Partner: Impact Research ; The Duke of Druid City

Tuscaloosa, AL
Joined December 2011
The Senate majority could run through an INDEPENDENT. Line up every race from bluest to reddest, and seat 51 lands in Nebraska. 🟣Osborn - 49.7% 🔴Ricketts - 47.2% Osborn wins 66% of our simulations. Leave him out, and it's Texas 👇 onpointpolitics.us/forecast
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Zac McCrary retweeted
I know people don't pay attention to Nebraska but early voting here is SOO interesting
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Zac McCrary retweeted
#MIPol: "Well Mike, when I play football, we check the tape... Those are some rough stats." Abdul El-Sayed and the MDSCC are up with this new football-themed ad. With over $330M so far, the #MISen race is the third-most expensive Senate race of the cycle.
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Zac McCrary retweeted
One of the best times of year to smugly use "penultimate" correctly.
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Michigan's early vote is 12.5 points BLUER than 2024, by our model. Michigan Early Vote as of 10/23 (estimate) 🔵Democrats - 505,493 (54.9%) ⚪️Independents - 235,263 (25.6%) 🔴Republicans - 180,017 (19.6%) Party lead, same day: 2022 - D+31.3 2024 - D+22.8 2026 - D+35.3
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Good lord, Nebraska Dems have an 11% return rate advantage for mail ballots.
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Zac McCrary retweeted
NEBRASKA POLL — Senate ⬜️ Dan Osborn: 46% 🟥 Pete Ricketts (i): 45% GBAO | LV | Oct 18-22
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New - Senate poll - Nebraska 🟡 Dan Osborn 46% 🔴 Pete Ricketts (Inc) 45% GBAO (B-) - LV - 10/22
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Zac McCrary retweeted
🚨NEW POLL🚨 We are WINNING! Daddy Joe Ricketts has been bankrolling his son’s political career for years. This time, it’s not working. Pitch in $10 and let’s send the Ricketts family back to Wrigley Field. 👇 secure.anedot.com/osborn-for…
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GBAO poll | 10/18-10/22 LV US Senate Nebraska 2026 ⬜️Dan Osborn 46% 🟥Pete Ricketts 45% (incumbent) (Democratic pollster) Link to poll: docsend.com/view/hhiqc5yfcc5…
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"I wouldn't vote for Mike Rogers at gunpoint…"
A head-turning new "Michigan First" ad from @AbdulElSayed - he names some issue he agrees with MAGA voters on, then plays a supercut of Fox News hosts/Tucker praising him or bashing Mike Rogers. semafor.com/article/10/23/20…
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Osborn up 46-45 over Ricketts
Replying to @BrendanMcP
Poll memo from GBAO, for Working Class Majority PAC (Oct 18-22) docsend.com/v/yg7r5/wcmp_sur…
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Zac McCrary retweeted
Morally bankrupt
Trump: "Vivek Ramaswamy put up a very powerful Ad about a mother saying that her daughter, Amy Acton, who is running for Governor of Ohio, is a liar, and much worse. The Press, in a concerted and well coordinated attack, is trying to get Vivek Ramaswamy to 'take down the Ad.' Frankly, anybody whose mother spoke about a daughter in that way would normally lead to the daughter being precluded from serving in Office"
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Emerson Poll 10/19-10/20 LV U.S. Senate South Dakota Poll 2026 🟥Mike Rounds 50% 🟪Brian Bengs 42%
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Zac McCrary retweeted
WOW. EMERSON POLLS SD-SEN AS A SINGLE-DIGIT RACE.
New - Senate poll - South Dakota 🔴 Mike Rounds (Inc) 50% 🟡 Brian Bengs 42% Emerson (A) - LV - 10/20
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New - Senate poll - South Dakota 🔴 Mike Rounds (Inc) 50% 🟡 Brian Bengs 42% Emerson (A) - LV - 10/20
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How far today's early vote MOVES our forecast, by state: 🔵Kansas - D+3.2 🔵Nebraska - D+1.7 🔵Nevada - D+0.8 🔵Maine - D+0.8 🔴Iowa - R+1.2 🔴Florida - R+2.0 onpointpolitics.us
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