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🇩🇪 Price action & market structure Equities, Bitcoin and crypto I show you which asset is currently undervalued. Join my FREE Newsletter 👇 NFA

Joined August 2025
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THE CORRECTION ENDS THIS WEEK. OR IT GETS WORSE. Here are the 5 earnings reports that decide it. 1/ $AAPL reports Monday after the close. Expectations: EPS of $2.02 on $115.3 billion in revenue. Apple has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 11 quarters. The stock is trading right at $344, just below its all time high. That level is now the key. My main scenario: $344 holds, earnings deliver and Apple breaks into new all time highs. If $344 breaks, a pullback toward $317 or even $300 is possible. The uptrend stays intact as long as $300 holds. That’s also where the 200 day moving average is catching up. Losing $300 would open the door toward $273.
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$PLTR beat earnings. And still drops almost 8% in premarket. Earnings details in the comments. The stock now trades at $164.59, right on the $164.58 support. The direct breakout scenario I drew is invalidated. Marked it grey. On the weekly chart this is now a 50/50 setup. Holding $164.58 keeps the uptrend intact. The stock can fall there without breaking it. Reclaiming $198 would bring the $212.82 high back into play. Losing $164.58 brings the zone down to $146.88 into play. Below that the next supports sit at $117.81 and $107.09.
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$PLTR Q3 earnings: EPS: $0.44 vs $0.41 expected. Beat by 7%. Revenue: $2.31B vs $2.18B expected. Beat by 6%. Revenue up 96% year over year. EPS up 110% year over year. Revenue up 20% quarter over quarter. Strong numbers across the board. The market wanted even more. For a deeper look into what I'm buying, sign up for my free newsletter. Link in bio.
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Let's see where $GOOG might head this week. The bullish path I drew before earnings is invalidated. Marked it grey. The bold arrow shows what's playing out: losing $314 brought the range between $270 and $314 into play. The stock now trades at $278, right above the $272 support. It also lost its 200 day moving average around $339. From here it's a 50/50 setup. As long as we close above $272, Google is still building a higher low on the bigger chart. The overall uptrend isn't even cracking. Holding $272 would bring $314 back into play. Reclaiming $314 and then $332.82 would restore the momentum. Above that the 200 SMA and $360 are the next key levels. Losing $272 would mean a deeper correction toward $258 and below. I stick to my take. For me Google is still one of the biggest opportunities in the market right now. Stay bullish
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$MRVL is buying $LITE . And investors don’t like it at all. Marvell announced the all stock deal today. The stock dropped almost 10% to $176.77. Lumentum shareholders get 4.5 Marvell shares each. Existing Marvell holders will own around 67% of the combined company. That dilution is what the market is punishing. On the chart, the stock lost the $201 support and fell below the 200 day moving average around $183. The bullish path I drew before is invalidated. Marked it grey. The range between $201 and $163 is now in play. The bigger uptrend stays intact as long as $163 holds. The stock can fall there without breaking it. Reclaiming $201 and then $215 would bring the momentum back. Losing $163 would mean a bigger correction.
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Good morning, Investors. $AMD now trades at $466.84. That's almost 30% below its October high of $659. Now look at the revenue chart. Since early 2024 AMD has been stacking one record quarter after another. Last quarter hit an all time high of $11.54 billion. That's up 167% over five years, a 23% growth rate per year. Data center revenue more than doubled to $6.7 billion and is now 58% of the entire company. The price got hit. The revenue didn't. Tonight after the close AMD reports Q3. Guidance was around $13 billion in revenue → another record quarter would be on the table. Eyes on the market.
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$INTC lost its key support. And with it the short term uptrend. Intel dropped almost 29% after earnings and closed Friday at $65.76. The stock broke below the $81.98 low and the 200 day moving average around $86 in one move. The bullish path I drew before earnings is invalidated. Marked it grey. The broken $81.98 low means we’re now in a short term downtrend. The range between $82 and $54 is now in play. As long as Intel stays below $82, that level acts as resistance. From $54 it’s a 50/50 setup. Holding there could build a base for a recovery. Losing it would bring the $40.48 support into play. The bigger uptrend that started in April stays intact as long as $40.48 holds. The stock can fall there without breaking it.
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$MRVL is buying $LITE . And investors don’t like it at all. Marvell announced the all stock deal today. The stock dropped almost 10% to $176.77. Lumentum shareholders get 4.5 Marvell shares each. Existing Marvell holders will own around 67% of the combined company. That dilution is what the market is punishing. On the chart, the stock lost the $201 support and fell below the 200 day moving average around $183. The bullish path I drew before is invalidated. Marked it grey. The range between $201 and $163 is now in play. The bigger uptrend stays intact as long as $163 holds. The stock can fall there without breaking it. Reclaiming $201 and then $215 would bring the momentum back. Losing $163 would mean a bigger correction.
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Good morning, Investors. $AAPL did $109.4B in revenue last quarter. Up 16% year over year. EPS up 29%. And the guidance for the September quarter? Another 9 to 11% growth. Despite FX headwinds. Despite supply constraints. Despite rising memory costs. Apple raised prices across the lineup and demand kept coming. That is not a slowdown. That is pricing power. Tonight after the close John Ternus hosts his first earnings call as CEO. First numbers on the iPhone 18 Pro launch and the outlook for the holiday quarter → all on the table. Eyes on the market.
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Let's see where $GOOG might head this week. The bullish path I drew before earnings is invalidated. Marked it grey. The bold arrow shows what's playing out: losing $314 brought the range between $270 and $314 into play. The stock now trades at $278, right above the $272 support. It also lost its 200 day moving average around $339. From here it's a 50/50 setup. As long as we close above $272, Google is still building a higher low on the bigger chart. The overall uptrend isn't even cracking. Holding $272 would bring $314 back into play. Reclaiming $314 and then $332.82 would restore the momentum. Above that the 200 SMA and $360 are the next key levels. Losing $272 would mean a deeper correction toward $258 and below. I stick to my take. For me Google is still one of the biggest opportunities in the market right now. Stay bullish
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$INTC lost its key support. And with it the short term uptrend. Intel dropped almost 29% after earnings and closed Friday at $65.76. The stock broke below the $81.98 low and the 200 day moving average around $86 in one move. The bullish path I drew before earnings is invalidated. Marked it grey. The broken $81.98 low means we’re now in a short term downtrend. The range between $82 and $54 is now in play. As long as Intel stays below $82, that level acts as resistance. From $54 it’s a 50/50 setup. Holding there could build a base for a recovery. Losing it would bring the $40.48 support into play. The bigger uptrend that started in April stays intact as long as $40.48 holds. The stock can fall there without breaking it.
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2/ $PLTR reports Monday after the close. The stock dropped 6% on Friday and closed at $184.11. It lost the $198 level after getting rejected below the $212.82 high. My main scenario: a pullback into the $164.58 support. The stock can fall there without breaking the uptrend. From there I expect a higher low and the next leg up. The faster path: strong earnings and an immediate reclaim of $198. Breaking above $212.82 would open the way for new highs. Losing $164.58 would send the stock toward $147. The 200 day moving average sits in between at around $153.
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THE CORRECTION ENDS THIS WEEK. OR IT GETS WORSE. Here are the 5 earnings reports that decide it. 1/ $AAPL reports Monday after the close. Expectations: EPS of $2.02 on $115.3 billion in revenue. Apple has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 11 quarters. The stock is trading right at $344, just below its all time high. That level is now the key. My main scenario: $344 holds, earnings deliver and Apple breaks into new all time highs. If $344 breaks, a pullback toward $317 or even $300 is possible. The uptrend stays intact as long as $300 holds. That’s also where the 200 day moving average is catching up. Losing $300 would open the door toward $273.
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Good morning, Investors. $AAPL did $109.4B in revenue last quarter. Up 16% year over year. EPS up 29%. And the guidance for the September quarter? Another 9 to 11% growth. Despite FX headwinds. Despite supply constraints. Despite rising memory costs. Apple raised prices across the lineup and demand kept coming. That is not a slowdown. That is pricing power. Tonight after the close John Ternus hosts his first earnings call as CEO. First numbers on the iPhone 18 Pro launch and the outlook for the holiday quarter → all on the table. Eyes on the market.
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Want my full deep dives and reports? I share my own positions and the levels I’m buying at in my newsletter. Free to join. marketshepard.beehiiv.com $AAPL $PLTR $AMD $QCOM Now watch the last one.
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5/ $ARM reports Wednesday after the close. The stock dropped almost 10% on Friday and closed at $205.97. That’s right below the $207.57 support and well below the 200-day moving average. This is a 50/50 setup. Reclaiming $207.57 quickly would make this a fakeout. Then $224 is the next level to reclaim, and above that, the way toward $338 opens up. If the stock stays below $207.57, a drop toward the $167 support is likely. Follow for more. Updates after every single report.
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$SPY is at a decision point. And the midterms might already be priced in. On Friday the S&P 500 tested the $749 support. Low of the day: $750.36. Close: $755.72. Buyers stepped in right where they had to. Since August the index has been moving in a range between $749 and $780. As long as $749 holds, the range is intact. Holding $749 opens the way back toward $775. A break above $780 means new all time highs. Losing $749 would be the first sign of weakness. Then the $728 area comes into play, right where the 200 day moving average sits. The midterms are on Tuesday. Forecasts see the Democrats favored to win the House, while the Senate stays open. That's typical for midterms. The president's party usually loses seats. No surprise, no shock. Expect volatility. The $749 level decides the direction.
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