vote?
๐บ๐ธ On Wednesday night's Q3 call, Tesla said the Cybercab and Model Y run the same software, and Tesla will soon be able to release it to customers as part of V15.
The extra step is getting customer Model Ys into Tesla's geofences and fleet management. They suspect the first customer cars could join the robotaxi fleet around Q2 2027.
I think customer cars driving in Tesla's robotaxi fleet would be the strongest evidence yet for regulators in Europe.
๐จ- ๐ฌ๐ง Did Elon just say Europe & UK could get FSD (Supervised) TAD by Q1 2027?
And the UK?
On yesterday's call, he said Tesla is "hoping for an EU-wide approval" and he "would be surprised if it takes longer than Q1."
BUT THEN:
"We do anticipate being fully approved throughout Europe and many other countries"
Does that include the UK?
The timing is interesting. The next version of the UN driver-assistance rule (UNECE R171, Series 02) is expected to take effect around January 2027, and the UK follows UNECE rules too.
If Tesla goes that route, I think the UK could follow a similar timeline.
๐บ๐ธ Tesla WINS on class status in the FSD hardware case.
Last week, the 9th Circuit threw out the California classes.
The case goes back to the Judge.
๐ฌ๐ง I read the latest $TSLA shareholder desk so you don't have to. Here is what I found about the UK:
Nothing
However, Tesla has said: "We continue to work with regulators"
We know they have spoken with the VCA (Vehicle Certification Agency) in the UK, but the VCA won't say what was discussed.
I've submitted a few FOI requests, though, so stand by.
In case you missed it.. a European NGO wants Tesla FSD removed in the EU ๐จ
They turned off FSD settings, and their conclusion doesn't use RDW or Tesla outcome data.
Here's what their study left out ๐
They want Tesla FSD BANNED in the EU ๐จ
But they turned off FSD settings, which could have impacted their findings.
They claim it's for safety. FSD speeds less often than manual drivers in the same region by ~30%.
They donโt use RDW or Tesla outcome data in the conclusion.
I break it all down with my opinions here:
โฐ Tesla Q3 earnings tonight, 22:30 UK time.
I'm listening for 3 things:
1. A date for the UK ๐ฌ๐ง
2. The December EU vote ๐ช๐บ
3. Unsupervised outside the US ๐
Which one gets mentioned first?
๐ Demo rides are available in unapproved FSD / TAD countries.
You can try Tesla FSD (TAD) right now in:
๐ฉ๐ช Germany
๐ซ๐ท France
๐ช๐ธ Spain
๐ญ๐บ Hungary
๐จ๐ญ Switzerland
๐ซ๐ฎ Finland
None of them have approved it for owners.
Where it is approved ๐ณ๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐น๐จ๐ฟ๐ญ๐ท: No demo rides are available. Just subscribe in your own car.
Have you tried one?
Great summary of what's happening in the UK and Europe for Tesla "TAD"
Demo FSD / "TAD" rides coming to the UK soon?
Why Tesla is changing how TAD works in the EU
The loophole used by Tesla to regulate autopilot
and loads more
Tesla FSD in Europe: Whatโs REALLY Going On?
Graeme from @NotAnFSDTracker joins me for an epic chat about FSD, TAD, Europe Regulation, Robotaxi's, Cybercabs and more!
Full Video in thread below ๐


















