QuantNug (@QuantNug) header
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Ex Hedge fund Quant. 10Y trading SPX. I build the models the desk wishes it had - dealer flow, gamma levels, automated signals. SPX customer positioning!

Joined February 2023
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The stock market will crash. Been saying it for a couple weeks now. AI bubble has popped. If you think this is bad, give it another 2 weeks. AI will be down 20-40% more.
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Oh he indeed was right. This company is going to 0. The only thing that could stop it is an artificially manipulated gamma squeeze to like 250 within a month lol. It's been beaten down so badly, not even it's own board want in on shares.
Breaking: Michael Burry was right about Oracle • Nov 2: Oracle files to raise $20B in stock and debt to keep funding its Al data centers • Nov 4: Cancels a $7B Al chip lease with Tencent after U.S pressure • Nov 5: Falls 7% as the broader Al infrastructure selloff hits, down 17% in five days • Today: $ORCL down 66% from its record high It’s been 301 days since Burry shorted Oracle and it’s down 43% since
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Fairly nice demand down here on $ES_F around the 7400 area. $SPX is a good buy if we manage to retest down there.
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For the first time in this bear market on $ORCL - it dumped heavily on REALLY bad news, and actually is buying back. I don't think that's happened before yet.
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Let me say this ONE more time. AI stocks will need a bailout. THEY will have to call it the AI stimulus package - or something to that name. AI is still the future. Fundamentally IT'S strong. BUT you keep sending them down like today? It's 2008 * 50 all over again. $ORCL to 0$
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And down crashes $ORCL. Don't I keep telling you guys this company is going to declare bankruptcy? It's 100% the Lehman brothers of the AI world. This stock would have to go 100% within the next 3 weeks in order for AI to be bailed out haha. BOOM. The stock is going to 0.
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Dump right on time with $ORCL. I love holding in these bear markets. A lot of people really don’t understand just how doomed AI stocks really are. They will eventually need a bailout.
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See how $ORCL can’t actually head higher? While the rest of the market seems to do so? That should tell you everything about the AI trade currently. Short the AI names still. It isn’t over
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Don’t fall for the pump on AI stocks right now… the selling isn’t close to being over at all. Remember, markets don’t go straight up or down in a line, there’s always pullbacks.
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Short $ORCL - that stock should continue to capitulate. It’s going bankrupt.
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QuantNug retweeted
The stock market will crash. Been saying it for a couple weeks now. AI bubble has popped. If you think this is bad, give it another 2 weeks. AI will be down 20-40% more.
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For literally weeks I’ve told you guys $ORCL is going bankrupt haha. And all this other stuff about the AI stocks. Everyone thought I was crazy 2 weeks ago. And here we are. Crashing.
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MASSIVE buyer on $SPYG down here on the darkpool. My gut is the bottom is getting close. PROBABLY another 100 points down from here too.
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It's only going to get worse. Wait until $NVDA is down another 60% from here within the next 3 weeks:
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$VIX futures just traded right into the Supply zone my algo had marked for the VIX top here: pretty solid. $SPX
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HUGE ALERT OF DARKPOOL COLLECTIVELY triggered down here - $SMH - $NVDA - $SOXL, bunch of AI names!!!
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We are 100% going for a circuit breaker today. Let's go for a halt of trading. This is really bad right now.
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One of the biggest disasters in economic history right now. The AI bubble pop. Crazy how fast it happened huh? Going to be a massive recession from this day out going into 2027 and beyond.
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$VIX futures hedging #Gamma heatmap. We just hit our PEAK gamma hedge level. Wonder if Market makers will buy it all back now and push the market back into a bailout? hahahah or not. I have no clue:
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Here's the $SPX charm heatmap. Good god we just reached the buying portion on the day hahaha:
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Remember - the market is the economy. And because AI is the market, the economy is also going to collapse as well. War with Iran, a dem sweep across the board, AI companies collapsing, inflation and oil crisis coming back, seems the end of the world is starting to form lol.
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