@corncobanalysis

Immune from confirmation bias because I’ve never had it go check out https://xitter.cf/t.co/NArYiaoLIv

 Blurst of Times
Joined October 2016
  • Tweets14.2K
  • Following380
  • Followers1.8K
1.9KMedia
Yep, people are avoiding the mail. 2026 WA drop box return rate: 68% 2022 WA drop box return rate (final) : 61% And keep in mind drop box rate usually trends up as late-arrivers avoid mailing and drop their ballots off.
Lillian Belle@LillianBelle26h
The number of people in OR and WA switching from mailing their ballot to putting it in a drop box is truly wild.
3
4
30
1,133
Joe
@electionsjoeOct 21
Going to start vagueposting
1
226
Surprise it’s Darline Graham
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker202420h
The progressive news outlet “Young Turks” is set to publish a story about a gay, closeted US Senator on Thursday.
30
1,023
World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
Uncrewed@Uncrewed23h
Another brand new edition of the State Legislative Election Watch is out now covering November's state legislative elections in Idaho, Nebraska, & New Mexico! Three more small states doesn't mean they don't have very interesting elections! Check it out below!
1
2
10
1,396
World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
ElectionCord
@ElectionCordOct 21
One potential reason that we are seeing this? LV Samples appear to be older than RV Samples, and whiter. In most of the Marist polls in the second wave, at least, we are seeing this trend. TX (LV): 39% Under 45, 41% Non White TX (RV): 41% Under 44, 44% Non White
ElectionCord
@ElectionCordOct 21
What's interesting is, like the Marist polls, there has been a difference between Registered and Likely voters in the Republicans favor! RV Sample in TX was R+5, LV Sample was R+11 Talarico up 6 in RV, Tied LV Abbott up 1 in RV, 5 in LV
1
5
1
16
3,102
World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
ElectionCord
@ElectionCordOct 21
ICYMI: Episode 3 of ElectionCord is now on YouTube, where we talked to J Miles Coleman about ET, Crystal Ball, and ratings changes, the Marist Michigan poll, and other eventful things that happened yesterday! LINK: youtube.com/watch?v=xRKOOJK2…
2
4
344
NYT poll is roughly implying, as movement from Trump 2024: - 4-5 pts from differential turnout (it's a Harris +3 weighted recall in LV) - 6 pts from persuasion - 2 pts from new voters
Dj@DjsokeSpeakingOct 21
Final NYT/Siena poll is D+11
4
7
1
73
3,535
Dems are relying on turnout to make gains because they're not converting a lot of Trump 2024 voters. 17% of Trump 2024 voters disapprove of him, but only 7% are voting for Dems in Congress (this holds for the other races)
1
15
490
Another possible insider trading case here from Wedgewood: poll release in MI Democratic primary in late June 2026. With the caveat this is very low volume, looks like this account linked with Wedgewood did trade on Haley Stevens in the primary after. kalshi.com/ideas/profiles/an…
1
2
1
20
2,205
In this case, I wouldn’t say it was any attempt to make money, but I don’t think betting on markets you fake polled is a great idea
1
196
Plz
Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc)@purrtahOct 21
Can we please yell at national Dems to spend here ffs
5
333
World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc)@purrtahOct 21
Can we please yell at national Dems to spend here ffs
Mark Maxwell@MarkMaxwellTVOct 21
New poll in MO-2. Trump +7 in 2024. Practically tied today. Wellman 46% Wagner 45% Why? 10% of Trump voters go Wellman. 6% of Harris voters go Wagner. Who shows up? "Very excited" voters: Wellman 53-43. Public Policy Polling, Oct. 19-20, 631 voters
1
2
1
33
1,163
More clear-cut Wedgewood insider trading for Wisconsin. Wedgewood poll came out on 7/4, the day after, this account made a series of trades on Mandela Barnes. Then Wedgewood released a second poll w/Hong 38% Barnes 30% on 7/20. But then Barnes dropped out kalshi.com/ideas/profiles/an…
4
27
4
121
10,414
So, it may have backfired completely. But Barnes was probably never in second and the poll was faked to pump the price. At least, that's what you can imagine from this series.
2
22
1,067
So, I found some potential insider trading Wedgewood bets here: Interestingly, trades came two days AFTER the fake poll got posted, which did in fact move the odds heavily in Fleming's favor. So, he somehow failed to insider trade? kalshi.com/ideas/profiles/an…
This Post is from an account that no longer exists. Learn more
3
5
2
64
8,965
@BeshearStan
1
879
World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
ElectionCord
@ElectionCordOct 21
Talking with @JMilesColeman now!
World's Biggest Stagflation Truther@corncobanalysisOct 21
Hi, starting the @ElectionCord stream shortly! Talking...lots of stuff, fake polls, ratings... twitch.tv/electioncord

ElectionCord - Twitch

ElectionCord's Twitch Page! We specialize in US Elections with a focus on Demographics. You'll see polling numbers, demographic numbers, and even some random stuff! — ElectionCord streams live on...

twitch.tv
2
8
1,916
World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
Ethan C7@ECaliberSevenOct 21
This is a timely time to remind folks that Activote “polls” are not real polls either. Their respondents supposedly consist ENTIRELY of people who RESPOND ON THEIR STUPID APP. They’re nearly as fake as Wedgewood, tho AFAIK they’re not actively defrauding people like Wedgewood.
3
33
218
6,080
World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc)@purrtahOct 21
J miles Coleman is on Election Cord
World's Biggest Stagflation Truther@corncobanalysisOct 21
Hi, starting the @ElectionCord stream shortly! Talking...lots of stuff, fake polls, ratings... twitch.tv/electioncord

ElectionCord - Twitch

ElectionCord's Twitch Page! We specialize in US Elections with a focus on Demographics. You'll see polling numbers, demographic numbers, and even some random stuff! — ElectionCord streams live on...

twitch.tv
1
4
362
Hi, starting the @ElectionCord stream shortly! Talking...lots of stuff, fake polls, ratings... twitch.tv/electioncord

ElectionCord - Twitch

ElectionCord's Twitch Page! We specialize in US Elections with a focus on Demographics. You'll see polling numbers, demographic numbers, and even some random stuff! — ElectionCord streams live on...

twitch.tv
1
2
10
4,040
Load more