Peter Dotchev (@PDotchev) header
Peter Dotchev (@PDotchev) profile picture
Sofia, Bulgaria
Joined September 2013
Photo by Peter Dotchev (@PDotchev)Photo by Peter Dotchev (@PDotchev)Photo by Peter Dotchev (@PDotchev)Photo by Peter Dotchev (@PDotchev)Photo by Peter Dotchev (@PDotchev)Photo by Peter Dotchev (@PDotchev)Photo by Peter Dotchev (@PDotchev)Photo by Peter Dotchev (@PDotchev)Photo by Peter Dotchev (@PDotchev)Photo by Peter Dotchev (@PDotchev)
Will the environmental activists opposing nuclear electricity ever admit mistake? If the goal is to protect the environment, it’s hard to name a movement that has achieved the opposite of its intent more spectacularly. If only they had been on the right side of history 50 years ago… If the world embraced nuclear electricity instead of burning fossil fuels for electricity, 60% of Earth’s greenhouse gases accumulating from human activity would not be there. We would not have a climate change crisis to worry about. But it’s worse than that. I just finished reading Boemeke’s book Rad Future last night: “In a single year, the pollution from burning fossil fuels causes at least four million deaths” (p.11) “Nuclear has the lowest impact on ecosystems of all energy sources.” (56) “Exaggerated fear is killing us. After Germany shut down its nuclear plants in response to Fukushima, coal was used to replace lost power. A study found that this shift resulted in at least 1,100 premature deaths every year due to the increase in air pollution. There’s even a specific word for this specific brand of terror: ‘radiophobia.’ This fear can be a lot deadlier than radiation itself.” (69) “It seems that Germany is hell bent on being consistently on the wrong side of history. Germany chose to rely on coal and imported gas, making its electricity nearly ten times dirtier than France’s. By the start of the Ukraine conflict, Germany was paying Russia about $220 million a day for gas to keep its ‘nuclear free’ dream alive.” (158) “Greenpeace started as an anti-nuclear weapons group, but its opposition expanded to include nuclear electricity. Greenpeace and other organizations overstated the dangers of radiation to get people to push back” (146) “A few environmental non-profits [still] take a very loud antinuclear stance, Greenpeace being the biggest offender.” (206) “Nuclear energy now ranks as one of the safest forms of energy, thanks in part to those vocal hippies. But it’s time for them, and the ones who followed in their footsteps update their world view based on facts. The data doesn’t just say nuclear is safe, it proves it is the energy source with the smallest environmental footprint.” (201) But will Greenpeace change their stance and admit they are protesting the cleanest and most environmentally benign alternative, as they have with nuclear electricity, GMO crops and deep seabed mining? Sadly, as I learned from a recently departed Greenpeace executive, protesting along a vein of fear has proven to be their best fundraising strategy. Even if it’s rank misinformation, fear of the "new thing" is more powerful than data-driven pragmatism. It is a tragedy writ large for the oceans and the planet. Enter WePlanet, a new "environmentalism of hope.” They are new to me, but I am delighted to see a pro-science, data-driven environmental activist organization arise. Meaningful change always comes from new entrants, and for the environmental movement, it is long overdue.
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Peter Dotchev retweeted
"e/acc has no theory"
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Peter Dotchev retweeted
🇪🇺/acc? – at Pimmit Hills, VA
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Peter Dotchev retweeted
Today, I’m excited to share with you all the fruit of our effort at @OpenAI to create AI models capable of truly general reasoning: OpenAI's new o1 model series! (aka 🍓) Let me explain 🧵 1/
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What it will concretely take to clean up the Great Pacific Garbage Patch:
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Peter Dotchev retweeted
Starship’s fourth flight test launched with ambitious goals, attempting to go farther than any previous test before and begin demonstrating capabilities central to return and reuse of Starship and Super Heavy. The payload for this test was the data. Starship delivered → spacex.com/launches/mission/…
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Peter Dotchev retweeted
Tune in live: Our CEO Jensen Huang's onstage #GTC24 keynote. Join us at 1p.m. PDT as Jensen unveils the #AI advances that are shaping our future across industries. nvda.ws/4ajEKNa
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Peter Dotchev retweeted
I’m playing around with calling our tech, as it is today, IA (intelligence amplification) instead of AI. IA have the vibe of tools for thought, needing human interaction, and resemble a lot more what we actually have today. AI feels more like independent long-running agents.
It’s OK to call it Artificial Intelligence I wrote about how people really love objecting to the term "AI" to describe LLMs because they aren't actually "intelligent" - but the term AI has been used to describe this kind of research since 1955 simonwillison.net/2024/Jan/7…
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A nice way to end the year with some data: 66 Good News Stories You Didn't Hear About in 2023 futurecrunch.com/goodnews202…
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Peter Dotchev retweeted
Altman, Hassabis, and Amodei are the ones doing massive corporate lobbying at the moment. They are the ones who are attempting to perform a regulatory capture of the AI industry. You, Geoff, and Yoshua are giving ammunition to those who are lobbying for a ban on open AI R&D. If your fear-mongering campaigns succeed, they will *inevitably* result in what you and I would identify as a catastrophe: a small number of companies will control AI. The vast majority of our academic colleagues are massively in favor of open AI R&D. Very few believe in the doomsday scenarios you have promoted. You, Yoshua, Geoff, and Stuart are the singular-but-vocal exceptions. like many, I very much support open AI platforms because I believe in a combination of forces: people's creativity, democracy, market forces, and product regulations. I also know that producing AI systems that are safe and under our control is possible. I've made concrete proposals to that effect. This will all drive people to do the Right Thing. You write as if AI is just happening, as if it were some natural phenomenon beyond our control. But it's not. It's making progress because of individual people that you and I know. We, and they, have agency in building the Right Things. Asking for regulation of R&D (as opposed to product deployment) implicitly assumes that these people and the organization they work for are incompetent, reckless, self-destructive, or evil. They are not. I have made lots of arguments that the doomsday scenarios you are so afraid of are preposterous. I'm not going to repeat them here. But the main point is that if powerful AI systems are driven by objectives (which include guardrails) they will be safe and controllable because *e* set those guardrails and objectives. (Current Auto-Regressive LLMs are not driven by objectives, so let's not extrapolate from their current weaknesses). Now about open source: your campaign is going to have the exact opposite effect of what you seek. In a future where AI systems are poised to constitute the repository of all human knowledge and culture, we *need* the platforms to be open source and freely available so that everyone can contribute to them. Openness is the only way to make AI platforms reflect the entirety of human knowledge and culture. This requires that contributions to those platforms be crowd-sourced, a bit like Wikipedia. That won't work unless the platforms are open. The alternative, which will *inevitably* happen if open source AI is regulated out of existence, is that a small number of companies from the West Coast of the US and China will control AI platform and hence control people's entire digital diet. What does that mean for democracy? What does that mean for cultural diversity? *THIS* is what keeps me up at night.
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Pessimism for humanity's future is everywhere. But beneath it all is evidence that humans will not only survive, but thrive deep into the future. Proudly presenting THE HUMAN FUTURE: A Case for Optimism. youtube.com/watch?v=o48X3_XQ…
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Peter Dotchev retweeted
What Wikipedia did: we stood strong for our principles and fought to the Supreme Court of Turkey and won. This is what it means to treat freedom of expression as a principle rather than a slogan.
Replying to @mattyglesias
Did your brain fall out of your head, Yglesias? The choice is have Twitter throttled in its entirety or limit access to some tweets. Which one do you want?
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GPT-4 is excellent at coding. Probably better than the average software engineer. It’s using common sense, interactive, and reasoning through nontrivial problems.
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THE SIGHTS OF SPACE is now yours! youtu.be/HTHj_pvEYYE Feels good to get this out there after many months of work. What’s your favorite moment?
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Peter Dotchev retweeted
As one era ends next summer, another is just starting. #FarewellFiesta, it’s time to say goodbye to the little car that has touched us all – thanks for all the memories. But honestly, I can’t wait to show you what we’ve got coming⚡#EVs #ElectricVehicles Stay tuned!
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Peter Dotchev retweeted
imo #stablediffusion release today is a day of historic proportion for human creativity, with so much human visual creativity bottled up into one accessible artifact. Big part of a phase shift into an era of human+AI art collab that we’ve just barely scratched the surface of.
Delighted to announce the public open source release of #StableDiffusion! Please see our release post and retweet! stability.ai/blog/stable-dif… Proud of everyone involved in releasing this tech that is the first of a series of models to activate the creative potential of humanity
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!!!! Ok I recorded a (new!) 2h25m lecture on "The spelled-out intro to neural networks and backpropagation: building micrograd" youtube.com/watch?v=VMj-3S1t… . This is the culmination of about 8 years of obsessing about the best way to explain neural nets and backprop.
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