Michigan Senate rematch shows a 7-point Democratic lead in a state Trump just won by 1—a notable split between presidential and Senate performance. 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate 🔵 Abdul El-Sayed (D): 52% 🔴 Mike Rogers (R): 45% 2024: Trump +1 Marist Poll #A | n=1,185 | Michigan registered voters | Oct 15-18, 2026

🚨 NEW POLL: 2026 Generic Congressional Ballot 🟢 Democratic: 53% 🔴 Republican: 45% CBS/YouGov | Likely voters | Oct 21-23, 2026

There is always a final poll it will happen November 3rd.

POLLFINITY POLL AVERAGE 2026 Texas Senate James Talarico: 48.3% Ken Paxton: 46.3% Average margin: Talarico +2.0 Simple average of the latest poll from 3 pollsters, field dates Oct 8 to Oct 19. Range: tie to Talarico +4. Mix: 3 likely voters. Pollsters: Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research, Emerson College, ReconMR/Siena University. Pollfinity does not adjust for house effects or population.

🚨 NEW POLL: 2026 Generic Ballot 🟢 Democratic: 53% 🔴 Republican: 45% YouGov | Likely Voters | October 23, 2026 (2% undecided)

Democrat Lacore holds a narrow edge in deep-red SC-01, but the real story is how close this should never be. Here's what the polling actually shows 🧵 (Source: Public Policy Polling, N=770, 2026-10-22)

Democratic candidate leading in Texas Senate while Trump dominates statewide—a split-ticket scenario worth watching. 2026 Texas Senate Race 🔵 Talarico: +2 to +5 avg 🔴 Republican: Trailing in all 8 polls 2024: Trump +14 statewide Politix+ average of recent polls | | Texas likely voters

📋 POLLFINITY TODAY — Monday, October 26 Here's what we're dropping: 🏛️ 2026 Michigan 🟦 2026 SC-01 🔴 2026 Florida Governor Race 🗳️ 2026 Generic Ballot (YouGov) 🔴 NYT/Siena poll | 10/16-10/22 LV US House 2026 | Pennsylvania’s 🔴 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate Election 🔴 Ohio Senate Race 2026 🔴 Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District (2026) 🔴 Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District (2026) 🟥 2026 Generic Congressional Ballot (YouGov) 🏛️ 2026 Pennsylvania All data from real polls. No spin. Follow @Pollfinity for live updates 👇

The economy is voters' top concern by a wide margin — dwarfing Trump himself and the Iran conflict with weeks to go before the midterms. Economy: 43% | Politics: 13% | Trump: 7% | Iran: 5% Q: What is the most important issue facing the country? (Source: Scott Rasmussen, N=1,000 registered voters, 10/13/2026) (R-leaning firm)

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY: NEW Economist/YouGov % of registered voters who approve | disapprove of Donald Trump's job performance. This week: 40% | 59% 🔴 Approve: 40.0% 🔵 Disapprove: 59.0% YouGov | recent What's driving your view on this?

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY: NEW Economist/YouGov % of registered voters saying things in this country today are generally headed in the right direction 🔴 Right direction: 28.0% 🔵 Wrong track: 66.0% YouGov | recent Does this match how you feel?

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY: NYT/Siena poll | 10/12-10/19 LV | 2028 Democratic primaries 🔵 Kamala Harris: 12.0% 🔴 Gavin Newsom: 9.0% ⚪ Pete Buttigieg: 7.0% ⚪ AOC: 6.0% NYT/Siena | recent Who would you choose from this list?

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY: 2026 Ohio 🔵 Sherrod Brown: 48.0% 🔴 Jon Husted: 44.0% Marist University | n=1,176 | lv | 2026-10-15 – 2026-10-18 Does this match your expectations?

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY: Ohio: Immigrant Legal Status Policy 🔴 Required to leave the country: 37% 🔵 Way to stay legally if requirements met: 60% Marist Poll | n=1,176 | Ohio Likely Voters | 2026-10-15 – 2026-10-18 Does this reflect your views?

Thanks for including us. Pollfinity, Oct 15 to 18, 278 registered voters, ±6.5. Toplines, crosstabs and weighting are public on our website

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY: Michigan: Immigration Policy – Undocumented Immigrants 🔴 Should be required to leave the country: 33% 🔵 Should have a way to stay legally if they meet certain requirements: 62% Marist Poll | n=1,185 | Michigan registered voters | 2026-10-15 – 2026-10-18 Which approach aligns with your values?

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY: TEXAS POLL By CBS News Senate: James Talarico 51% Ken Paxton 49% Governor: Greg Abbott (i) 52% Gina Hinojosa 48% 🔵 James Talarico: 51.0% 🔴 Ken Paxton: 49.0% YouGov | recent Which result surprises you most?

Romero's one-point edge in CO-03 masks a race that's still wide open two weeks out. here's what the polling actually shows 🧵 (Source: DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department, N=402, 2026-10-21)

Democratic challenger leads Republican incumbent in a Trump +3 district—early sign of 2026 suburban vulnerability for GOP. 🇺🇸 PA-7 House Race (2026) 🔵 Bob Brooks (D): 49% 🔴 Ryan McKenzie (R, incumbent): 44% 2024: Trump +3 NYT/Siena #A | 10/16–10/22 | Likely voters