Shepard

Good morning, Investors. $AMD now trades at $466.84. That's almost 30% below its October high of $659. Now look at the revenue chart. Since early 2024 AMD has been stacking one record quarter after another. Last quarter hit an all time high of $11.54 billion. That's up 167% over five years, a 23% growth rate per year. Data center revenue more than doubled to $6.7 billion and is now 58% of the entire company. The price got hit. The revenue didn't. Tonight after the close AMD reports Q3. Guidance was around $13 billion in revenue → another record quarter would be on the table. Eyes on the market.

Let's see where $GOOG might head this week. The bullish path I drew before earnings is invalidated. Marked it grey. The bold arrow shows what's playing out: losing $314 brought the range between $270 and $314 into play. The stock now trades at $278, right above the $272 support. It also lost its 200 day moving average around $339. From here it's a 50/50 setup. As long as we close above $272, Google is still building a higher low on the bigger chart. The overall uptrend isn't even cracking. Holding $272 would bring $314 back into play. Reclaiming $314 and then $332.82 would restore the momentum. Above that the 200 SMA and $360 are the next key levels. Losing $272 would mean a deeper correction toward $258 and below. I stick to my take. For me Google is still one of the biggest opportunities in the market right now. Stay bullish

$MRVL is buying $LITE . And investors don’t like it at all. Marvell announced the all stock deal today. The stock dropped almost 10% to $176.77. Lumentum shareholders get 4.5 Marvell shares each. Existing Marvell holders will own around 67% of the combined company. That dilution is what the market is punishing. On the chart, the stock lost the $201 support and fell below the 200 day moving average around $183. The bullish path I drew before is invalidated. Marked it grey. The range between $201 and $163 is now in play. The bigger uptrend stays intact as long as $163 holds. The stock can fall there without breaking it. Reclaiming $201 and then $215 would bring the momentum back. Losing $163 would mean a bigger correction.

$INTC lost its key support. And with it the short term uptrend. Intel dropped almost 29% after earnings and closed Friday at $65.76. The stock broke below the $81.98 low and the 200 day moving average around $86 in one move. The bullish path I drew before earnings is invalidated. Marked it grey. The broken $81.98 low means we’re now in a short term downtrend. The range between $82 and $54 is now in play. As long as Intel stays below $82, that level acts as resistance. From $54 it’s a 50/50 setup. Holding there could build a base for a recovery. Losing it would bring the $40.48 support into play. The bigger uptrend that started in April stays intact as long as $40.48 holds. The stock can fall there without breaking it.

Good morning, Investors. $AAPL did $109.4B in revenue last quarter. Up 16% year over year. EPS up 29%. And the guidance for the September quarter? Another 9 to 11% growth. Despite FX headwinds. Despite supply constraints. Despite rising memory costs. Apple raised prices across the lineup and demand kept coming. That is not a slowdown. That is pricing power. Tonight after the close John Ternus hosts his first earnings call as CEO. First numbers on the iPhone 18 Pro launch and the outlook for the holiday quarter → all on the table. Eyes on the market.

2/ $PLTR reports Monday after the close. The stock dropped 6% on Friday and closed at $184.11. It lost the $198 level after getting rejected below the $212.82 high. My main scenario: a pullback into the $164.58 support. The stock can fall there without breaking the uptrend. From there I expect a higher low and the next leg up. The faster path: strong earnings and an immediate reclaim of $198. Breaking above $212.82 would open the way for new highs. Losing $164.58 would send the stock toward $147. The 200 day moving average sits in between at around $153.

THE CORRECTION ENDS THIS WEEK. OR IT GETS WORSE. Here are the 5 earnings reports that decide it. 1/ $AAPL reports Monday after the close. Expectations: EPS of $2.02 on $115.3 billion in revenue. Apple has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 11 quarters. The stock is trading right at $344, just below its all time high. That level is now the key. My main scenario: $344 holds, earnings deliver and Apple breaks into new all time highs. If $344 breaks, a pullback toward $317 or even $300 is possible. The uptrend stays intact as long as $300 holds. That’s also where the 200 day moving average is catching up. Losing $300 would open the door toward $273.

Good morning, Investors. $MRVL dropped from $251 to $196 in just three trading days. More than 20% gone. The reason: Bloomberg reported Marvell is in advanced talks to buy $LITE . A deal worth around $83 billion, likely paid fully in stock. Investors fear heavy dilution. But look at what Marvell would get. Lumentum builds the lasers and optical components that connect AI data centers. That’s exactly where the bottleneck sits right now. Raymond James says the deal could be EPS neutral by 2028 if structured right. Rosenblatt, Piper Sandler and Stifel all kept their positive ratings. And Google already holds a warrant to buy Marvell shares at $206.58. Today the stock trades below that price. An official announcement could come as soon as next week → the deal terms will decide how big the dilution really is. Eyes on the market.

Good morning, Investors. $AMZN missed on both lines. EPS $1.89 vs $1.96 expected. Revenue $201.9B vs $202.3B. Just like $GOOGL, the real fear was capex. Amazon sticks to $220B in spending for 2026 and free cash flow over the last twelve months sits at minus $42.4B. The stock dropped more than 7% after hours. Then the market read the fine print. AWS grew 39% and accelerated for the second quarter in a row. The backlog jumped $82B to $578B. Management expects 40%+ AWS growth in both 2027 and 2028. And capex was not raised. Buyers stepped in. Amazon closed at $240.35, down only 1.4% while the Nasdaq lost 2.9%. That is not weakness. That is relative strength. All eyes on Monday's open. Reclaim $245 → the bounce has legs. Eyes on the market.

“Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.” Warren Buffett Here are 4 stocks that beat earnings expectations and are still selling off. 1/ $SNDK Beat earnings yesterday. Still dropped almost 10% today. The stock lost the $1,220 support and fell below its 200 day moving average. Right now it trades at $1,202. This is a 50/50 setup. Reclaiming $1,220 and the 200 SMA quickly would make this a fakeout. Then $1,518 is the next level, and above that $1,913. If the stock stays below the 200 SMA, a drop toward the $995 support is likely.

Emergency market update. $QQQ just broke below the $701 support. Right now it's trading at $697, down 2.6% today. If we don't close back above $701 today, the bullish scenario is invalidated. Then a move toward the $680 to $686 area becomes more likely. Losing $660 would mean a bigger correction. But here's the bigger picture. The charts of the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 look much milder. That points to general weakness in the market, but not to an extreme selloff across the entire market breadth. As long as that stays the case, this is a strong correction. Not a crash. Stay bullish until proven otherwise.

CAN SOMEONE EXPLAIN WHY $MRVL IS DOWN 12% PREMARKET? WHAT AM I MISSING? 💬 👇

Good morning, Investors. Plot twist. $INTC beat EPS by 30% and still dropped around 24% overnight. From $92 to around $70. Beat the quarter. Lost the market. The reason: weak Q4 guidance. Revenue of $15 to $16 billion vs $17 billion expected, and a PC slowdown that could last into 2027. But here's what the headlines miss. The data center business is growing strong and management already calls 2027 a growth year. On Sunday I said it: losing $82 would point toward a much deeper correction. That level is now gone. Overnight trading is thin, so the open can still shift. Today's open → we see if $70 is panic or the new reality. Eyes on the market.

$NOW crashed 25% in less than 24 hours. The story behind it hasn't really changed since yesterday. The bullish path I drew is invalidated. Marked it red. The stock also lost its 200-day moving average around $115. Price is now sitting right on the $111.45 support. A relief bounce toward $126 is possible, but that level will likely act as resistance now. But the uptrend is not done yet. As long as $90 holds, nothing is lost here. The range between $126 and $90 is where the stock can build its next higher low. The arrow in the chart is just an illustration, not a target. As long as the bottom forms above $90, the uptrend stays intact. That might even be a chance to add. Losing $90 would mean much lower prices. Are you still bullish?

$AMZN is the stock that can save us today. The stock is trading at $248.85 in premarket, just above the $245 support. My main scenario: $245 breaks and price drops into the $226 zone. That's where I expect a base to form without breaking the bigger uptrend. From there $263 is the level to reclaim. The faster path: strong earnings, $245 holds and Amazon pushes through $263 straight away. Then $287 comes into play. Losing $226 would open the door for a bigger correction. All eyes are on Amazon earnings tonight. Stay bullish.

$GOOGL is pushing crypto. Google Cloud unveiled Google Multi-Party Compute. An institutional custody service that splits private keys across separate systems. No single machine ever holds the full key. Private preview with major financial institutions now. Commercial launch planned for early 2027. The real headline: Alphabet already uses it to secure its own $ETH and $SOL holdings. Price doesn't care today. But the infrastructure for institutional adoption keeps getting built by the biggest names in tech. That's the trend that matters.

My $NOW post from yesterday did not age well. Earnings dropped last night, and the bottom line missed. EPS: $1.00 vs $1.02 expected Revenue: $4.11B vs $4.09B expected Revenue up 21% year over year. EPS up only 4%. $NOW dropped around 20%. This is a small miss. Revenue still beat, and growth is intact. But the market wanted more. Chart update dropping during the NYSE session.

Two stocks just got hit hard. $GOOGL down 10% $NOW down 20% You can only buy one. I'll go first: GOOGLE Which one are you taking?