Predictable with Stu is a smarter, more useful way to get the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and what's next.

Joined January 2026
FREE ENTRY. $2,500 to first place. Pick 8 Senate candidates. Takes a few minutes. Top 100 win prizes. Even last place wins $100. Closes Monday at 11:59 PM CT. senatefantasy.com Rules: senatefantasy.com/rules NoPurchNec. 18+ US only. Enter by Nov. 2, 2026
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The Tampa Bay Rays beat the Milwaukee Brewers 4-3 in 12 innings in Game 4, scoring twice in the bottom of the 12th to avoid elimination. Milwaukee still leads the World Series 3-1 and is one win from its first championship. Polymarket put the Brewers at about 91% to win the series, with roughly $47.8 million in total volume.
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FREE ENTRY. $2,500 to first place. Pick 8 Senate candidates. Takes a few minutes. Top 100 win prizes. Even last place wins $100. Closes Monday at 11:59 PM CT. senatefantasy.com Rules: senatefantasy.com/rules NoPurchNec. 18+ US only. Enter by Nov. 2, 2026
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President Trump and EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin announced a proposal to revise a 2024 rule requiring oil and gas companies to monitor and reduce methane emissions. The changes would loosen some requirements, but this is a proposal, not a finalized repeal; the EPA says it will take public comment before finalizing the rule. The EPA estimates the proposal would save consumers and businesses $45 billion and lead to 210 million additional barrels of oil, but those are agency projections, not guaranteed savings for shoppers. Methane is a potent greenhouse gas, and environmental groups warn that weaker rules could allow more pollution.
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Sen. Lindsey Graham faces renewed scrutiny over allegations about his personal life. @StuDoesAmerica shares his thoughts on the situation and the questions surrounding the allegations.
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Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton are locked in a high-stakes Texas Senate race, and President Trump traveled to the state to rally support for Paxton. Talarico is making a bid to become the first Democrat in more than 30 years to win a statewide Texas election, while Elon Musk has funneled at least $158 million toward efforts to defeat him. Polymarket currently gives Talarico a 68% chance of winning, compared with 33% for Paxton, on about $7 million in volume.
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We've made an important addition to SenateFantasy.com. Whoever finishes dead last gets $100. Free to join, thousands in prizes. Put your Senate predictions to the test!
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JUST IN: Control of the U.S. Senate could remain undecided for weeks after Election Day as close races and state voting rules threaten to delay final results.
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NEW: Republican strategists are raising concerns about GOP voter turnout just six days before the midterms. Party operatives see encouraging signs in Iowa but growing concerns in Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska, per Axios.
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Just because something is favored to happen doesn't mean an upset is impossible. @StuDoesAmerica responds to criticism of prediction markets and explains why unexpected outcomes are a natural part of probability.
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Tune in!
7 days away from Election Day 2026. What do the markets say? Check out @PredictableShow with @StuDoesAmerica at 9pm ET. DIRECTV, Pluto TV, fuboTV, Samsung TV Plus, The First TV app or TheFirstTV.com/watch
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7 days away from Election Day 2026. What do the markets say? Check out @PredictableShow with @StuDoesAmerica at 9pm ET. DIRECTV, Pluto TV, fuboTV, Samsung TV Plus, The First TV app or TheFirstTV.com/watch
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Sports now account for roughly 65% of Kalshi's revenue, down from approximately 95% just nine months ago. @StuDoesAmerica discusses what the shift reveals about the growth of prediction markets and the potential for political markets to expand.
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The Philadelphia Eagles fell to 2-5 after another loss to the Dallas Cowboys, and their projected season win total has taken a hit. @StuDoesAmerica explains how he uses prediction markets to hedge against the disappointment of being an Eagles fan.
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