PHINIX1618

Good mernin and happy Friday, my precious little barometric pressure besties and other sensitive biologicals. A weak disturbance brings more clouds and a little mountain snurfall today, while most lower elevations stay dry. Then we warm up this weekend. However, don’t let a few pleasant afternoons convince you November has retired. We need to talk about what’s brewing later this month. SE Wyoming & I-80: Cheyenne reaches 52–56° and Laramie 45–49°, with partial sunshine and generally light winds. A few snow showers favor the Snowy and Sierra Madre ranges, but most communities stay dry. Western Slope: Grand Junction reaches 55–59° and Montrose 52–56°. Sunshine mixes with clouds, with isolated showers over the higher terrain. Most valleys get another dry day. Front Range, foothills & I-25: Denver reaches 57–61°, with Conifer and other communities in the foothills around 46–50°. More clouds, but most of us stay dry. A few afternoon showers could develop in the northern foothills, with rain or snow depending on elevation. That includes a small shower chance around Nederland and Estes Park. Eastern plains, including western Nebrasky and Kansas: Partly sunny and dry, with Sterling reaching 60–64° and Burlington 54–58°. Winds stay relatively light, locally southerly blowies around 10 mph. Pretty uneventful. We appreciate an atmosphere that occasionally minds its business. Southern & southwest mountains: Mostly cloudy, with isolated rain and higher elevation snow showers. Accumulation should be minor, generally around an inch or less in places that get snow. Highs range from the 20s to 40s depending on elevation. Central mountains: Spotty snow showers develop during the afternoon and evening, mainly above roughly 8,500 feet. Amounts stay light, but a few slick spots are possible. Highs range from the 30s to 50s across passes and valleys, colder on the highest peaks. Northern mountains: The better opportunity for light snur favors higher terrain north of I-70, including the mountains around Rocky Mountain National Park, the Indian Peaks and Never Summer Mountains. Generally a trace–2 inches, with isolated amounts approaching 3 inches. Many places get less. Highs range from the 30s to 50s, colder on the high peaks. Real inches. Not man inches. Medium & long range forecast: Saturday through early next week looks mostly dry and warmer. Sunday and Monday should be especially mild, with Denver likely in the 60s. Enjoy the break. The weather is going to be absolutely beauitmous. Around midmonth, the Pacific looks increasingly busy, with storm opportunities spreading farther into the western United States. The exact arrival dates will move around, but the broader signal supports a transition away from this quieter stretch. The second half of November into December is the period I’m watching closely. A stronger subtropical jet, essentially a faster and wetter conveyor belt of air across the Pacific and southern United States, can help transport moisture and send additional storm systems toward the Southwest and into Colorado. That gives us more opportunities for precipitation. For meaningful precipitation east of the Continental Divide, we still need those storms to take a favorable track. A low passing to our south can produce a very different result than one scooting north and leaving us with drying downslope winds. My read is that the larger setup supports a busier pattern, but individual storm tracks, cold air and snow levels remain the moving pieces. Some breaks between systems are likely. Drama is always in the details besticles. So yes, pay attention to the second half of November. No, the atmosphere has not submitted your Thanksgiving snurfalls totals. It barely answers emails. I’ll keep you posted. Don't be bored to sleep and forget about me LOL Everybody knows where the Big Apple is, but does anybody know where Minneapolis? LOL LOL don’t delete me. K thanks bye. Boop.