building @ZEITFinance & @autonomous_af market microstructure | structured products habitual linestepper.
Joined October 2013
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Ivan retweeted
Our latest featured project: @sharexyz.
Available on iOS and the web, Share brings Polymarket and Hyperliquid HIP-4 into one interface, helping traders compare markets, follow wallets and trade across venues.
Explore Share by watching the video and check out the listing on PMWisdom
Ivan retweeted
We show who is on the other side of a Polymarket trade. Polyguana places it, from one balance across Polymarket, Hyperliquid and Limitless. Same team as PM Wisdom.
Just joined Polyguana to start earning $POLY.
Polyguana code: WSG6NZ xitter.cf/polyguana/status/21086…
No VC. No presale. No fees on top.
Just tokens. Just $Poly. Just community.
PolyPoints start today.
Ivan retweeted
FYI for anyone in AI who wasn’t in crypto in 21, the thing that comes after the blowoff top is fraud season
Ivan retweeted
Will there be a new frontier AI model this month?
Claude Fable 5.5 or GPT Terra?
Grok 4.8 - maybe?
Best odds on the AI Race from
@Kalshi @Polymarket @trylimitless and @HyperliquidX
Just $POLY
Markets are about to get hit with a new type of order flow: Agentic flow. Majority will be soft, non-toxic flow (default GitHub prompts + 10s inference lag). With enough time, I'd literally scrape all open-source agent repos daily and harvest edge there.
the fastest growing GitHub repos in finance + AI this week:
1. Kronos (+2,653 ★)
open source foundation model for candlestick charts, trained on data from 45+ exchanges. you feed it price history, it forecasts the next bars. code hasn't changed since april, people just found it.
github.com/shiyu-coder/Krono…
2. TradingAgents (+1,944 ★)
multi-agent LLM trading framework: analysts, researchers, a trader and a risk team arguing before every trade. #2 again, now 113K stars.
github.com/TauricResearch/Tr…
3. day-trader-skill (+972 ★)
11 Claude skills for day trading. chart scanner, news tracker, entry and stop planner, and a "time machine" that replays the session 10,000 times before you trade. paper trading by default. 4 days old.
github.com/Jakeschincariol/d…
4. Vibe-Trading (+821 ★)
personal trading agent from HKUDS. research in plain english, strategy drafts, backtests, MCP support.
github.com/HKUDS/Vibe-Tradin…
5. last30days-skill (+730 ★)
agent skill that researches any topic across Reddit, X, YouTube, HN and Polymarket, and ranks results by upvotes, likes and real money.
github.com/mvanhorn/last30da…
6. daily_stock_analysis (+487 ★)
LLM stock analysis for US, China, HK and more. sends you a daily decision dashboard to Telegram, Discord or email.
github.com/ZhuLinsen/daily_s…
7. FinceptTerminal (+412 ★)
open source Bloomberg-style terminal. market data, research and AI agents in one desktop app.
github.com/Fincept-Corporati…
8. freqtrade (+360 ★)
the OG open source crypto trading bot, with a machine learning module (FreqAI). backtests, Telegram control, supports Hyperliquid.
github.com/freqtrade/freqtra…
9. tick-stock-panel (+346 ★)
self-hosted quant workbench for China A-shares. LLM builds your strategy, then backtest and monitoring. 65 API endpoints + an MCP server.
github.com/shy3130/tick-stoc…
10. OpenBB (+294 ★)
open data platform for analysts, quants and AI agents. stocks, options, crypto, macro. has an MCP server.
github.com/openbq-org/OpenBB
bookmark this and start today.
Ivan retweeted
站在今天看，俄罗斯这波操作，属于手握着一把天胡的牌打得稀烂。
如果不出兵乌克兰，今天全球AI的牌桌上，除了中美，大概率真得坐着一个俄罗斯。
搞AI、跑大模型，底层逻辑就是“吃电、散热、堆机器”。这两年全世界的数据中心老板都在为电费和机房降温发愁。俄罗斯属于老天爷喂到饭：西伯利亚开窗就是纯天然顶级空调；境内水电、核电、天然气很便宜，当年挖矿的都选西伯利亚。
另外俄罗斯人的数学和算法也强，各大国际编程竞赛，Kaggle机器学习竞赛常被俄国人屠榜。全世界除了中美，俄罗斯也搞出了自己完整的互联网生态：搜东西有Yandex，社交有VK，还有Telegram。现在在美股被炒上天的算力黑马Nebius，核心班底就是原先Yandex那帮俄罗斯人。
如果疫情后俄罗斯出地皮、出冷气、出便宜电，再拉着中国这种基建狂魔帮忙拉高压电网、建厂房、铺光纤，欧美资本开服务器工厂。俄国人完全可以成为欧亚大陆最大的“超级算力工厂”，中美神仙打架，它在中间两头收过路费。
结果呢？普京一拍大腿：不行，我得去抢那几块地。
普京的脑子，彻底停留在了19世纪沙皇俄国那种“开疆拓土”的旧梦里。什么有没有出海口啊，有没有所谓的军事缓冲带啊，就算抢方法也多的是，这可这是21世纪啊！现在的世界霸权争夺，抢的是半导体供应链，抢的是先进算法，抢的是高精尖人才。你去顿巴斯抢了几片烂泥地、几座废弃钢铁厂，代价却是把整个国家的未来都押了上去。
枪声一响，一切全崩了。稍微有点本事的程序员、算法工程师，连夜跑路。Yandex核心技术团队，宁可巨亏，惨烈的断尾求生、割裂母国，也要跑到欧洲重组成Nebius。普京把最懂未来的人，全逼成了难民和海外创业者。
在人工智能技术爆发的黎明前夜，全世界都在疯狂狂飙算力、抢占新工业革命的门票；而俄罗斯的老大，却带着几十万人，在泥潭里打着一百年前的一战式堑壕战。
再说一遍，普京不行，国内崇拜普京的那帮人也不行
Ivan retweeted
Looking for work in prediction markets? Look beyond Polymarket and Kalshi.
Our jobs board lists 250 openings across 37 companies. Those two account for 98 roles—the other 152 are spread across 35 employers.
Browse the openings:
pmwisdom.com/jobs
Ivan retweeted
LMAO Kalshi just signed a deal with a fake tribal chief !
They tried to sign with a Native American tribe to launch a Kalshi partnered prediction market.
Except the chief they signed with was an IMPOSTOR.
Kalshi has been trying to court the support of Native tribes with the following deal :
- The tribes launch their own branded prediction market apps.
- Kalshi provides the exchange, liquidity and infrastructure.
- Tribes receive a percentage of trading fees.
They already signed 5 tribes and thought they had just signed a 6th when they struck a deal with Wilson Yargee, the chief of the Alabama-Quassarte tribe.
But the next day, Samuel Marshall, claiming to be the actual Chief denounced the deal saying :
- His leadership NEVER approved the deal.
- He only discovered it through a CNN report.
- The opposing faction had no authority to sign on behalf of the tribe.
Turns out the Alabama-Quassarte tribe has 2 rival chiefs fighting for power.
Samuel Marshall Jr. (real) and Wilson Yargee (impostor), each with their own supporting factions.
Now this dispute turns into a legal conflict :
> The legitimist faction behind Samuel Marshall say the deal is void since Yargee is not the real chief.
> The impostor faction, supported by Kashi, insists the deal is legitimate and that Yargee is the real chief.
Kalshi tried cynically buy the support of Native Americans tribes in their upcoming supreme court battle for the legality of prediction markets.
Now they are looking forward to a long legal process trying to adjudicate a Triblal succession dispute.
Ivan retweeted
ZEIT Finance is aware of the php2shell RCE, the eMudhra (emSign) CA private key compromise, and Node.js CVE-2026-111497 & related advisories.
As of this morning:
• All systems and runtimes are patched, secured, and protected
• All funds remain strictly non-custodial and safe
• Network-level access restrictions have been tightened and audited
• The Team are actively monitoring across all infrastructure
Stay safe out there
ZEIT
Ivan retweeted
You asked about Smart orders, so here they are 🦎
Smart order agents get you the best price there is by executing your trade smartly. Instead of market buying and eating a lot of slippage they tail the orderbook and nab the best offers as they come in.
Watch the video, and learn more at polyguana.net/info/smart-ord…
Ivan retweeted
Polyguana is aware of the php2shell exploit, eMudhra (emSign) CA leak & Node.js CVE-2026-111497.
Don't care. Because
- we do NOT use PHP
- we do NOT use Indian root certificates (not even in our packages)
Points distributing as expected & Still the cheapest prices in prediction markets
Ivan retweeted
Republican. Democrat. Conservative. MAGA. Iguana. 🦎
Whoever you are, trade the Midterms with the absolute best UX, lowest fees, and full aggregation across @Polymarket, @Kalshi, @trylimitless , and @HyperliquidX HIP-4
Stop overpaying on spreads. Watch the demo 👇
Ivan retweeted
PolyPoints Distribution #1 is out 🦎
10,000 PolyPoints sent, covering activity since launch:
-- 20% (2,000) to trading, by dollar volume
-- 80% (8,000) to Earn deposits, by dollar value held per hour
Get yours now: polyguana.net/points
Skin-in-the-game is the ultimate moat, but a brutal mass-market social graph.
When we built ZEITFinance (prediction vaults where your token = your track record), we ran straight into human nature: people love illusion. Today’s social media works because it lets plebs pretend to be kings.
Quantifying risk only benefits the few who already win.
Directionally 100% with Se Yong, but for a risk-based social graph to scale, we have to design incentives that make the losing 99% want to play too
Ivan retweeted
You asked: is my money safe on Polyguana?
Fair question. So we made a video 🐢
-- Deposits only ever pay back to the account that made them
-- The vault code can't be upgraded
-- Withdrawals can't be paused
-- Your trading wallet comes from Privy (owned by Stripe). We never see your private key
-- The source is verified on the explorer. Give it to your own AI and ask what could go wrong
Nothing in crypto is risk-free, but we did our best.
polyguana.net/points/guide
Ivan retweeted
Europe .. Remind you of what the UAE Foreign Minister said a decade ago! Just in case you forgot (which you obviously did) !
