Research. Learning. Community. Macro | Fundamentals | Options Evolving into Northstar Collective ⭐ Not Investment Advice [email protected]
Joined February 2019
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Northstar Collective retweeted
Jensen = Musk
Nvidia's CEO Huang said to have had a relationship with an Nvidia executive - NYT $NVDA
Northstar Collective retweeted
The battlefield may be entering its biggest technological shift since the drone. 🤖
This footage imagines heavily armed robotic platforms moving through difficult terrain — then operating together in coordinated formations.
The real breakthrough isn’t one robot.
It’s the possibility of multiple autonomous machines sharing perception, movement and tactical decisions as a single network.
If that capability matures, future ground operations could look radically different.
Human soldiers commanding robotic teams from a distance instead of entering every dangerous environment themselves.
Would this make warfare safer for humans — or create an entirely new level of risk? 👇
#Robotics #ArtificialIntelligence #DefenseTech #FutureTechnology #AI #5G #6G #NLP #IoT #Tech #Bigdata #Technology #innovation
Cc: @jblefevre60 @Nicochan33 @pierrepinna @RosyCoaching @kalydeoo @Ym78200 @enilev @FrRonconii @CurieuxExplorer @Khulood_Almani @mvollmer1 @JoannMoretti @margaretsiegien @Shi4Tech @anand_narang @Eli_Krumova @HaroldSinnott @bimedotcom @EvanKirstel @Hana_ElSayyed @sallyeaves @SpirosMargaris @ipfconline1 @LaurentAlaus @Analytics_699 @Jeffkagan @AndresVilarino @efipm @FMFrancoise @MHcommunicate @Corix_JC @JolaBurnett @JeromeMONANGE @mary_gambara @drsharwood @smoothsale @sulefati7 @debashis_dutta @dinisguarda @devbhatt72 @terence_mills @BetaMoroney @mdrechsler @MarshaCollier @avrohomg @NevilleGaunt @PamMktgNut @arlenenewbigg
Northstar Collective retweeted
If you can’t see in space, you can’t win in space.
We started with the goal of proving advanced space domain awareness on-orbit. To do it, we developed a fully integrated satellite. ANDURIL-216 carries three modular mission payloads designed, built, and integrated by Anduril.
The payloads work together to deliver on the essential mission of never losing sight of an object as it circles the Earth, even in its shadow.
ANDURIL-216 is the foundation for space warfare supremacy.
Northstar Collective retweeted
Palantir CEO Alex Karp on Americans' right to privacy: Most people don't realize how influenced they are by tech
"What they're often imputing is, 'I don't care what commercial companies know about me, because that's my choice,' which it is."
"But they're thinking of their opinions as being wholly their own, and at best, your opinions are a dialogue between your ideas and the outside consensus view."
"They're underestimating how much their thoughts are being influenced by the tech products they're interacting with."
"And because they underestimate that, they don't understand the in- the, the, the, the way in which they should be more concerned about privacy."
Via @WalterIsaacson @kscope_nyc
Northstar Collective retweeted
Blue and Gold are on their way to Mars!
The twin spacecraft, designed and built by Rocket Lab, for @NASA and @ucbssl's ESCAPADE mission, completed powered Earth gravity assists to each perfectly execute a trans-Mars Injection.
Both spacecraft fired their main engine for 9.5 minutes, hurtling past Earth at more than 10 kilometers per second, to enter an interplanetary cruise phase.
They are due to arrive at the Red Planet in September 2027 to study the Martian atmosphere.
Northstar Collective retweeted
🚨BREAKING: Michael Burry flags Broadcom’s $161 BILLION Anthropic deal over HIDDEN financial risks.
Michael Burry has raised concerns over Broadcom’s $161 BILLION hardware deal with Anthropic, alleging that the agreement shifts some financial risk to insurance companies.
He also flagged an additional $42 BILLION in lending from Broadcom to Anthropic, on top of its existing commitments.
Burry added: “For the benefit of humanity, the markets should tank hard and prevent the OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs.”
The warning builds on his earlier criticism of Anthropic’s financials-
Burry estimates the company’s actual spending commitments at $1.07 trillion, against the $895.4 billion it disclosed.
He cites an omitted $120.5 billion SpaceX compute contract and $100.8 billion in spending versus the reported $69.8 billion.
He has said he has no plans to buy Anthropic stock when it goes public next week.
Northstar Collective retweeted
$NVDA just launched Alpamayo 2 Edge which is an open AI driving model that can reason in real time & explain its decisions.
This is Nvidia bringing its CUDA playbook to cars making software accessible so automakers have more reason to build on its chips.
Northstar Collective retweeted
THIS IS THE MOST DANGEROUS DEAL IN THE ENTIRE AI BOOM.
Anthropic needs Broadcom's AI chips to run Claude.
It does not buy them directly.
Instead, Wall Street banks and Blackstone put $63 billion into a separate company, and that company buys the chips from Broadcom.
That company then rents the chips to Anthropic.
Over the life of these leases, Anthropic owes about $161 billion in rent on Broadcom equipment.
So where does Anthropic get the money to pay that rent?
Partly from Broadcom.
Broadcom has agreed to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion, and that money can only be used to pay rent on Broadcom's equipment.
Broadcom sells the chips, then lends the customer money to pay for them.
If Anthropic cannot pay the loan back in cash, Broadcom can take Anthropic shares instead.
So why is this dangerous?
First, the sales are not as real as they look. When a company lends its customer the money to pay its bills, part of its revenue is just its own cash coming back.
Second, everything depends on one customer. Broadcom's own filing warns about its dependence on a small number of customers for AI chip demand.
Anthropic alone owes $161 billion on its equipment.
Third, Anthropic does not have the revenue yet. It made $16.96 billion last quarter but has committed $895.4 billion to compute.
Many of these contracts must be paid even if Anthropic never uses the capacity.
Fourth, the chips are the collateral. AI chips lose value fast as newer models come out. If Anthropic cannot pay, lenders are left holding equipment worth far less than the debt.
If AI demand slows, the whole chain breaks at once.
Anthropic misses payments, Broadcom loses its biggest customer and its loan, and the banks and Blackstone take losses on the debt.
This exact setup played out in 1999 and 2000.
Lucent and Nortel lent billions to their own customers to keep equipment sales growing. When those customers went bust, the loans were never repaid, and both stocks collapsed.
The current situation is getting dangerously close to the dot-com bubble.
Northstar Collective retweeted
Burry`nin AHI tuttu, DM den cok uzucu mesajlar aliyorum ne yazikki $NVDA ile ilgili, 200 - 210 arasinda civarinda cok fazla yuklenen olmus neden anlamadim asiri da yavas bir hisse ilk defa trade firsati veriyor yoksa $QQQ alsaniz daha iyiydi
Alt tarafi almasini bekliyorum alir almaz bilemiyorum ama alirsa bakacagiz duruma. Bir onceki trade de 183 te aldiklarimin yarisini 193 te yarisini da 182 de stoplamistim.
Bir sonraki aksiyon alanim sari cizgi alti.
Northstar Collective retweeted
After the firm September PCE inflation reading was released last month, Kevin Hassett allowed that October could return to the lower monthly readings seen in the summer, proving September was "a blip."
But he added, "if October comes out really high, then I think the Fed would probably appropriately act."
Source: Bloomberg
Northstar Collective retweeted
We believe if Jensen was removed as CEO, Nvidia is worth a lot less (25%-30%) as a company/stock and would change the future direction of the company and create a dramatically different competitive environment around AI GPUs globally especially for China. ~15% chance he removed (as of now) in our view
Northstar Collective retweeted
WELLS FARGO CUTS NVIDIA ($NVDA ) PRICE TARGET TO $300
Wells Fargo lowers its Nvidia price target to $300 from $315, maintaining an Overweight rating.
Analyst Matt Bryson cites the investigation into CEO Jensen Huang and key-person risk, but sees little threat to AI demand or Nvidia's fundamentals.
Wells Fargo expects $126.4B in quarterly revenue, above Wall Street's $124.3B estimate, and highlights Nvidia's $235B share buyback authorization.
The bank remains bullish on Nvidia's long-term AI growth.
Northstar Collective retweeted
$OSCR ATH gormus oldu...
$OSCR soyluyoruz haftalardir. Su piyasada roket oglu roket. Cuma hersey yikilirken %4 tu.
Relative strength boyle olur. Hedefim 40 ki o bile az aslinda. Uzun sure konsolidasyonu kirdi 24$
Kirilimda giremeyen put satabilir diye dusunuyorum. Yatirim tavsiyesi degildir
Northstar Collective retweeted
$RKLB CEO Peter Beck on why data centers in space could make sense for defense said “It’s pretty hard to tamper with something when it’s in orbit.”
That’s where Rocket Lab gets super interesting because its specialized solar cells and Iridium acquisition position it to supply both power and secure connectivity for orbital computing.
Northstar Collective retweeted
Absolutely insane seeing $RKLB backlog jump 52% in a single quarter to ~$3.6B.
To put that into perspective, Q3 alone nearly matched entire net backlog increase from 2021 through 2025.
$RKLB Q3 EARNINGS
• Revenue $268M vs Est. $257M
• EPS ($0.12) vs Est. ($0.07)
• Backlog $3.57B (+52% QoQ)
• Gross Margin 38% vs. Est. 36%
Q4 Guidance
• Revenue $280M vs Est. $265M
• EBITDA ($17M) vs. Est. ($13M)
Management says they have over $515M Neutron contracts covering 16 missions with a $70M base price
Northstar Collective retweeted
$ZETA GLOBAL Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
🔹 Revenue: $492.7M (Est. $474M) 🟢; +46% YoY
🔹 GAAP EPS: $0.14
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $121.0M (Est. $116M) 🟢; +140 bps margin YoY
🔹 FCF: $81.5M (Est. $68.3M) 🟢; +73% YoY
Customers & Assets:
🔹 Super-Scaled Customers: 212; +18% YoY
🔹 Super-Scaled ARPU: $2.0M; +22% YoY
Raises FY26 Guide:
🔹 Revenue: $1.853B-$1.857B (Est. $1.82B) 🟢; from $1.8B
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $414.1M-$415.2M (Est. $406M) 🟢; from $405.2M
🔹 FCF: $270.6M-$271.6M (Est. $253M) 🟢; from $255.3M
🔹 GAAP EPS: $0.22-$0.24; from $0.09-$0.11
Raises Q4 Guide:
🔹 Revenue: $521M-$525M (Est. $505M) 🟢; from $508M
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $135.2M-$136.3M (Est. $132M) 🟢; from $131.9M
Key Updates:
🔹 Positive GAAP Net Income: $38M; GAAP EPS $0.14
🔹 Rule of 71: achieved through 46% revenue growth and 24.6% adjusted EBITDA margin
Comments:
🔸 “Our performance and strong pipeline give us the confidence to raise our full-year outlook across revenue, adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, and GAAP EPS.”
🔸 “With AthenaOS and our expanding partnership ecosystem, we are extending our proprietary data and native AI into a broader enterprise intelligence opportunity.”
Northstar Collective retweeted
$TTD SAYS NETFLIX IS EXPANDING ITS ADS DEAL
Starting in November, advertisers can target Netflix audiences through The Trade Desk's Kokai platform using:
First-party data: their own customer data
Third-party data: data from outside providers
Measurement: in-platform tools expected to follow
Netflix had already joined The Trade Desk's Sellers and Publishers 500+, which gives advertisers access to its streaming inventory automatically within Kokai.
Northstar Collective retweeted
Yaptigim en iyi yatirim karari oldu. 10.5$ da spottan 1 e 1 agirlikla leapse gecmek. %30 a yakin hareket inanilmaz bir getiri oldu. $QXO cok nadir temele bakarak yaptigim hikayesine yatirim yaptigim kagirlardan. Teknikten bagimsiz. $NVDA $QQQ $IWM $NAIL
$QXO belki yapilmamasi gereken bir hareketti fakat high conviction biraz da bu demek.
Dipte portfoyumun %50sini olusturan hisselerin yarisini satip opsiyona dondurdum 2028 ve 2029 vadeli. Bugunku hareketle beraber total $QXO pozum basa bas geliyor. Hatta su anda hafif arti oldu.
Bir mali alirken kazanmak onemli. Cok ucuz oldugunu dusunuyorum 2-3 senelik vadede, opsiyonlarimda 1.5-2 sene vadeli zaten.
Northstar Collective retweeted
GOLDMAN SACHS CEO SOLOMON SAYS OPTIMISTIC THERE'LL STILL BE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF INVESTMENT IN DATA CENTERS, COMPUTE CAPACITY IN US- CNBC INTERVIEW
Northstar Collective retweeted
$PLTR
Palantir hires a former Democratic senator
💥💥🚀
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