Tom Johnson (@TJP_Johnson) header
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MD @TrajectoryTweet | Researcher | Forecaster | Informed opinions by research, uninformed opinions my own

Joined March 2019
Photo by Tom Johnson (@TJP_Johnson)Photo by Tom Johnson (@TJP_Johnson)Photo by Tom Johnson (@TJP_Johnson)Photo by Tom Johnson (@TJP_Johnson)Photo by Tom Johnson (@TJP_Johnson)Photo by Tom Johnson (@TJP_Johnson)Photo by Tom Johnson (@TJP_Johnson)Photo by Tom Johnson (@TJP_Johnson)Photo by Tom Johnson (@TJP_Johnson)Photo by Tom Johnson (@TJP_Johnson)
Based on the average number of people being polled each day, by the time of the UK general election, it's possible more than 600,000 people will have been included in polling samples.
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In 2005, throughout the *entirety* of the campaign, only 18,000 people were asked how they'd vote.
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Worth noting that the 600k figure is based on the average number of people that have been asked per day continuing. Based on the *rate* of growth, we'd end up with 1.5bn people being polled by July 4th. Don't rule it out.
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"I'm sorry your teeth fell out in the Arndale centre."
You know a lot of MPs are leaving Parliament when the card shop at London Bridge is selling a card specifically for that special departing elected representative in your life.
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Interesting to hear from @PFTrajectory about consumer optimism levels. 🏙️ London is more optimistic than the rest of the country. 🙋‍♂️ Men are more optimistic than women. 🤩 Gen Z are the most optimistic of all age groups. #UKHSummerConference
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Clearly, what the world needs right now is another blog. Here's our new one - Slow Futures. slowfutures.substack.com/ Slow Futures is about what isn't changing, or changing slowly.
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Our introductory post is here. slowfutures.substack.com/p/t… Change matters - and the stuff that's changing fast can really matter. But there's a lot about the future that's going to be the same.
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And here's our first edition proper, containing our first very boring chart (if you sign up, get used to these). It's all about control - how consumer demand for it, and the level of it they feel - doesn't change much. slowfutures.substack.com/p/w…
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Oh Arsenal. Really bloody arsenalled that. Right in the Arsenals.
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Tom Johnson retweeted
'The #OptimismIndex and why 'Myths of Decline' are often wrong...' #TheNewAbnormal podcast features Tom Johnson, MD at insights/futures consultancy @TrajectoryTweet who help clients understand how they can benefit from a changing world. #GlobalForesight apple.co/3faOfCG
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nfpResearch and @TrajectoryTweet invite you to join us on Thursday 27 October for an afternoon webinar - learn how brand awareness has changed in today's volatile landscape, and how to use your media spend to stay ahead of the curve! Sign up here 👉 bit.ly/3rNySI1
Johnson's unnamed backers go to other schools. You don't know them.
Here’s the latest on *public* endorsements by our count: Rishi Sunak: 73 Boris Johnson: 41 Penny Mordaunt: 19 Sunak is on course to hit the 100 threshold tonight Johnson backers say he has 60+ supporters but many have not publicly endorsed yet
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Braverman going down well in the hall: “I’m not ashamed to say I love Britain.”
I'm attending Trends Briefing: The Impact of the Cost of Living Crisis. Would you like to attend? linkedin.com/events/trendsbr…
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Now the king is dead too? What a week 😥
BREAKING: Roger Federer has confirmed that he is to retire from official competition at the age of 41: "The Laver Cup next week in London will be my final ATP event. I will play more tennis in the future, of course, but just not in grand slams or on the tour."
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Outrageous not to go with Sir Clear Starmer, simply unforgivable
BREAKING Sir Keir Starmer has been cleared by Durham police bbc.co.uk/news
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Outstanding work from the algorithm there @BristOliver
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Rare, and deeply depressing, update to this thread.
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Week 2 in the office and we're already at an impasse
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If we did a poll for a client, finding that a third of people liked their product, a quarter hated it and the rest didn't have an opinion, we would not be desperately framing that as good news - we would be telling them to try and think of a better fucking product
BREAKING More Britons back Priti Patel's immigration plan than do not. A poll for Chopper's Politics Newsletter by @FindoutnowUK and @ElectCalculus found 32pc agreed with it, while 26pc disagreed (13pc were neutral and 28pc didn't know/wouldn't say). 1/2 telegraph.co.uk/tw-chopper-n…
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To put it another way, the proportion of people supporting this policy is currently smaller than the proportion of people who say they'll vote for the party proposing it
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