Middle East expert, focused on Turkey. St. Louis Cardinals fanatic.

Washington, DC
Joined June 2013
New collective defense agreement signed today between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, with NATO Article 5-like terms: “An attack on one of the three States shall be regarded as an attack on all of them.” It’s a fluid, tabula rasa era in the Middle East.
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Erdoga met with his lebanese counterpart and said Turkey wants to be part of a new security initiative for Lebanon once UNIFIL expires at the end of the year. He has repeatedly said that Israel’s actions in Lebanon pose a direct threat to Turkey. I think Ankara’s interest comes down to two issues that matter enormously to Turkey: Syria and the Eastern mediterranean. On Syria, the concern is fairly straightforward. Lebanon’s instability doesnt stay confined to Lebanon. The 2026 Israel-Hezbollah war showed just how quickly violence spills across the border and At a time when Syria is already struggling through a fragile post-Assad transition another crisis in Lebanon could make recovery even more difficult. The second issue is the eastern mediterranean. Lebanon’s maritime position matters to Turkey. Ankara rejected the lebanon-cyprus maritime agreement in late 2025 arguing that it ignored the rights of Turkish Cypriots. From Turkey’s perspective, Lebanon is part of the broader competition over the eastern mediterranean’s future security and energy landscape. So, it makes sense that Ankara wants a seat at the table in whatever security arrangement replaces UNIFIL.apnews.com/article/turkey-le…
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Did Gueterres bungle the Cyprus Peace Conference in 2017? cyprus-mail.com/2026/08/02/d…
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Deeply saddened by the passing of Eliot Engel. As nice a person in private as he was earnest about the many causes he embraced and profoundly affected in foreign affairs — Israel, Kosovo, Cyprus, opposing Assad,etc. Personally humble and always with a sense of honor to serve. Z”l
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The significance of Damascus' alcohol ban goes beyond the policy itself. It reflects a governing mindset that seeks to discipline diversity rather than protect it. Reversing the decision alone is not enough; what’s needed is a shift in that approach. en.majalla.com/node/330195/o…
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Three Cardinals legends! Rogers Hornsby, Red Schoendienst and Frankie Frisch (1958) #STLCards
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Keep your eye on Turkey
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Today is the funeral of the great Sabri Sayarı — brilliant scholar and deep political analyst, wise counselor and mentor, and, most of all, a dear friend. I will badly miss his insights, his sense of humor, and his compassion. May his memory be a blessing, ve huzur içinde yatsın.
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Deepest condolences to the family and colleagues of my dear friend Eitan Na’eh, former Israeli ambassador to Baku, Ankara, and Manama. Brilliant mind, huge heart, infectious sense of humor, caring friend, bold diplomat. Like so many, I will miss him. May his memory be a blessing.
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SDF Commander-in-Chief @MazloumAbdi in a video message on Ronahi TV said the plan was prepared by many actors to "attack us and that the fight was forced upon us. However, in order to avoid bloodshed and protect civilian lives, it was decided to withdraw from Raqqa and Deir ez-Zor." He stressed that they will protect the achievements of their people and "safeguard the special status of their region, that they have their forces and will continue their efforts, and that the struggle will go on with confidence in success." He added that they will continue their struggle to "protect the achievements of the revolution and the special status of their regions by all available means." Further details will be shared with the public after tomorrow’s discussions in Damascus.
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BREAKING — Syria’s Sharaa issues a proclamation which guarantees Syrian Kurdish rights, ensuring Kurdish education in Kurdish areas, returns citizenship to the Kurds who lost it in 1962 and declares Newroz national holiday
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After two days of silence about the US action in Venezuela, RTE — not wanting to annoy Trump as the latter considers selling F35s to Turkey — hints ever-so-delicately at criticism. Erdoğan, Trump discuss ties, Venezuela, Gaza in phone call sabahdai.ly/_2j2n
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What an amazing video! Stan Musial and Jackie Robinson give batting tips on The Ed Sullivan Show (July 17, 1949)
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I hope to God the hostages will come out. That is still far from clear. But please, Hamas is not ready for a lasting peace.
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19 Mart ve sonrasında iktidarın yürüttüğü operasyonlar yalnızca İmamoğlu ekibini hedef almakla kalmadı; aynı zamanda İBB’nin kurumsal kapasitesini oluşturan yetişmiş kadrolara da doğrudan saldırı niteliği kazandı. Hedef alınan isimlere bakıldığında, İmamoğlu’nun sadece dışarıdan liyakatli yöneticiler getirmekle yetinmediği, aynı zamanda kurum içindeki deneyimli kadroları da yükselttiği açıkça görülüyor. Dolayısıyla bu operasyonlar, İmamoğlu’nu siyaseten saf dışı bırakmanın ötesine geçerek, belediyeyi iş yapamaz hale getirmeyi amaçlıyor. İktidar, İBB’ye doğrudan kayyım atamanın yaratacağı toplumsal ve mali yükü üstlenmeden, belediyenin içini boşaltarak merkezi yönetim aracılığıyla boşluğu doldurmayı hedefliyor. Aynı zamanda, İmamoğlu’nun kırılan etkisinden faydalanarak CHP içinde eski yönetimden kalan unsurların yeniden öne çıkabileceğini umuyor.
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RTE out of step with Turkish public on Hamas, according to May Metropoll. By 41-38, Turks say it's a terrorist group. Huge reversal from Nov'23 M'poll, when Turks, 55-30, said it's not terrorist. 28 pt swing. Reason? Imamoglu effect (4/29, CNN)? Diminished RTE stature post-3/31?
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Halkı ve iktidar liderini hala tanıyamayan, hiçbir veriye dayanmadan muhalif seçmenleri yanlış yönlendiren ve onların geleceğini olumsuz etkileyen,sonuçta özeleştiri yapmayan, muhalif seçmenden özür dilemeyen hamakat ehlinin dikkatine. CHP’lilerin bugünkü görüşüne dikkat.
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Rumors now circulating that the drill ship Abdülhamid Han will explore in uncontested waters off Turkey’s southern coast. More signs of 🇹🇷 🇬🇷 deescalation.
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In a break of recent precedent, recent Turkish naval exercises not named Mavi Vatan. Mavi Vatan advocates, like the former CNO below, appear nonplussed (for fear it is an attempt to appease 🇬🇷 and 🇺🇸)
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