SNE (winter) weather enthusiast • Earth and Planetary Sciences at Harvard • Instagram: https://xitter.cf/t.co/IRPEvQPfPW - opinions are my own
Eastern Massachusetts, USA
Joined March 2023
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My take is SNE has already seen peak heat (early July)
Don’t see us getting back up to the 100s unless August somehow pulls it off (unlikely IMO)
Been like this past several years it seems, 2020s have brought us a late June/early July heatwave each summer then moderates
Standard models do not run far enough to see what the impacts from the stratospheric disruption will be, and those that do will not have much degree of skill that far out
Its too early to be saying what will or won’t happen from this event
Already dreaming (literally) of our first snow and all the models can show long-range is cold rain ☹️
People keep saying “it’s not likely it’s a coincidence” when that’s entirely the most likely explanation
Wake up babe, it's the southern New England weather conference
bluehill.org/events/cwc/
We’ve nearly achieved the elusive “no rain anywhere in the CONUS” besides a few light showers out west and in S Florida
Lmao models are being so silly
Its only deterministic GFS but really does seem like models try to push for classic El Nino warm eastern North America and then get adjusted in the short/mid range
I believe its connected to the EPO, when I saw strong -EPO and warmth, signals just didn’t add up
Now the -EPO remains and models seem to have more realistic grasp on evolution
WeatherBoyTyler retweeted
Folks do not seem to grasp that the low itself, a storm, is not classified (as a nor'easter.)
The term simply refers to strong persistent north east winds along the coastal communities.
You actually do not need a low to have a nor'easter. A stalled continental high can duplicate.
WeatherBoyTyler retweeted
Contrary to social media dismissal of the initial NOAA Winter 2026-2027 seasonal forecast, NOAA's forecasts for the last two strong El Niños were not too warm. The forecast should not be dismissed out of hand to confirm one's hopes or biases.
