Super #Altcoin Trader 💎📈. Always trader, often sharing, sometimes animal 🐱🐶 lover & environmentalist 🌲
Joined February 2011
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Historically, these bitcoin dips after the halving can lead to easy profits when you buy in the “danger zone” 😎.
#BTC
The Bitcoin "Danger Zone"
The Bitcoin Pre-Halving "Danger Zone" (orange) is where historical Pre-Halving Retraces have begun
Historically, Bitcoin has performed Pre-Halving Retraces 14-28 days before the Halving
This cycle was no different and here's why:
Because Bitcoin experienced its first -18% Pre-Halving Retrace approximately 30 days before the Halving
History repeated in that respect
In fact, in 2016 Bitcoin began its Pre-Halving Retrace 28 days before the Halving and in 2024 it was 30 days before the Halving
This 2024 closely mirrored the 2016 in this respect
Which is why it is perhaps worth looking at a possible Post-Halving "Danger Zone" (purple)
The Post-Halving "Danger Zone"
In 2016, Bitcoin produced a long -11% downside wick approximately 21 days after the Halving before reversing towards the upside
Bitcoin is currently 6 days after the Halving
But 2016 history suggests that if downside volatility around the Re-Accumulation Range Low (green horizontal level) is going to occur in this cycle...
It could occur over the next coming 15 days (i.e. purple "Danger Zone")
The purple Post-Halving "Danger Zone" ends in 15 days but 2016 history suggests that in the meantime downside volatility at the $60600 Range Low is a possibility
$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
Lucid's Nov 6 sale: 35% off one account, 40% off a five-account bundle. For the same plan, five cost 3 full-price accounts; one costs 0.65. The bundle means about 4.6x the cash outlay. Useful only if five accounts were already in the plan.
FundedNext's latest Cristian Barbu profile says he lost every account early on after trusting a trading bot. It is one trader's account, but it raises a concrete automation question: who caps exposure, and when does the system stop?
Changed your mind before trading a thePropTrade Challenge? Its refund policy requires zero trades and a request within 14 days of receiving login details. Email support; an approved refund goes back to the original payment method.
On Instant Funding at thePropTrade, KYC is not asked at checkout. It comes later, tied to the payout stage.
So an account can be live, traded and profitable before anyone verified who you are. Submit early rather than hit a document problem at withdrawal.
thePropTrade 的跟单规则，一句话：自己名下几个账户之间互相复制可以，从任何外部来源复制不行。
外部包括信号群、MQL5、Telegram 喊单、社交跟单，以及你在别家 prop 开的账户。
处罚不是警告，是关闭账户加封禁个人资料。
Honest question: would a $9.99 entry change how seriously you trade the account?
At thePropTrade that is the PayFlex entry, with the $56 activation only charged if you pass.
Cheap to start tends to be easy to abandon.
Three releases in one day: Core PCE, GDP, ECB.
Question for anyone funded: do you sit out a day like today, or is this exactly the day you want?
thePropTrade allows news trading outside the 5-minute windows, so it is your call, not theirs.
PayFlex has no minimum trading-day target, but it does have an inactivity clock.
ThePropTrade says one trade is needed within every 30 calendar days, starting when the account is issued.
No target is not the same as no deadline.
PayFlex looks simple until the payout condition enters the room.
You can request a payout on demand, but the account still needs a TPT Score at or below 30% and at least $100 net profit. The score resets after a successful payout.
Fast access still has a gate.
Bitcoin faded to around $80,000 after the summer rebound as selling blocked $100,000, Bloomberg reported. Past-two-year buyers clustered at $87,000 and above already capped two rallies this year, each followed by a pullback of at least 25%.
The 20% vs 53% $BTC drawdown from July 2023 on a 30-day entities-in-profit RSI cross sits inside a post-bear bull. Holding never took a cycle loss in that window, and the cross itself fires after more coins are already green.
xitter.gq/glassnode/status/21150…
Our backtesting engine found this bitcoin:native rule.
It buys when the 30-day RSI of entities in profit crosses above its threshold.
Since July 2023, its worst drawdown was 20%, against 53% for holding.
Discover your own strategy 👇
glassno.de/alphalab
Minimum holding time at thePropTrade is 120 seconds.
Honest question: how many of your trades from last week would have survived that rule?
Question for anyone running automation: do you use an EA on a funded account?
thePropTrade allows EAs, but third-party ones producing identical trade behaviour across accounts count as coordinated trading, which is prohibited.
The tool everyone else bought is the risky part.
thePropTrade expects a funded account to run the same core strategy that passed the evaluation. Minor refinements are fine, a different approach is not.
Question: did the strategy really stay the same after funding, or did position size quietly creep up?
thePropTrade breaches an account that goes 30 calendar days without a single trade. Funded accounts included.
Honest question: have you ever opened a position you did not actually want, just to keep an account alive?
Monday brings data again. Question for anyone on a funded account: do you trade the release, or sit out the first few minutes?
thePropTrade keeps news-trading restrictions on every program, so part of that answer is not yours to make.
Honest question for anyone on a funded account: do you ever hold back a winning day on purpose to keep a consistency score in range?
At thePropTrade the payout gate is a TPT Score of 30% or lower, which one huge day can break.
The Turkish policy rate is now 36% after a 100 basis-point cut. That was the sixth reduction in this easing cycle.
