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“Trouble rather the tiger in his lair than the sage among his books. For to you kingdoms and their armies are things mighty and enduring, but to him they are but toys of the moment, to be overturned with the flick of a finger.”
― Gordon R. Dickson, Tactics of Mistake
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
Last night, the exit polls told one story: Netanyahu had lost, but it wasn’t clear who on the other side had won. This morning, the results are telling another. Netanyahu hasn’t won yet, but the change bloc has clearly lost.
I’ve covered politics since the start of the century. I have never seen a camp organize for an election as impeccably, as efficiently and as energetically as the change bloc did. It signed model surplus-vote agreements, so that no leftover votes would go to waste, and ran an unprecedented operation flying Israelis home from abroad to vote. And by the actual count, it ended up with more or less the same number of seats as in the last election.
Demography beat energy, and the message also proved flawed and unsuccessful. The public wasn’t convinced that the war had been a total victory, as Netanyahu claimed, but it also refused to buy the opposition’s claim that it was a total failure. It was repelled by Haredi draft-dodging, but didn’t think the solution was a minority government propped up by draft refusers and anti-Zionists. It was disgusted when ultra-Orthodox protesters chanted “We do not believe in the rule of the Zionists,” but it was just as shocked when “Biladi, Biladi,” the Palestinian national anthem, was sung at the Joint List’s headquarters last night.
Netanyahu’s position changed completely between the release of the exit polls and the arrival of the real results. Last night it seemed clear that Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana, a Likud loyalist, would be ousted and that, one way or another, Gadi Eisenkot, the former IDF chief of staff, would form a minority government. Now, by the criteria Eisenkot himself set, he has lost the legitimacy to form such a government. He promised he wouldn’t rely on the Arab parties’ votes, yet without a majority he would now need the active support of the Joint List, which looks futile and pointless. In post-October 7 Israel, there is no chance that a coalition including six candidates who lost immediate family to Hamas could last long alongside Joint List lawmakers who claim Hamas is simply a charitable organization.
After the 1967 war, Defense Minister Moshe Dayan famously said Israel was waiting for the Arabs to call. In the same spirit, Netanyahu in effect told the change camp before dawn: here’s my phone number, feel free to use it. Yisrael Beiteinu’s Avigdor Lieberman, former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Eisenkot now face a dilemma from hell. They can go to another election, one that Israelis abroad will no longer fly home for. They can try to join Netanyahu’s bloc on tough terms, breaking their campaign pledges never to sit with him. Or they can beg the Islamist Ra’am and the Joint List, now drunk on their success, for support.
And one final note: for the entire campaign, we searched for a third bloc, a centrist unity bloc between Netanyahu and his rivals. Candidates included Benny Gantz and former UN Ambassador Gilad Erdan, former general Ofer Winter and economist Yaron Zelekha, former Culture Minister Hili Tropper and who even remembers who else. They all collapsed, evaporated or vanished. And now it turns out the unity bloc may have been the Arab parties all along. Their historic, almost hysterical turnout, at rates that will need careful examination, shattered both sides’ dreams of a 61-seat majority. It reminded Jews on both sides that, after years of division, they may have to learn to sit together after all.
newsletter.amitsegal.net/p/i…
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
🇺🇦 🇺🇲 The confrontation inside Trump's Ukraine peace negotiations is now coming into focus.
Le Monde reports that Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner spent nearly three hours pitching Ukraine's presidential chief of staff, Kyrylo Budanov, a postwar economic arrangement built around restoring Russian oil and gas flows to Europe through Ukrainian pipelines.
The meeting took place on October 9 at the Shell Bay golf club in Florida.
Witkoff presented the proposal as a regional prosperity plan: Ukraine would collect transit revenues, Europe would receive cheaper energy, and Russia would regain access to commercial routes disrupted by the war.
Budanov saw something fundamentally different. According to a witness cited by Le Monde, he objected that the arrangement would recreate Ukraine's dependence on Moscow.
“Our model is not Belarus, but Poland!” he reportedly replied.
The meeting was interrupted, and Budanov called Zelensky.
When talks resumed, news arrived that Trump had announced a separate agreement with Putin involving Russian diesel. Le Monde reports that an irritated Witkoff then demanded that the Ukrainians accept the arrangement and stop striking Russian oil refineries, arguing that the attacks endangered the wider world.
A source familiar with the Ukrainian delegation described its members as exceptionally distressed by the encounter.
The account adds a revealing dimension to the commercial negotiations we have been tracking. The proposed Lukoil asset sale, Novatek's involvement in an Alaska LNG venture, the broader US-Russia list of business opportunities reported by the Financial Times, and now the proposed restoration of Russian energy transit through Ukraine all point to the prominence of energy deals in Washington's diplomatic approach.
These are separate proposals, with different participants and legal circumstances. But Le Monde's reporting exposes the strategic disagreement underlying them.
For Witkoff, restoring commercial flows appears to be part of the mechanism for producing a peace settlement. For Budanov, according to the account, those same flows threaten to restore Moscow's economic leverage over Ukraine.
The reported exchange also raises a question about sequencing: why was Kyiv being pressed to stop attacking Russian refineries while Russia continued striking Ukrainian energy infrastructure?
Le Monde's reconstruction relies on accounts of a private meeting. The reported exchanges have not been independently confirmed by the participants.
Source: Le Monde
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
🚨 NEW: John Healey is set to announce the following in his Budget later
- The gas standing charge will be scrapped to save £27 a year on a typical bill
- Green levies on energy bills will be scraped "for good"
- NHS prescription charges will be frozen at £9.90 for another year
- Poorer households on benefits will receive extra help with energy bills before January's sharp rises
- The VAT cut on electricity bills, which was due to expire in April, will be extended (though it's not clear if this will be announced in the Budget or separately)
- The Government will remove the link between gas and electricity prices, which currently inflates household bills, "in the long term"
- Banks will face higher taxes, with the surcharge on their profits potentially rising from 3% to 8%, making it the Budget’s biggest revenue raiser
- HMRC will be given powers to seize money from the bank accounts of people who fail to pay their tax
- The freeze on rail fares will reportedly not be extended beyond April
- Online retailers like Amazon, eBay and Temu will be made responsible for collecting unpaid VAT from sellers to fund a cut in business rates for high street shops
- The thresholds for income tax will be frozen again so another half a million people may be dragged into the higher rate
- January's planned increase in fuel duty will be cancelled
- Pensioners relying solely on the state pension will see their tax-free allowance rise to £13,036, in line with the pension increase, so they don't pay income tax
- Billions in long-term borrowing to invest in defence firms and raise the share of GDP spent on defence (without breaking fiscal rules, as the investments are expected to generate returns)
- The upcoming "Your First Home" scheme will be made more generous to provide greater support for middle-income earners
- The Budget will also assume the Rosebank oil field is approved, which will generate "significant tax revenues"
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
Update:
Erste Aufnahmen bestätigen das was viele befürchteten: Russland ging in der Region die Puste aus. Unmengen an Munition und Person erreichen Positionen die lange unerreicht blieben. Die Positionen werden befestigt und ausgebaut. Diese Waffenruhe war nie für Frieden gedacht. Sie gibt Russland die Ruhe um sich auf einen eventuellen Sturm auf Kherson vorzubereiten. Der einzige Trost für uns: wir werden einige alte, kranke, verletzte davor rausbringen können. Mark my words: danach bricht in Kherson die Hölle auf Erden ein.
Viele im Team gehen davon aus das man Einwohner zwingt die Simferopol Route zu wählen um die Propaganda mit „all diese Menschen haben sich für Russland entschieden“‘zu füttern.
Mein Appell an die Bewohner die es lesen: ich weiß wie sehr ihr Auto Stadt liebt aber um sie wieder aufbauen zu können müsst ihr überleben. Falls ihr Verwandte habt nutzt die Chance nun. Nummer des Evakuierungsbüro Kherson: +380970381816
Weil mich gerade echt viele Leute fragen: JA es ist tatsächlich eine Art Waffenruhe in Kherson eingetreten. Unsere Teams sind bereits seit mehr als 24h mit der kompletten Flotte unterwegs um Menschen zu erreichen und zu evakuieren.
Die Fahrten sind trotzdem sehr gefährlich aufgrund der hohen Anzahl an Minen überall. Nur wenige Stunden nach der Waffenruhe wurde ein Kameramann mitten im Stadtzentrum wegen einer solchen getötet.
Die Menschen aus Oleshky könnten über den Fluss gebracht werden das wird aber aktuell versucht zu verhindern. Russland will diese auf die Krim evakuieren - immerhin gäbe es dort Lebensmittel und Wasser. Freiheit aber nicht.
Diese kurze Pause ist trügerisch, niemand vertraut ihr. Alle Teams fahren mit gepanzerten Autos und haben ihre Körperpanzerung an. Spannend ist aber das wir nun endlich aktuelle Aufnahmen der Fluss nahen Dörfer haben und die Zerstörung ist leider massiv.
Danke an @bravery_ev die bereits im vornherein dafür gesorgt haben das alle Autos repariert und ready sind für diesen Moment!
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
Epic footage of a Ukrainian F-16 shooting down a Russian aerial target with an air-to-air missile, as Ukrainian civilians cheer from the ground.
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
Entire streets in Kramatorsk, Ukraine, are covered with dense coils of concertina wire, creating a formidable obstacle to potential Russian infantry attempting to advance through the city.
The wire is laid so densely that moving through these streets on foot would be extremely difficult.
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
💥🚂Ukraine’s 1st National Guard Corps “Azov” has struck over 100 Russian trains transporting supplies to the front, targeting locomotives, fuel tankers, and other railway equipment.
The strikes are disrupting Russian fuel deliveries and military logistics along key railway routes supplying the front.
War on Credit: Over 100 Trains Hit
The enemy is doing all it can to create the image of successfully capturing settlements, yet it cannot protect the key railway stations through which its fuel supply chain toward the front runs. Neither mobile fire groups nor electronic warfare systems can safeguard the occupying force’s logistics routes.
Thanks to your donations and the work of the Come Back Alive Foundation, which provided 440 Starlink Minis, fires from First Corps Azov of the National Guard of Ukraine have hit more than 100 trains that were moving logistics shipments for the enemy.
Locomotives, fuel tank cars, and other assets have been disabled. This makes it possible to disrupt the enemy’s supply at the front line and destroy its offensive potential.
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
Koniec projektu pocisku manewrującego FP-5 "Flaming" firmy Fire Point?
Dzisiaj na ukr kanale tg Snajper pojawiło się o info o zamknięciu projektu pocisku manewrującego FP-5 Flaming firmy Fire Point.
"Projekt FP-5 „Flamingo” został zamknięty z powodu braku efektywności." napisał prowadzący go Stanisław Bunjatow.
Jednak powyższe info stoi częściowo w sprzeczności z oświadczeniem przedstawicieli Fire Point dla portalu Gordon z wczoraj. Poinformowali oni że produkcja FP-5 "nie została wstrzymana i nie ma planów jej zakończenia".
Dosłownie dwa dni temu sporą popularność w ukr sieciach społecznościowych zdobył film z wypowiedzią Ireny Terek z lipca 2026 r. z konferencji platformy Brave1. Powiedziała ona w jej trakcie, że FP-5 "był znacznie ważniejszy jako deklaracja polityczna niż jako jakaś "super-duper wunderwaffe". Nigdy nie zakładaliśmy, że stanie się "super-duper wunderwaffe".
Część ukr opinii publicznej zwróciła słusznie uwagę że wypowiedź Terek jest kłamstwem ponieważ przez wiele miesięcy w drugiej połowie 2025 r. i na początku 2026 r. Flaming był przedstawiany ukr opinii publicznej właśnie jako coś w rodzaju wunderwaffe. Widać to choćby po zdjęciu prezydenta Zełenskiego, jakie sobie zrobił na jego tle w kwietniu 2026 r. (poniżej), a także po wypowiedziach przedstawicieli Fire Point z 2025 i 2026 r. Poniżej przypominam kilka z nich:
"Flaming jest dziesięć razy lepszy od Tomahawka", Tomahawk jest całkowicie przestarzały. Nasz pocisk radzi sobie lepiej" Irena Terek dla portalu Liga początek września 2025 r.
Denis Sztilerman - wywiad dla kanału tube ukr dziennikarki Natali Mosejczuk z 20.11.2025 - "Akcja oczerniania Fire Point jest inspirowana przez amerykańskie firmy zbrojeniowe, które boją się konkurencji w postaci najlepszego pocisku manewrującego na świecie".
Warto także zwrócić uwagę na wielką rozbieżność pomiędzy deklarowaną przez Fire Point i prezydenta Zelenskiego produkcją FP-5 a faktycznymi użyciami bojowymi.
Wrzesień 2025 r Prezydent Zełenski podczas konferencji prasowej na szczycie ONZ w Nowym Jorku. "Rozpoczęliśmy masową produkcję pocisku FP-5 Flaming".
Denis Sztilerman - wywiad dla portalu Znua z 11.10.2025 - "Obecnie produkujemy 2-3 pociski FP-5 dziennie"
Denis Sztilerman - wywiad dla kanału tube ukr dziennikarki Natali Mosejczuk z 20.11.2025 "Obecnie produkujemy 3 pociski FP-5 dziennie."
Sztilerman wywiad dla portalu tube Presing z końca czerwca 2026 r. po pytaniu o wielkość produkcji FP-5
"Produkujemy tyle, ile od nas zamówią.(...) jeśli będą silniki, to produkcja rzędu kilkuset sztuk miesięcznie jest możliwa. To bardzo prosta, niezwykle prosta rakieta. Bardzo prosta."
Kol @DelwinStrategy w swoim bardzo dobrym artykule o skuteczności pocisków FP-5, wyliczył niedawno, że ukr wykorzystali do ataków na rus łącznie do tej pory około 200 tych pocisków:
"Od lipca wystrzelono – według doniesień – około 120 pocisków (łącznie 190–220), co przy średnim koszcie 600 000 dolarów za jeden start daje kwotę 72 milionów dolarów.
W rezultacie doszło do trafień w zakłady w Wołgogradzie, a także w Rakietowo-Kosmiczne Centrum „Progress” w Samarze oraz zakłady obronne „Awitek” w Kirowie."
Moje szacunki są trochę niższe. Uważam ze ukr łącznie wykorzystali bojowo od maja 2025 r. około 150 tych pocisków w tym około 100 sztuk od lata 2026. Obniżam szacunki bo sami przedstawiciele firmy w wywiadach wielokrotnie podkreślali, że dane rus o przechwyceniach FP-5 są regularnie zawyżane, w rzeczywistości wystrzeliwują ich mniej przy każdym ataku.
Jak widać jednak bez względu czy przyjmiemy dolny czy górny zakres użyć bojowych FP-5 (150-200) obie te liczby nijak nie pasują do deklarowanej "masowej" produkcji 3 sztuk dziennie osiągniętej w październiku 2025 . Według niej do 1 pażdziernika 2026 r. ukr powinno wystrzelić około 1000 sztuk FP-5.
Co dalej? Być może informacja kanału tg Osman o zakończeniu projektu FP-5 nie potwierdzi się i jakieś użycia bojowe FP-5 jeszcze będą. Jednak widać wyraźnie po wypowiedziach samej Terek, że firma zmienia narracje odnośnie FP-5. Zmianę klimatu wokół FP-5 widać także po aktywności ukr kont wpływu na X odnośnie tego tematu. W ostatnich dwóch miesiącach FP-5 Flaming zniknął z komunikatów, oświadczeń, postów w mediach społecznościowych, tak jakby ukr pocisk manewrujący stał się nagle nieważny.
Analysis of the #Flamingo missile performance: with a documented hit rate of approximately 6-8% it is no understatement to emphasise that this weapon system has underperformed.
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
Artificial Analysis’ Intelligence Index v5 now bases 60% of its score on evaluations with private test sets or held-out answers, with Claude Opus 5.5 narrowly leading GPT-6 Astra and GPT-6.1 Sol.
As expected, GPT-6-Astra currently appears to be slightly ahead in scientific benchmarks, while Opus 5.5 leads in coding. GPT-6.1-Sol offers unparalleled price-performance.
Good to see we are getting more private tests.
Announcing Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v5, featuring 2 new benchmarks and 3 upgrades. For the first time, the majority of the Index is built on private datasets
The Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is our composite measure of model capabilities across tasks reflecting real-world usage today. v5 is our biggest upgrade since v4 launched in January. With v5, 60% of the Index is now based on evaluations with private test sets or held-out answers.
Alongside Intelligence Index v5, we’re launching the Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1, which tracks model capability over time on one continuous scale.
New to the Intelligence Index:
➤ FrontierCode 2.0: Cognition's newly-launched private benchmark of real-world coding tasks, graded on whether a repository maintainer would merge the agent's change
➤ Terminal-Bench-Science: 70 agentic scientific research tasks, run in a terminal environment
Upgraded:
➤ HLE-Diamond (replacing Humanity's Last Exam): a refined 1,000-question version of Humanity's Last Exam, split evenly between reasoning and knowledge questions
➤ AA-Omniscience v1.1: An updated dataset with saturated and public set questions removed, new questions added, and ambiguous or erroneous questions revised
➤ CritPt v2: a private, 40-question hard subset of CritPt v2, revised by the CritPt authors and run with a code-execution tool
Staying in the Index: AA-Briefcase, AutomationBench-AA, GDP.pdf and Terminal-Bench 4.0
Removed from the Index: GDPval-AA v2.1, SciCode, and AA-LCR v1.1
Key results:
➤ Claude Opus 5.5 (max) leads at 58, ahead of GPT-6 Astra (max, 57) and GPT-6.1 Sol (max, 55): Anthropic and OpenAI hold the top five models. Gemini 4 Argon (high) is next at 50
➤ The open weights gap widens from 3 points to 12: Kimi K3.1 Pro (weights not yet released) is the top open weights model at 46. Among released weights, DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 1017 (max) and GLM-5.3 (max) lead at 32 - 26 points behind the leader and below Claude Haiku 5.5 (max, 36)
➤ Cost per task varies by more than 13x among the leading models: of the 10 highest-scoring models shown, GPT-6.1 Terra (max) is the cheapest at $0.96 per Intelligence Index task and Claude Fable 5.1 (max) the most expensive at $13.04
Dario reveals the people who called his GPT-2 fears "pseudoscience" in 2019 are now all applying for jobs at AI labs
"I personally was super freaked out by [GPT-2]. I looked at it and I said, my God, you just scale this thing up another factor of a million and it'll be better than humans at everything. This is the defining economic and scientific moment of the modern age. We just don't know it yet. This is going to determine the fate of nations and economies and the future of humanity."
"Maybe 10% of the people around me had exactly the same reaction, and it was often the smartest ones. 90% of the people around me, because GPT-2's capabilities in any particular area were not that impressive, it could translate languages, summarize a document and write a few lines of code here and there. It was the broadness and the generality."
"But people would look at it and say, in any particular area, that doesn't seem so smart. And so many people just shrugged and they just dismissed it."
"I just look at it and I say it's the same thing over and over again. The limitations of the models, six months from now, the things that seemed hard, they're going to be easy. 12 months from now, the things that seemed impossible, the models are going to be doing them regularly."
"It's everything we saw with GPT-2; we're seeing it over and over again in wider and wider swaths of the world. And the world is gradually finally being convinced."
Daniela Amodei: "I remember at the time there were some very well-respected computer scientists and AI and ML leaders who basically bullied some of the researchers who worked on [GPT-2] on Twitter and were like, this is stupid. We don't know why you guys are even talking, this model is so incapable."
"It was like you were sort of a quack if you believed this was a really significant moment."
Dario: "That's all been memory-holed. All the researchers who were like, oh, this is pseudoscience, it doesn't make sense, all of them are applying for jobs at the LLM companies."
"We never say it out loud to any particular one, but we look at them and they're like, we remember what you were saying in 2019. You have no credibility on this matter."
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
Trump on solar panels: "They kill all the animals. The animals jump on them and they fry."
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
Asian-Americans in Harvard’s Incoming Class More Than Double, to 43.2 Percent
Newly released data on the Harvard College class of 2030 say the class is 43.2 percent Asian-American, a record high and more than double the level when Students for Fair Admissions first sued Harvard alleging racial discrimination in admissions.
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled in 2023 that Harvard was unlawfully using race as a factor in admissions. Since then, the numbers of Hispanic and black students in the incoming Harvard classes have dipped, while the numbers of Asian-Americans have soared.
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
BREAKING: Putins conversation with Norwegian and Finnish leaders has been revealed:
-Putin reportedly ranted to the European leaders about how they were prolonging the war by aiding Ukraine, he reportedly lectured them extensively for over an hour on root causes and NATO expansion the call was only meant to be 20 minutes long.
-Putin then refused conversations on an immediate ceasefire claiming Russia had to secure the whole do the Donbas region before this was to be considered.
-The leaders only agreed on a direct phone line to be kept open but made no progress on other issues due to the Russian leaders response.
-Putin praised the US on the call for brokering a ceasefire with Russia over Olesky in Kherson region.
-It should also he noted that Putin described the frontline situation as Russian forces having all the momentum.
-The call ended on discussions of creating better Baltic stability in the sea and cooperating on a future trilateral meeting between Ukraine-US and Russia.
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
Neither bloc can form a government, and Netanyahu stays in office while everyone tries:
1) Netanyahu has no realistic route to 61. His bloc is the four religious-right parties plus Likud, and every party outside it ran on replacing him. To get there he would need defectors from Bennett or Lieberman, which both ruled out, or Ra’am, which Smotrich and Ben-Gvir would veto.
2) Eisenkot’s only path to a government runs through the Arab parties. Ra’am alone gets him to 58. He needs the Joint List as well, at least abstaining or giving outside support. That is the 2021 Bennett-Lapid model, but with a bigger dependency. Bennett and Lieberman have both been wary of relying on the Joint List.
3) The other way out is the Haredim. Shas plus UTJ is 14 seats, which would put Eisenkot at 66. But the draft is the issue that defines Lieberman, Bennett and the Democrats. A deal on exemptions would break his bloc from the inside.
4) The anti-Netanyahu parties plus the Arab parties come to about 69. That is enough to elect the Knesset speaker, control committees, and pass laws without forming a government. A bill barring an indicted MK from forming a government becomes possible.
5) Likud’s overperformance is mostly cannibalization. Likud gained, but its bloc is at 50. The votes came from inside the right, not from the center.
6) Stalemate favors Netanyahu. He stays caretaker PM through coalition talks and any repeat election. If nobody gets to 61, he governs by default.
The likeliest outcomes are a Bennett-Lapid-style government that depends on Arab support, or deadlock and another election with Netanyahu still in charge. The whole question is whether Eisenkot, Bennett and Lieberman will sit with Arab support. Exit polls here usually miss by a seat or two per party, so a small shift around the threshold could change the math.
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
People who haven't been following AI wondering what the hell is happening when mid 2027 hits.
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
wow, the management section of Anthropic S1 has to be a first in the history of Corporate America
Anthropic has filed an S-1 registration statement with the SEC related to its proposed IPO.
Read more: anthropic.com/news/s1-sec
Legal disclaimer: A registration statement relating to these securities has been filed with the SEC but has not yet become effective. These securities may not be sold, nor may offers to buy be accepted, prior to the time the registration statement becomes effective. This post does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy these securities, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or jurisdiction.
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
Anthropic is now doing its own drug discovery after acquiring one-person biotech startup Mithril Medicine!
With Claude and 11 external labs, its founder took a potential treatment for a rare form of muscular dystrophy from idea to promising results in mice in under 18 months.
Over the past few months, Anthropic scientists have engaged in deep research partnerships with six organizations developing new medicines. We've also begun drug discovery efforts of our own.
In doing so, we’ve learned much more about how Claude can support the many stages of drug development.
In this blog post, we share some early results from these efforts, and describe how this work fits in with our wider ambitions in the life sciences.
anthropic.com/research/early…
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
Over the past few months, Anthropic scientists have engaged in deep research partnerships with six organizations developing new medicines. We've also begun drug discovery efforts of our own.
In doing so, we’ve learned much more about how Claude can support the many stages of drug development.
In this blog post, we share some early results from these efforts, and describe how this work fits in with our wider ambitions in the life sciences.
anthropic.com/research/early…
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
Wow! U.S. Senator @ElissaSlotkin just said that Trump "wants Putin to win" the war with Ukraine this winter:
"I think this president in the past two weeks has laid bare that he's had this longstanding bromance with Putin. I think in the last two weeks it's become very clear he wants Putin to win this war this winter. And he's taking steps to allow them to sell oil and give them money again, to disrupt Starlink, to show the Ukrainians where his hand actually lies. I think that's a huge strategic mistake for the United States."
Robot Archie🇺🇦🇪🇺💙 retweeted
OpenAI just announced that its model proved the Standard Model of physics actually exists.
That sounds absurd. It's not.
For 70 years, physics has had a dirty secret.
Quantum field theory is the most accurate theory humanity has ever built. It predicts properties of the electron to more than 10 decimal places. The LHC, the Higgs boson, the chips in your phone all run on it.
And yet no mathematician had ever proven it exists.
Physicists have been using it like a recipe that works every single time, without anyone being able to prove the dish is a coherent object. We built cathedrals for 70 years on foundations nobody had verified.
The problem is so hard that in 2000 the Clay Institute made it one of its 7 Millennium Prize Problems, $1M each. In 26 years, only one has been solved (Poincaré, by Perelman, who refused the money).
Here's the timeline OpenAI just published:
September 9, 2026: their model produces a proof that Yang–Mills theory exists.
September 18: it extends it to QCD, the full theory of the strong force, with quarks.
Then to a completion of the Standard Model.
October 16: the Yang–Mills proof is formalized in Lean, meaning a machine checked every single logical step.
To understand why this is insane, you need to understand the problem.
Forget particles as tiny balls. The universe is made of invisible oceans stacked on top of each other: an electron field, a photon field, a gluon field. A particle is just a wave on one of those oceans.
But in quantum mechanics, the oceans are never calm. They ripple at every scale. Zoom in, you see smaller ripples. Zoom in again, smaller still. It never stops.
So when you do the math, those fluctuations add up to infinity.
Physicists found a trick called renormalization: subtract one infinity from another, and what's left matches experiment perfectly. It works. But mathematically it's duct tape. Nothing guaranteed there was a real object underneath.
Now the hardest case: Yang–Mills, the theory of gluons.
Gluons are the glue holding quarks together inside every atom in your body. And unlike light, they interact with each other. Two light beams pass through each other. Two gluons collide and stick. The field feeds on itself. That's what made it untameable.
The key that unlocks it won David Gross the 2004 Nobel Prize: asymptotic freedom.
The strong force gets weaker the closer you look. Think of a rubber band between two fingers. Close together, it's slack and the fingers move freely. Pull them apart, the tension explodes. That's why you never see a lone quark.
And that's the gift: the infinities come from tiny scales, and tiny scales are exactly where the theory goes calm. You zoom in, the monster falls asleep.
The method: turn spacetime into a grid, like pixels. On a grid, everything is finite. Then refine the grid, again and again, and prove the picture converges instead of exploding.
A mathematician named Balaban did a huge part of this in the 1980s and never finished. The construction sat open for 40 years. According to OpenAI, the AI closed it.
Now look at who's reviewing it.
David Gross, the Nobel laureate whose mechanism makes the proof work.
Arthur Jaffe, who literally wrote the Millennium Prize problem and co-founded the Clay Institute.
Plus Douglas, Klebanov, Nekrasov.
The man who wrote the question is now reading a machine's answer.
And in the same blog post, almost in passing: the Exponential Time Hypothesis in computer science is false, and the Kakeya conjecture is solved in every dimension.
Three bombs in one post.
Honest caveats, because they matter:
This is not the full Millennium Prize. The Clay problem has two parts: existence and the "mass gap". OpenAI claims existence only.
The physics materials aren't public yet. Gross's group chose to write it up themselves first.
Lean verifies the logic, but experts still have to confirm the formal statement really captures what physicists mean.
And it changes zero predictions. Physicists won't calculate anything differently tomorrow. It proves the ground under the cathedral is real.
But the craziest part isn't the theorem.
It's the scene.
Nobel laureates are now acting as interpreters of what a machine discovered. OpenAI calls its proofs "raw research data" and refuses academic credit.
For centuries, science worked one way: humans discover, then humans explain.
We may have just entered the era where machines discover, and humans explain.
Announcing three major scientific discoveries, one each in mathematics (harmonic analysis), computer science (complexity theory), and physics (quantum field theory).
AI starting to help us improve our understanding of the universe! openai.com/index/building-sc…


































