Nonpartisan website, decision desk, and open API that delivers reliable election results and calls for every local, statewide, and general election in the world
Florida
Joined August 2020
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civicAPI retweeted
CNN: Maine’s 2nd congressional district will go to ranked-choice voting tabulation on Monday according to the Secretary of State’s office.
civicAPI retweeted
This is insane! Here is a map of yesterday’s Indiana House results if they were drawn under the attempted Republican gerrymander map from last Fall. Thank you to @Vulst3 for breaking down the data to make this map. The gerrymander could’ve netted us a 9-0 or 8-1 map potentially!
civicAPI retweeted
AtlasIntel casually dropping the world’s first ever zero-error poll at 7:30 on Monday evening
civicAPI retweeted
MS Free Press: Hinds County Begins Counting Affidavit Ballots, Results Expected by 4:30 p.m. CT
Hinds County has begun counting affidavit ballots in Mississippi’s U.S. Senate race. Results are expected by 4:30 p.m., election workers say.
mississippifreepress.org/liv…
civicAPI retweeted
In what might be the upset of the century in the state of Alabama, it *appears* as though independent candidate Jesse Battles has defeated incumbent Republican Andrew Jones in Alabama's SD-10.
Donald Trump won SD-10 by 62% in 2024.
civicAPI retweeted
Hinds County says counting will resume this morning.
This is the key to Colom winning Mississippi.
Anything remotely close to the margins he’s been receiving or better and it’s simply over and Mississippi will elect their first democratic senator since John C. Stennis in 1982.
It will likely be some combination of provisional and mail ballots which often skew more democratic and as you can see those margins could lean even greater than the already 80/20 percentile margins.
If just 80/20 then that alone nets Colom 5400 votes…
85/15 > 6300 net votes
90/10 > 7200 net votes
75/25 > 4500 net votes
70/30 >3600 net votes
Out of all of those scenarios none are really helpful to help Hyde-Smith in this race
And I’m not sure how many of those are apart of the 10-15k estimated mail ballots left according to the Colom campaign which will skew Democratic for Colom.
There is nowhere near close to enough rural R votes out there to make up that kind of deficit(especially when you consider everywhere in MS over +20🔵 this election)
Everything in the data is pointing towards MS electing their first black senator since Blanche K. Bruce in 1874.
A historical night for the Democratic Party could be capped off with a historical moment based on what the data shows.
Not what R’s were likely expecting but the +10-20 trend across much of America is shaking up the 2026 mid terms
darkhorsepressnow.com/news/2…
Huge Update to estimated votes in Hinds County to now 9k and 44k total remaining.
There’s not really a path for Hyde-Smith if accurate.
Did my estimations and even w/ both range of low floor and high ceiling scenarios for Colom and Smith:
And I definitely believe Scott Colom would net likely at least hundreds of votes to as much as thousands depending on margins and kind of votes left in Mississippi Senate Race.
Re-confirming that Colom is likely to win barring something drastic outside range of probabilities.
Another gain for Democrats in the senate and Hyde-Smith the incumbent will likely be defeated for Republicans…
Unfortunately doesn’t seem like we’ll get any official calls tonight unless we get unexpected large dumps of votes so get your sleep if you’re staying up to know results…
But again this is a historic result potentially loading for this election in Colom vs Hyde-Smith.
Would love a first batch estimate even if small to confirm margins but the story has been too telling already in terms of floor scenario of net gains and Colom has too many net margins to gain from imo compared to Hyde-Smith
civicAPI retweeted
Mississippi's count could run into the morning, but the signs point to Colom.
Late votes here can get bluer, mail is accepted for 5 more business days, and as in Louisiana, Black turnout is expanding the electorate. Colom looks poised to win.
civicAPI retweeted
The Alaska Senate race shifted seven points toward Democrats after this drop. Peltola’s strongest areas, including Alaska Native communities in the Bush, and much of the mail vote that will be reported in the trail are outstanding.
civicAPI retweeted
Welp. Let's get to it: This is not a good early set of results for Republicans in Kentucky's 6th. Republican candidate Ralph Alvarado is significantly underperforming in the early results for this Trump +15 seat. This seat gives some early cues on the size of the wave.
civicAPI retweeted
Hillsborough, FL Election Day Turnout
🔴 8 AM: R+12.1
🔴 9 AM: R+12.8
🔴 10 AM: R+13.8
🔴 11 AM: R+14.7
🔴 12 PM: R+14.8
🔴 1 PM: R+14.1
🔴 2 PM: R+13.8
🔴 3 PM: R+12.9
civicAPI retweeted
Florida Turnout | 2 p.m. ET
Election Day: 1,461,900 (R+24.1)
🔴 732,226 🔵 380,164 ⚪ 349,510
AB/EV: 5,473,475 (R+2.3)
🔴 2,197,354 🔵 2,068,859 ⚪ 1,207,262
Total: 6,935,375 (R+6.9)
🔴 2,929,580 🔵 2,449,023 ⚪ 1,556,772
civicAPI retweeted
Florida Turnout | 1 p.m. ET
Election Day: 1,262,055 (R+24.4)
🔴 636,106 🔵 327,731 ⚪ 298,218
AB/EV: 5,473,475 (R+2.3)
🔴 2,197,354 🔵 2,068,859 ⚪ 1,207,262
Total: 6,735,530 (R+6.5)
🔴 2,833,460 🔵 2,396,590 ⚪ 1,505,480
civicAPI retweeted
Polling place hours have been extended in three precincts in Chester County until 8:30 p.m.
civicAPI retweeted
Florida Turnout | Noon ET
Election Day: 1,060,058 (R+24.8)
🔴 536,985 🔵 274,613 ⚪ 248,460
AB/EV: 5,473,475 (R+2.3)
🔴 2,197,354 🔵 2,068,859 ⚪ 1,207,262
Total: 6,533,533 (R+6.0)
🔴 2,734,339 🔵 2,343,472 ⚪ 1,455,722
civicAPI retweeted
On election night @cantstopkevin @jeremiahbcha and I + others will be entering all congress/gov final results at the CD/state-level into a spreadsheet that anyone can download on Wed morning.
Data will come with incumbency and 1990-2024 results for comparison