Tomasz Wlostowski (@TomWlost) header
Tomasz Wlostowski (@TomWlost) profile picture

EU & US trade & regulatory affairs lawyer. Currently in Brussels. Trade, climate, geopolitics, sanctions, foreign affairs, US & EU politics, Russia, Ukraine

Brussels, Belgium
Joined May 2016
Photo by Tomasz Wlostowski (@TomWlost)Photo by Tomasz Wlostowski (@TomWlost)Photo by Tomasz Wlostowski (@TomWlost)Photo by Tomasz Wlostowski (@TomWlost)Photo by Tomasz Wlostowski (@TomWlost)Photo by Tomasz Wlostowski (@TomWlost)Photo by Tomasz Wlostowski (@TomWlost)Photo by Tomasz Wlostowski (@TomWlost)Photo by Tomasz Wlostowski (@TomWlost)Photo by Tomasz Wlostowski (@TomWlost)
Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
Ask not "why would Donald lift sanctions on Russia sovereign wealth fund". Instead ask "how big is the bribe Donald is getting for lifting the sanctions"
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
As discussions about a possible Trump–Putin–Xi summit resurface, it is worth revisiting a memorandum prepared by Professor Richard Pipes for President Ronald Reagan in May 1982. Pipes explained what Soviet leaders sought to achieve through summits with American presidents - and under what conditions Washington should agree to such meetings. A remarkably relevant and timeless lesson in how to deal with Putin's Russia. Diplomacy requires more than a willingness to talk. It requires a clear understanding of what the other side hopes to gain. 👇 "Washington, May 14, 1982 Summits with Soviet Leaders Soviet leaders are keen on summits with U.S. Presidents and for good reason. They feel confident they will come out ahead in such encounters because: - their government has greater continuity than ours and therefore greater store of expertise in international affairs; - well-publicized summits arouse expectations in free societies which enable Moscow, by manipulating Western opinion, to exert pressure on their opposite numbers for unreciprocated concessions. They further favor summits because they afford them the opportunity to size up the President as a person and as a statesman. Experience indicates that U.S.-Soviet summits, from Roosevelt’s Yalta to Nixon’s Moscow, have generally turned out to the disadvantage of the United States. Still, inasmuch as every U.S. President since 1933 has personally met with his Soviet counterpart, it will be difficult for you to reject a summit altogether. A full-fledged summit, however, should take place only if the following conditions are met: - Moscow demonstrates by deeds rather than words that it is prepared to negotiate seriously. - The groundwork is well prepared beforehand so that you discuss concrete agenda items and do not become embroiled in longwinded ideological disputes of the kind that Khruschev lured Kennedy into in Vienna in 1961 and which invariably end in the hardening of respective positions. A good model to follow in this matter is President Eisenhower who had given it much thought. In 1953, after Stalin’s death President Eisenhower came under great pressure from our Allies (especially Britain) and the State Department to hold a summit with G. Malenkov, Stalin’s immediate successor. In his memoirs, Eisenhower tells why he resisted these pressures. He reviews the disappointing experiences of Woodrow Wilson and Franklin Roosevelt with summit meetings and says: “I was . . . not willing to meet with Communist leaders unless there was some likelihood that the confrontation would produce results acceptable to the peoples of the West”. I developed a stock answer to any question about a possible Summit. I would not go to a Summit merely because of friendly words and plausible promises by the men in the Kremlin; actual deeds giving some indication of a Communist readiness to negotiate constructively will have to be produced before I would agree to such a meeting.” He was rewarded for his firm stand with a Soviet troop withdrawal from Austria. This is a good principle to keep in mind as the Russians increase their pressure for a summit. It would be best to have no summit this year: but if one is to be held the Russians should be required to demonstrate their good will by such actions as acceptance of our “zero option”, withdrawal from Afghanistan or lifting of the martial law in Poland." FRUS, 1981–1988, t. III, dok. 170, „Summits with Soviet Leaders".
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Czy europejska polityka klimatyczna to samobójstwo dla gospodarki Starego Kontynentu?⚡ W konferencji EKR „Europa Państw i Narodów – Przyszłość Unii Europejskiej”, podczas @ForumKrynica 2026, weźmie udział @IzdebskiMarc, Lider Zespołu Energetyka w @FundacjaCSR. Nasz ekspert wspólnie z @UrszulaKuczynska, @piotr_tutak, @j_wisniewska oraz @TomWlost zasiądzie w panelu dyskusyjnym zatytułowanym „Europejska polityka klimatyczna samobójstwem Europy?”, który poprowadzi dr Andrzej Sikora. 📍 Pijalnia Główna, Krynica-Zdrój 📅 Czwartek 29.10.2026 r. ⏰ 12:00–13:00 📊 Tematyka europejskich celów klimatycznych i wyzwań gospodarczych z nimi związanych, to także kluczowy obszar naszych bieżących analiz. Zagadnieniom tym poświęcony jest nasz projekt "Fit for 90: Koszty Transformacji Klimatycznej UE", w którym przyglądamy się skutkom unijnej transformacji energetycznej. Zachęcamy do zapoznania się z materiałami na stronie projektu: 🔗 fundacjacsr.pl/fit90/ #KrynicaForum2026 #EKR #ZielonyŁad #PolitykaKlimatyczna #EUETS #ETS2
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
Tego nie zobaczymy prawdopodobnie na TikToczku. Oto niepublikowany przez 30 lat film z masakry na Placu Tiananmen w Pekinie, którego dokonali komuniści rządzący nadal Państwem Środka.
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
What is Macron thinking? Right after holding a crisis briefing to warn French party leaders about the Russian threat, and days after Moscow seized French companies, he rewarded Putin by getting two oligarchs delisted from EU sanctions. Such a betrayal of European security
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
No deal to delist 🇷🇺 Usmanov & Fridman tonight with 36 months extension of other sanctions as compensation. Written procedure not completed. 🇪🇺 ambassadors set to meet again tomorrow
procedure extended! from 20.00 till 22.00 but can go even longer. clear that this compromise isn't universally popular.
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
I have long said watch Russia’s border policies. One of the last remaining post-Soviet freedoms is to leave the country. If that is curtailed, it’s mobilisation.
Russia closes area close to easy access to Estonia, apparently to prepare for an exodus once mobilisation is announced. balticflank.substack.com/p/c…
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
U.S. foreign policy is a dumpster-fire of contradictions, particularly under Trump. We want Cuba to privatize its economy but continue to throw the hammer down on the island economically, driving foreign companies out and deterring others from investing there. We want Iran to re-open the Strait of Hormuz but then launch yet another maximum pressure campaign (economic D-Day) on the Iranian economy, which guarantees Tehran will keep the chokepoint closed. We want Israel to uphold its commitments in Gaza under the Trump peace plan but then make excuses whenever Israel rejects the agreement and bombs the enclave—turning the peace plan into a public relations exercise. We want Europe to take primary responsibility for its own defense, then bitch when they start weaning themselves off of U.S. military equipment. We embark upon a literal war on drugs in Latin America, only to pardon one of the most notorious drug traffickers on the face of the earth. In short, we don’t know what we’re doing. There is no strategy.
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
Not a single European country actually possesses enough cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, strike drones, and interceptors to survive a war if Russia decides to attack. We still depend way too much on the US to defend our continent. A massive detail that often gets left out of defense debates is that Ukraine only managed to stay in the fight because it started its war with an enormous baseline of heavy equipment and munitions that EU countries lack. Kyiv entered the war with a battle-tested army, thousands of armored vehicles, lots of artillery, and plenty of functional air defense batteries (including S-300 and BUK). Most EU countries today couldn't match that starting baseline. Right now, many of our countries have virtually zero ballistic missiles and a tiny handful of cruise missiles. Our interceptor stockpiles are so low they would be wiped out in days, and our drone fleets are practically non-existent. Deterrence requires mass, but European military manufacturing is still moving at a lazy peacetime crawl. If we want to actually deter or survive a war, our governments need to step up weapon production much faster than the current slow timeline. Russia has vast stockpiles and continues to outproduce us. We are naked. The EU has all the industrial potential we need, but we lack actual stockpiles and production. Fixing this is entirely a matter of political will
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
🚨OMG: Wolf Blitzer just presented the Wall Street Journal an award for uncovering Trump’s ties to Epstein and reveals Trump doxxed the journalist’s home address in his lawsuit causing her to move. Trump is sitting humiliated as Karoline Leavitt comforts him. This is unreal.
🚨HOLY SHIT: The Getty journalist who captured the moment Trump did NOTHING as his guest fainted at the White House just won an award for the image. Trump looks completely flustered. This has to be one of the most humiliating nights of his presidency.
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
Okay, that’s pretty funny.
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
Lo poético de este gol fue ver que Molina empuja a Williams (los argentinos se la vivieron haciendo esto durante todo el mundial sabiendo que el arbitraje estaba a su favor) pero eso termina ayudándolo para poder dar la asistencia. Justicia divina.
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
À y regarder de plus près, je reposte mon « Honni soit qui mal y win » d’hier. Comme la VAR ne nous avait pas gratifiés de toutes ces belles actions (le seul coup derrière la tête mérite un rouge direct), voici le festival sponsorisé par la FIFA.
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
This pretty much wraps up everything that matters right now. This especially true as we wrote last week. “The breakdown of the MOU reflects its remarkably shoddy, imprecise drafting. One could drive a truck – or an aircraft carrier – through paragraph 5 on Hormuz.”
Thoughts on how US and Iran got here: 1. It’s worth remembering that this war is being fought over an issue -- the status of the Strait of Hormuz -- that wasn’t even in dispute before the previous war. In other words, today’s war would not be happening without the prior one, which should never have happened at all. 2. The breakdown of the MOU reflects its remarkably shoddy, imprecise drafting. One could drive a truck – or an aircraft carrier – through paragraph 5 on Hormuz, with Washington & Tehran each pointing to different clauses to assert diametrically opposed interpretations. 3. The breakdown also reflects the two sides’ widely differing assessments of who has greater leverage and who can better withstand a return to war. Iran believes the US will crack first under soaring oil prices and rattled markets. The US believes Iran will crack first as its funds dwindle and its infrastructure is further degraded. At least one side is overplaying its hand. Most likely, both are. 4. Finally, the breakdown reflects dysfunctionalities within both political systems. In Tehran, there are growing signs of a split in the leadership -- between those who want to cash in on battlefield gains through diplomacy, and those who believe the ceasefire came prematurely, before the US had truly felt the economic pain, and that in any event Iran cannot trust American commitments. In Washington, there are constant signs of a split within Trump himself -- between moments when he worries about the economic costs of war, and moments when he casually waves them away. The most plausible off-ramp is for the mediators to broker a modus vivendi over Hormuz : Iran halts attacks on commercial shipping; the US scales back its efforts to develop alternative transit routes through the Strait. But, put the elements together, and prospects look ominous : elements on both sides believe they can absorb the costs of escalation and, more importantly, that they must prove it; Iran will be tempted to widen the conflict by striking more – and more vital -- regional targets; and Trump will be tempted to double down on an already lawless campaign...
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
L’Argentine prend désormais très cher dans le monde entier
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
Oslo turned into a sea of celebration as Norway’s national team paraded through the capital after their historic World Cup achievement. Fans lined the streets to welcome the players as they travelled from the Royal Palace to City Hall on an open-top bus.
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
Das besorgniserregende Aufweichen der globalen Regeln ... Nach der Art, wie Donald Trump mit dem Völkerrecht umgegangen ist, kann man sich kaum über die Fifa-Aktion wundern.
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
Bloody hell
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
Name a better take than this on the Iran war, I’ll wait.
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Tomasz Wlostowski retweeted
💥At a closed door meeting today, most EU political parties banded together to block a debate on the corruption scandal at the EEAS from taking place next week euractiv.com/news/von-der-le…
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